Football betting Daily Picks

[paul8209]

France: Ligue 1: Bordeaux- Nantes

France: Ligue 1: Bordeaux- Nantes


Guingamp had terrible problems dealing with the Thursday-Sunday turnaround from Europe League games last season, something we touched upon several times and in general terms, I do not feel that the format suits French clubs and it is certainly true that as a nation they have underperformed in the "other" European club competition. Having said that, Bordeaux had a "way out" of the Europa League if they had wanted it, leading 1-0 from the home leg, they were 2-0 down at Kairat with 12 minutes left to play, before finding a way back into the tie, which implies they are keen to do well, as does their team selection for the long, gruelling trip to Kazakhstan, with Almaty a 12,000 km round trip from Bordeaux and with a four hour time difference. They used ten players who battled to a 0-0 draw with Lille last Sunday for the midweek game and several others made the journey. Travel, time difference and quick turnaround is going to put huge demands on Bordeaux, who lost at home to Reims after their previous EL away day and they are still a little short handed with Contento, Diabaté (20 goals in last 40 apperances), Plasil, Sané and Sertic still sidelined, which robs them of goal threat and five potential starters.

Nantes have had a full eight days to prepare solely for this, they are unbeaten so far and are yet to concede a goal , they look stronger than in recent campaigns, have upgraded their offense and appear to have strengthened an already solid looking backline, they have all the advantages coming into this match and should be up to leaving with at least a point. Young striker Emiliano Sala who has scored a LOT of lower league goals is fit to return to the line up after missing the last two starts.

Bordeaux: Carrasso, Prior - Gajic, Guilbert, Pallois, Poundjé, Yambéré - Chantôme, Khazri, Maulun, Poko, Saivet, Traoré - Crivelli, Jussiê, Maurice-Belay, Rolan, Kiese Thelin, Touré.

Nantes: Riou, Dupé – Kwateng, Djidji, Dubois, Lenjani, Vizcarrondo – Bedoya, Deaux, R.Gomis, Rongier, Thomasson, B.Touré – Audel, Sigthorsson, Bammou, Iloki, Sala.

Nantes +0.25 ball 2.17 asian line/Sportmarket.

from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

[paul8209]

Brazil Serie A Corinthians- Fluminense


Having posted back to back defeats, Fluminense are starting to lose their way in the hunt for a top four plave and it is not easy to make a case for them turning things around on the road to league leading Corinthians who have a wonderful 9-0-1 home record, especially as Flu have lost their last four away starts and those to teams with an average league position of 14.25, they also have the small matter of the Flu-Fla derby at the weekend and the visitors cannot give everything tonight, fall short and then run the risk of playing their cross town rival with nothing left in the tank.

Corinthians are playing with freedom and style, they have won their last four scoring 12 goals in the process and they will be eager to at least retain their four point advantage at the top of the table, with victory this evening.

Flu have made the trip without Ronaldinho who was booed from the pitch by his own supporters at the weekend and who is struggling for form, Gum and Edson did not train with the main group yesterday and are carrying minor knocks, but will probably start, Wellington Silva and Fred did finally return to full training, but are probably not ready to play yet, but we might see one or both at the weekend and I suspect that is their most important game this week and certainly the more win-able. Defensively they look a little suspect and without top scorer Fred, they are never so prolific at the other end of the pitch (lost 5/7 in his absence this season, just 3/14 when he plays).


