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  1. #1
    New Member
    Join Date
    Sep 2017

    Football odds q?

    hi guys
    got a football % question

    Stirling scored O2.5 goals in 75% of their games
    Elgin scored O2.5 goals in 100% of their games

    how do I work out the odds of the game going 02.5 goals in the match?

    is it 75/100
    2 fractions 175/200 then divide by 2 so 87.5 of the game going over 2.5 goals based on the stats
    or am i working it out wrong?


  2. #2
    New Member
    Join Date
    Sep 2017
    another one is team A 33% over 2.5 team b 67% over 2.5

    whats the % odds over 2.5 scored? which i can turn into odds

  3. #3
    Join Date
    Sep 2014
    I'm not sure about the first example, but for the second one it sounds like the Poisson Distribution could answer that question (explanatory article: https://www.pinnacle.com/en/betting-...62MLXUMKMXZ6A8), sample output: http://www.aussportstipping.com/spor...a_vs_man_city/). The model takes into account each team's offensive and defensive strengths.




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