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  1. At the moment I'm in the Chelsea camp, with City...

    At the moment I'm in the Chelsea camp, with City and Liverpool the other major contenders.
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    It looks like the gold medal race between China...

    It looks like the gold medal race between China and the United States will come down to the wire. Because the USA has more silver medals in the tie-breaking rule I chose to hedge my gold medal bet...
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    To continue my theme of backing short-price...

    To continue my theme of backing short-price favourites, I will side with the USA in the men's basketball final against France. There will be an element of revenge in this one after the round robin...
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    For those into medal betting, FiveThirtyEight has...

    For those into medal betting, FiveThirtyEight has a neat medal tracker, which shows how many medal events remain for each country:...
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    Tokyo Olympics betting

    I've enjoyed the myriad of betting opportunities on the Tokyo Olympics and was wondering if anyone else has been getting into it?

    I've been mainly backing short-odds favourites (i.e. Sweden v NZ...
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    Yeah I can't touch Rahm at current odds based on...

    Yeah I can't touch Rahm at current odds based on last week's performance. Koepka is far better value.

    I stumbled across this interesting list of trends for the Open:...
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    Hi mate, when you place a bet the stake ($20) is...

    Hi mate, when you place a bet the stake ($20) is taken from your account. If your bet loses then nothing else happens. If your bet wins then (I presume the odds are 3.25?) the bookmaker would add...
  8. Thread: Lay betting

    by blackswan
    Replies
    3
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    13,211

    Are you based in Australia? Betfair is the only...

    Are you based in Australia? Betfair is the only betting exchange I know that accepts Australian users but if you use a VPN you might be able to use Smarkets, BETDAQ or Matchbook.
  9. No problem :) As far as I know Pinnacle no...

    No problem :) As far as I know Pinnacle no longer support Australian accounts (Australia isn't an option on the sign up form), so VPN will probably be the best option for them too. Betfair don't...
  10. Hi, the only one that may accept stakes of that...

    Hi, the only one that may accept stakes of that size is Betfair and that only works for the most popular leagues & markets due to market depth. If you've already verified your ID with Pinnacle and...
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    I don't have any funds with 18bet at the moment...

    I don't have any funds with 18bet at the moment so I can't confirm, but I'm pretty sure you still can (I have done so before).

    I had a look at Sportmarket and they list 18bet as one of their...
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    Have you tried 18bet?

    Have you tried 18bet?
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    The situation sucks. I guess there's the false...

    The situation sucks. I guess there's the false IP address approach, but that would require using some dodgy bookmaker that doesn't care about confirming your identity. There are third party...
  14. Thread: bet365

    by blackswan
    Replies
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    13,603

    Poll: Hi sasazec, I think my stakes are too low to get...

    Hi sasazec, I think my stakes are too low to get me restricted by anyone, but three different bookmakers have blocked me from using their promotions.

    Account restrictions happen all the time,...
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    I'm not sure if more information is required...

    I'm not sure if more information is required regarding the probability distribution, but if I had to come up with a number I get 5.4% as well.

    Total ------ Under - Over
    215.5 ------ 47.8% - 52.2%...
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    I'm not sure about the first example, but for the...

    I'm not sure about the first example, but for the second one it sounds like the Poisson Distribution could answer that question (explanatory article: ...
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    I read in the SMH that overseas bookmakers can no...

    I read in the SMH that overseas bookmakers can no longer offer accounts to Australians :(

    If that's true I hope Pinnacle gets an Australian licence.
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    My understanding is that Marathonbet has...

    My understanding is that Marathonbet has fantastic odds but very low limits.

    18bet looks like the most like-for-like replacement for Betrally, but I don't know much about them.

    Matchbook's...
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    Hi mate, from the right hand panel of...

    Hi mate, from the right hand panel of aussportsbetting ("Bookmakers That Support AUD Accounts") I get this list:

    18bet
    Intertops
    Marathonbet
    Matchbook
    Mansion M88
    SBOBET
  20. Thread: NFL Picks

    by blackswan
    Replies
    35
    Views
    19,208

    Here are the results for the Super Bowl: Under...

    Here are the results for the Super Bowl:

    Under 48.5 @ 1.82 (Loss)
    New England H2H @ 1.98 (WIN)

    If 10 units were wagered on each, the result is -0.2 units on 20 units wagered.
    ...
  21. Thread: NFL Picks

    by blackswan
    Replies
    35
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    19,208

    Here is my pick for the Super Bowl Under 48.5...

    Here is my pick for the Super Bowl

    Under 48.5 @ 1.82

    Seattle boasts the best defence in the league while the Patriots defence is ranked 8th in the league for points conceded. The previous...
  22. Thread: NFL Picks

    by blackswan
    Replies
    35
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    19,208

    Here are the results for the conference...

    Here are the results for the conference championships:

    Seattle @ 1.33 (WIN - never in doubt ;) )
    New England @ 1.38 (WIN)

    If 10 units were wagered on each, the result is +7.1 units on 20 units...
  23. Thread: NFL Picks

    by blackswan
    Replies
    35
    Views
    19,208

    Here are my picks for the conference...

    Here are my picks for the conference championships:

    Seattle @ 1.33
    Seattle are 8-1 at home over the last 12 months while Green Bay are 4-4 on the road. Green Bay are 0-3 over the last 12 months...
  24. Thread: NFL Picks

    by blackswan
    Replies
    35
    Views
    19,208

    Here are the results for the Divisional Round: ...

    Here are the results for the Divisional Round:

    Here are my picks for the Divisional Round:

    Baltimore +7.0 @ 1.88 (WIN)
    Seattle v Carolina - Under 40.5 @ 1.92 (Loss)
    Green Bay v Dallas - over...
  25. Thread: NFL Picks

    by blackswan
    Replies
    35
    Views
    19,208

    Here are my picks for the Divisional Round: ...

    Here are my picks for the Divisional Round:

    Baltimore +7.0 @ 1.88
    Baltimore have been a bogey team for New England in recent years. When Joe Flacco is on fire Baltimore look capable of beating...
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