Corinthians -0.75 ball 2.13 asian line/Sportmarket.

from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

[paul8209]

England League1 Barnsley - Shrewsbury Town

England League1 Barnsley - Shrewsbury Town


I gave a big mention to Barnsley in my League 1 outright notes (see below) and I suggest that quickly reading those is a good place to start this preview. The hosts made a good start to League 1 and pushed Everton all the way in the Capital One Cup recently, losing in extra time, ahead of that my notes included..........."I feel the Tykes are still trying to integrate a lot of new signings into the squad and to get them to play a certain way and are therefore, still very much a team in transition, one who will improve through the season" . They impressed a lot of people with their performance that day and boss Lee johnson has clearly got them to gel quickly. After such a draining and high profile (televised) fixture against top flight opposition, it was perhaps no surprise that they had little left for their league game a couple of days later, but the got back on track in the JPT this midweek and might be facing Town at the perfect time. The visitors have been big sellers in the window and lost the crown jewels in terms of four hugely promising young players in Conor Goldson ( Brighton), Josh Ginnelly (Burnley), Harry Lewis (Southampton) and Ryan Woods (Brentford), fees were undisclosed, but I know the Bees paid close to £1m and Town have banked circa £2m, but this will not be spent on new signings, but on securing the long term future of the club and players coming in will be young and pretty much bargain basement. These are big losses, Woods was their driving force in midfield and they have lost 6 of 11 starts he has missed in the last two campaigns and remember, that includes a promotion season.

Despite not yet getting the John Stones funds ( see below) and they will come sooner or later in any case, the Tykes signed two proven lower league strikers in Michael Smith (15 L1 goals for Swindon Town last season) and Simeon Jackson (50 in three seasons at up to Championship level) and look to be firmly targeting promotion. Town need to regroup and I don't feel a trip to Oakwell is the best place to start and that odds for the home side are very generous today.


Barnsley -0.25 ball 2.21 asian line/ Sportmarket .

from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

[paul8209]

France Ligue2 Tours - Bourg Peronnas

France Ligue2 Tours - Bourg Peronnas


Tours have named a very offensive looking line up today and having scored ten in their last five starts in all competitions, it is hard to see them coming up short today against a viistors who have played some wide open encounters already, especially on the road. Tours will definitely be a little more suspect defensively this evening with left back Samuel Bouhours and deep lying midfielder Haris Belkebla both sidelined. The pair are ever present this season and Bouhours missed just one start last season ( a 2-1 defeat) and whilst both will be missed, the loss of him could be huge.

I was very doubtful about the visitors chances of staying in Ligue 2 early seaon, but have spoken several times since about them having a "little something" , team spirit is good and they battle all the way and are now unbeaten in five, their last defeat was away to Creteil in a match they dominated, so they should not be underestimated and certainly will not be by me. However, they have conceded 5 in three road games and both scored and conceded in 6 of 7 competitive starts and they are not going to keep too many clean sheets. So both look vulnerable defensively and we know that there will be space for each to exploit, especially with Tours naming a very adventurous looking squad. I couldn't oppose the hosts as they have served us so well, but likewise feel it will be very difficult for them to keep the visitors out for 90 minutes.............. goals for me.

Tours : Kamara, Westberg, Cillard, Gradit, Louvion, Miguel, Milosevic,Agouazi, Berenguer, Bergougnoux, Khaoui, Maouche, Santamaria, Bosetti, Kouakou, Malfleury, Miracoli, Tandia.

Bourg-en-Bresse : Callamand, Fabri, Alphonse, Perradin, Goyon, Diompy, Berthomier, Boussaha, N'Simba, Ogier, Sane, Nirlo, Dimitriou, Dembele, Damour, Ba.


over 2.5 goals 2.35 asian line/Sportmarket.

from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

[paul8209]

Crystal Palace- Manchester City


I do not want to spend too long on this, I have no issue with City as EPL favourites and they might even run away with the title, but they were not favourites pre season and to be quoted at 1.44-1.50 after four matches is absolutely crazy in my opinion.

"Palace are their closest challengers at present and they have made a very solid start to their season and to out bets on them in the outright markets, pre season I wrote ....
Palace had a great first season in the Premier league in 2013-14 finishing 11th, the second season is always the tough one and they looked in trouble at the turn of the year, but Alan Pardew arrived at New Year and the favourite son of Palace fans took them on an amazing run, 32 points in the second half of the season which equates to 5th spot over a full campaign and they finished tenth, three points and one spot better than under Tony Pulis. This was not a total surprise, ok maybe the manner or it was, but I know a couple of Palace supporters and was well aware of how much Pardew is loved there and the galvanising effect he could have on the club and when he is supported and backed, he is a good coach. We discussed his arrival in some depth and notes from his first couple of starts are reproduced below and they beat Tottenham in that first home league game.

