Welcome guest, is this your first visit? Create Account now to join.
  • Login:

Welcome to the Australia Sports Betting Forum.

If this is your first visit, be sure to check out the FAQ by clicking the link above. You may have to register before you can post: click the register link above to proceed.

Results 1 to 1 of 1
  1. #1

    2015 NBA Finals - Golden State v Cleveland

    For those who are interested, I've just seen a good preview of Game 1 of the NBA Finals by Sports Insights. Basically the article suggests taking Golden State -5.5 and under 204 points.

    The main takeaways from the article are:

    Line betting
    1. The Warriors opened as 5.5-point favorites and are currently receiving just 40% of spread bets.
    2. Since 2005, favorites receiving less than 40% of spread bets have gone 82-56 ATS (+21.47 units won)
    3. Teams receiving less than 49% of spread bets have gone 31-24 ATS
    4. Teams receiving less than 45% of spread bets have gone 23-13 ATS
    5. Teams receiving less than 40% of spread bets have gone 9-4 ATS

    Totals betting
    1. 76% of bettors were taking the over 204 points - despite this the total hasn't shifted upwards, which suggests bookmakers are fearful of smart money coming in on the under
    2. Playoff unders have gone 466-440 (+1.03 units won) over the past decade, including a 31-25 record during the NBA Finals
    3. The unders win record improves to 251-221 (+15.84 units won) when the total closes at 190 or higher, including a 15-12 mark during the Finals

    Anyway, let's hope the NBA Finals are better than the Conference Finals!
    Last edited by casper; 5th June 2015 at 09:19 AM.

 

 

Bookmarks

Posting Permissions

  • You may not post new threads
  • You may not post replies
  • You may not post attachments
  • You may not edit your posts
  •