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    Thanks for chiming in Blackswan. I've done it a...

    Thanks for chiming in Blackswan. I've done it a few different ways and that's the result I get. It makes sense when I draw it out diagrammatically.
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    How to calculate how often I win a middle

    I've got a model that gives me totals for basketball, and with it I use it to calculate the probabilities of winning overs and unders. Let's ignore odds and say I've got a profitable middle where I'm...
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    That's exactly the sort of thing I was looking...

    That's exactly the sort of thing I was looking for - that's great thanks!
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    Thanks! Any views on how I could modify it to...

    Thanks!

    Any views on how I could modify it to do NRL? Obviously with NRL I can't just do the same, because points have different values based on whether it's (for example) +3.5 or +4.5, because...
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    *** post edited to remove earlier data errors ***...

    *** post edited to remove earlier data errors ***

    Ok I think I did something clever, and figured out a point is worth 6 cents.

    I downloaded all the AFL data from this website (810 games with...
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    This is awesome thanks! Going to take me a while...

    This is awesome thanks! Going to take me a while to work through it all, but thanks very much!
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    What is a point worth?

    Hi guys

    Anyone done any analysis on how much the odds should change to give a team an extra point?

    So if Collingwood +20.5 is 1.96 but I find Collingwood +21.5 elsewhere for 1.91, which is...
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    Fixed. Once I got past the demonstration...

    Fixed. Once I got past the demonstration entries, it started working fine.

    Love the spreadsheet :)
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    Problem with Odds analysis?

    Hi

    This spreadsheet is excellent. However, I've only started using it but it seems like the odds analysis isn't quite working?

    I input the closing odds, but nothing seems to happen on the...
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