Where can they go from here ? That is the big question and to be honest, for any mid table side and we have to now consider Palace that, it is always easier to fall back and get involved in a relegation scrap, which is obviously easier than the quantum leap required to challenge for a top six spot, but I do not see them heading downwards and there is a bit of leeway in terms of a 7-10th place finish. Pardew took West Ham United to 9th and an FA Cup Final in the same season and Newcastle United into Europe, so has history, but South London is where his heart is being a local lad and he has certainly not lacked for support from the board, who have allowed him to upgrade his squad significantly. He has signed Yohan Cabaye (PSG) a player he had under him at Newcastle, Patrick Bamford (Chelsea) and Connor Wickham ( Sunderland) , without losing anyone he wanted to keep from last season's squad, this is hugely impressive and I see improvement likely for the Eagles. There is certainly room for it in terms of home form, last season they collect 27 of 48 points on the road and lost ten times at Selhurst Park, which was surprising as the atmosphere there is incredibly good, Even if they could just find another 9 points winning three of those ten, that would have been enough for 8th and to within two points of Southampton who had a stunning season. Obviously there is good potential and still room to improve.

I am going to suggest we split our stakes and bet them to finish "best of the rest" so without the big 6 clubs, Arsenal, Chelsea, United, City, Liverpool and Tottenham, along with a top ten finish bet, they were within a spot in 2013-14, made it last season and have majorly upgraded their squad and odds look too big, for what I make a coin flip."

I am full of admiration for the job that Alan Pardew has done and he is the right coach, for the right club (his club) at the right time and I have seen nothing to make me think they will not be competing for a top 6-8 spot, maybe even better and the squad is very strong with Pardew looking to push out on loan, players whom supporters would have been drooling over 18 months ago. Having already beaten Chelsea and Arsenal, City will not have the Eagles quaking in their boots and Palace beat the light blues here just five months ago and a repeat would certainly not surprise, although this has a drawish look to me, regardless of which, the handicap start is too big for me to resist.


Crystal Palace +0.75 ball 2.00 asian line/Sportmarket.

from Sports betting Advice Service Clubgowi

[paul8209]

Leicester City- Aston Villa 13.09


City have been proving fun to watch, they have yet to keep a cleansheet, or taste defeat, scoring 12 goals themselves , Villa are struggling defensively, conceding 11 in their last four EPL away starts, that includes a 1-0 win at Bournemouth, where they should have conceded at least twice, they also shipped three at home to League 2 Notts County in the Capital One Cup and two at Villa Park to Sunderland and Tim Sherwood has a big ask sorting out his backline. He is a very offensive minded coach anyway and always wants to play on the front foot, it was always going to be tough to replace Christian Benteke, but his team have been creating chances and pose a big aerial threat especially through Rudi Gestede and the crosses of left-back Jordan Amavi and the same is also true of the Foxes who have scored a EPL high three headed goals and Villa showed a weak spot in defending crosses/corners versus Crystal Palace. Therefore, we can surely look for both to be getting the ball into the box at every opportunity and as quickly as possible and neither team looks likely to keep a clean sheet.

