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Remember that in Football Betting or betting in general the offered odds are not an odds compilers prediction of event outcome. It was designed to equal the money among all outcomes. The main reason for most of the punters is to add an extra excitement to a sports event. But for the bookies odds are created to ensure that the betting volume is balance. Bookies will always get their in-build percentage if the betting volume is evenly distributed. Odds are not the power ratings of a team.
You must be selective in order to have a profitable bet. If a punter is capable of predicting the event outcome, chances of winning is high. When the odds are on your side don't waste your time and place a bet. The strategy where the punter will need to look for the best values before placing his/her bet is called value betting. We will have a closer look for Value Betting for Football in this guide.
Professional punters do not make their predictions by looking at the odds. They are always calculating probabilities by checking stats. Some punters created their own methods to calculate the chances of both sides.
Here are a couple of basic things to consider in getting probabilities on football betting.
Team form - Most common methods to decide which side to bet. Check the team's last performance and form.
Home/Away Stats - Always check the home and away performance of a team.
News - Always looked for the news of both of the teams, suspensions, injuries and player absence has a huge effect on the game. Weather can also affect the team
performances.
Team Motivation - How thirst the team to win, especially in the most important games on the season.
After you have the estimated chance of winning of a selected team. Get the price offered for that side then multiply the chance against the odds. If your calculation is greater than 1, then in theory its a value bet.
Example:
Chance - 50% 0.50
Odds - 2.58
0.50 x 2.58 = 1.29
Since the product is above 1.0 its a Value Bet.
Fell free to ask me questions regarding on this guide. Like any other betting strategies this guide will not give you zero risk on your bets. We're just minimizing the risk.
You must be selective in order to have a profitable bet. If a punter is capable of predicting the event outcome, chances of winning is high. When the odds are on your side don't waste your time and place a bet. The strategy where the punter will need to look for the best values before placing his/her bet is called value betting. We will have a closer look for Value Betting for Football in this guide.
Professional punters do not make their predictions by looking at the odds. They are always calculating probabilities by checking stats. Some punters created their own methods to calculate the chances of both sides.
Here are a couple of basic things to consider in getting probabilities on football betting.
Team form - Most common methods to decide which side to bet. Check the team's last performance and form.
Home/Away Stats - Always check the home and away performance of a team.
News - Always looked for the news of both of the teams, suspensions, injuries and player absence has a huge effect on the game. Weather can also affect the team
performances.
Team Motivation - How thirst the team to win, especially in the most important games on the season.
After you have the estimated chance of winning of a selected team. Get the price offered for that side then multiply the chance against the odds. If your calculation is greater than 1, then in theory its a value bet.
Example:
Chance - 50% 0.50
Odds - 2.58
0.50 x 2.58 = 1.29
Since the product is above 1.0 its a Value Bet.
Fell free to ask me questions regarding on this guide. Like any other betting strategies this guide will not give you zero risk on your bets. We're just minimizing the risk.