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  1. #1
    New Member
    Join Date
    Sep 2017
    Posts
    2

    Football odds q?

    hi guys
    got a football % question

    Stirling scored O2.5 goals in 75% of their games
    Elgin scored O2.5 goals in 100% of their games

    how do I work out the odds of the game going 02.5 goals in the match?

    is it 75/100
    100/100
    2 fractions 175/200 then divide by 2 so 87.5 of the game going over 2.5 goals based on the stats
    or am i working it out wrong?

    TY

  2. #2
    New Member
    Join Date
    Sep 2017
    Posts
    2
    another one is team A 33% over 2.5 team b 67% over 2.5

    whats the % odds over 2.5 scored? which i can turn into odds

  3. #3
    Member
    Join Date
    Sep 2014
    Posts
    82
    I'm not sure about the first example, but for the second one it sounds like the Poisson Distribution could answer that question (explanatory article: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-...62MLXUMKMXZ6A8), sample output: http://www.aussportstipping.com/spor...a_vs_man_city/). The model takes into account each team's offensive and defensive strengths.

 

 

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