I can actually see improvement in Villa and when Amavi and Leandro Bacuna do not go quite so gung-ho on the flanks , or get protection, they will look more solid and Sherwood is looking to address this with a change in formation ( but been unable to work on it over the break, with key players away on international duty) and whilst I see the visitors having more than a 20% (5.0) chance of winning this, they are another team who will probably be stronger in 3-4 weeks time. For today, I suspect they will need to score at least once and probably twice to get something out of this, both to score looks solid, but 1.80 is way too short for me, so .....

over 2.75 goals 2.19 asian line/Sportmarket will be my pick and a 2-2 draw my suggestion for any adventurous minded readers.

from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

[paul8209]

England League 1: Sheffield United -Colchester United 15.09


This is another match where I cannot agree with the odds, but this time I am firmly behind the hosts. United are 4-0-2, all games have been decisive with the four wins and two defeats all coming by at least two goals which is unusual, the Blades are coming off a 3-1 home defeat to Bury at the weekend, but dominated that game and on another day would have won by a couple of goals. They will be very motivated to get back on track , not least as they face back to back Yorkshire derby games after this, starting with a massive trip to Bradford City on Sunday in front of the television cameras. They desperately need maximum points this evening.

Squad size and fitness levels, boss Nigel Adkins works his teams as hard as anyone outside the top two divisions, should give United an advantage with the quick turnaround and he is certainly not underestimating Colchester, despite them not having posted a win yet, he has had them watched several times and gave a very detailed and good report on the U's on the Blades website yesterday. The visitors are operating on a different level to the hosts and have tight bedgetry restraints, they have conceded four in their last 12 competitive starts and the three they shipped at Chesterfield on Saturday give real cause for concern, as the Spirites played over 75 minutes with ten men and United only equalised very late when the home side just ran out of energy. Trips to Chesterfield and Sheffield United back to back are tough regardless of how many men they faced at the weekend and they conceded seven to Sheffield United in two defeats last season, losing 4-1 here in February.

If the hosts win, the handicap should not be an issue, so .....

Sheffield United -1 ball 2.25 asian line/ Sportmarket.

from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

[paul8209]

Premier League: Newcastle United- Watford

Premier League: Newcastle United- Watford 19.09

We have not discussed United much this season, but ahead of their league opener with Southampton I wrote ...."United have invested heaving in the summer with new boss Steve McClaren signing Chancel Mbemba, Aleksandar Mitrovic and Georgino Wijnaldum, names which will roll off Geordie tongues (!) signed for circa 50m €. The former England coach will be desperate to hit the ground running and erase all thoughts of that disasterous finish to last season, which saw the Magpies collect just 10 points from 18 starts in 2015, before a final day win over West Ham United which confirmed their safety. That was scary and not just the results , but the level of performance, which was simply unacceptable. Big job for McClaren, but he is up to the task and I expect an upbeat showing from the Magpies today, however, whether that will be enough to beat the Saints is open to question and the visitors have scored ten goals in the last three meetings and 15 in the last six. Feel that we will see both on the scoresheet today , which has been the case in the last three meetings here in the North East."

That finished 2-2 and it was performance full of promise for long suffering (try suppporting a L1/l2 team for a few decades !) Geordies after what they had witnessed last season, they have not been able to build on that, but a point at Old Trafford and a second half showing at Upton Park last week have given reason to feel that first win was on it's way, we can forgive them the home loss to Arsenal, but failure to win today is likely to signal the end of the period of grace for McClaren and his new signings and I would call this a pivotal game in United's season and the boss has spoken about it in similar terms since the defeat on Monday. They are without suspended Aleksandar Mitrovic again today and have a couple of injuries and yes, they are trying to build a new team, but we are now six games in and from today, these are only going to be seen as excuses and now they need three points. Watford and their style of football will not be quite the surprise to McClaren it is to other EPL teams, he faced them twice last season when in charge at Derby County ( four points and four goals) ,with the visitors missing suspended holding midfielder Valon Behrami and centre back Miguel Britos, their defensive spine options are lessened and with the Hornets a team who have also struggled for goals ( just one in five ) since opening day, this is as good an opportunity as it is going to get for the Magpies, with Chelsea and Manchester City up next

Newcastle United -0.25 ball 2.11 asian line/Sportmarket.

from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

[paul8209]

France Ligue2 Tours- Creteil 22.09


We should expect goals in this midweek round and this is a fixture which normally provides them. Tours scored eight in the two meetings last season, Creteil have scored in the last five, including two + in three of four and the last four h2h games have gone "over", averaging 4.25 goals. Tours have conceded in six of their last seven starts, with only toothless Sochaux coming up short and have fallen behind in their last three, but took points from two of those games, so a nasty habit, but they are resilient and heads do not drop when they concede.

You are never quite sure what you will get from them and despite losing 1-0 at home to Valenciennes on Friday, Creteil are happy, or rather will get sucked into playing a very open style if opponents do likewise and are prepared to go toe to toe, it is in their DNA and these two teams, despite having slightly more defensive minded coaches now, cannot help themselves, one goal will lead to 3-4...

Tours : Kamara, Westberg - Bouhours, Cillard, Gradit, Louvion, Milosevic - Agouazi, Bergougnoux, Khaoui, Maouche, Raveloson, Santamaria - Bosetti, Kouakou, Malfleury, Miracoli, Tandia.

Créteil : Kerboriou, Merville - Di Bartolomeo, Diedhiou, Esor, Hérelle, Konongo, Mahon de Monaghan - Augusto, Benaniba, Lesage, Mollet, Montaroup - Andriatsima, Dabo, Sackho.

over 2.5 goals 2.11 asian line/Sportmarket.

from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

[paul8209]

Premier League Newcastle United- Chelsea


I do not know what to make of United after last week's performance, they were 2-0 down and effectively out of the game at home to Watford and I spoke at the time about how vital that match was with some very difficult fixtures on the near horizon

They had the chance to get some momentum back with a visit from Championship side Sheffield United in midweek and whilst I appreciate that it is all about survival for the Magpies ,they really needed a win, just to give the club/splayers and supporters a lift, but they lost that too and the boos have been ringing out at St James' Park. Their play has been a little one dimensional with a huge number of crosses in the box ( 40 versus Watford) and few finding their intended target , circa 10%. Boss Steven McClaren has spoken about a club in crisis this week and that his players lack belief, his team have won just three times in 2015 and the head coach just 3 in 21 overseeing a poor end of the season at Derby County and they are both short of confidence and why winning one of the previous two games was essential.

Chelsea could afford to field a B team and score four at Walsall in midweek and are starting to build a little momentum.

They are without Diego Costa today, but Chelsea are unbeaten in his absence ( 8-4-0) and really need to win this to continue their long climb up the table, by kick off, two or three of the other big 4 are likely to have posted wins and it will be virtually game over in terms of the title and before the end of September for the West london side, if they do not do likewise.


Chelsea -1 ball 2.19 asian line/Sportmarket.

from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

[paul8209]

Brazil Serie A Flamengo - Vasco da Gama


Vasco have had a nightmare season back in the top flight, but, after looking dead and buried, 10 points from four games have give them a survival lifeline and they could yet launch the great escape, masterminded by head coach Jorginho who took charge at the club last month. It took a couple of matches for him to get his ideas across, but players are in sync with the coach now and he as a former Flamengo coach and player, will know what this huge Rio derby means to club and supporters. Flamengo are the only team in Brazil to have collected more points on the road and their home record of 6-4-5 in on a par with the teams battling the drop, the two rivals are meeting for the sixth time this season in all competitions and Vasco have only lost once and will be straining every sinew today to ensure that #2 doesn't come this evening at the Maracana. Flamengo have conceded six goals in losing their last two starts and have shipped the most goals of any team outside the bottom six and by some way and with Vasco having scored twice in each of their last three starts, there will surely be a goal or two in this for the visitor and one is often enough to claim a result in this most keenly fought derby fixtures, with none of the last ten Serie A meetings being decided by more than a goal .


Vasco da Gama +0.75 ball 2.08 asian line/sportmarket.

from Sports betting Advice Service Clubgowi

[paul8209]

England League 1 : Colchester United- Bradford City 29.09

Colchester were largely outplayed last round, but won 2-1 with the Gills missing a penalty and a whole host of late chances, defensively the U's have been underfperforming, but they certainly have goals in them , they are battling hard and must be confident after that series of results and they followed up with another three points at Swindon Town with a 2-1 win on Saturday. At the risk of sounding like a broken record, a lot went their way in that game with Town suffering a series of injuries both immediately before and early during the match .

Today they hosts Bradford City who were amongst the pre season promotion favourites, but who find themselves nearer the drop zone than playoffs , although a couple of wins will soon address that, they looked to be running into some form before they stalled with a 2-0 home defeat to a surging Peterborough United at the weekend in front of an almost 18,000 crowd ( City are a massive club at this level) and will want to immediately bounce back this evening. They will have to do so without midfielder Paul Anderson who broke his leg against Posh and again fate does seem to be smiling a little on United. However, City have played really well in their last three road starts and they, like every team who has faced United in recent weeks will get chances and probably numerous ones and I would be amazed if there were not goals in this for both teams. City are hard hit by injury and weakened on both flanks and the home side could have a lot of joy out wide and despite all their defensive failings, have scored 14 in their last six starts, two or more in each and a feature of those games has been early goals, with 14 before the half hour mark in their last seven games, two or more in six and that always helps with "overs" !


over 2.75 goals 2.13 asian line/Sportmarket.

from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

[paul8209]

Europa League PAOK - Borussia Dortmund 1.10

Back to back draws have seen Borussia Dortmund fall four points off title pace in the Bundesliga and I do not doubt for one moment that their trip to face leaders Bayern in Munich at the weekend will take priority and team news very much suggests that ,with a host of players left behind in Germany, with Sunday very much in mind. Borussia had to come from behind to claim all three points against Krasnodar on group Matchday 1 and we discussed earlier in the season about how their focused dropped in the playoff round versus Odd, when they conceded five goals and trailed 3-0 inside 25 minutes in the away leg. They have conceded two away to Hannover and at home to Darmstadt recently and this is a team with all their real talent at the other end of the pitch and they do let their intensity drop against lesser opponents. PAOK have just found some form winning their last three starts and scoring two or more in each and they will be up for this with Dortmund a big name visitor, two offensive minded teams and goals look on the cards.

PAOK to score "over" 1.5 goals at a general quote of 3.50, alternative would have to be "over" 3 on the asian line.

from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

[paul8209]

France Ligue 2 Nancy - Ajaccio

France Ligue 2 Nancy - Ajaccio 2.10

Breakthrough win for Ajaccio last round (1-0 vs Auxerre) and it surely provided a massive confidence boost and we get a big price on them to follow up this evening. Nancy are expected to be a big player at this level , but they have not won in four and have dropped points at home to Niort (similar level to Ajaccio) and Auxerre (defeat) in that sequence and goals are proving hard to come by for the home side. They are also without suspended defensive midfielder Diallo Guidileye and with Coulibaly and Aït Bennasser also sidelined, that leaves them weakened across the middle and especially short of options in the holding role. This is my potential upset of the day and I will probably try and take a little on the visitors to win at circa 7.0-7.5 which seems too big , but for my "official bet............... Ajaccio +0.75 at 2.17 at Sportmarket

from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

[paul8209]

La Liga Levante-Villarreal 4.10

Villa are having a huge season and currently sit top of La Liga and making good Europa League progress. I am not sure how long they can hold off the big 3, but with Barce dropping three points last night and the other two meeting in the Madrid derby this evening, they will surely want to make hay while the sun shines and take advantage. Three points will ensure they remain top going into the break and that would also open up a five point advantage over the Catalan giants. Perhaps more importantly long term, at least in Champions League terms, is the fact that they are already seven points ahead of big rivals Valencia and seven up on Sevilla (who have already played this weekend) and if they could extend that today it would be a very healthy advantage.

Levante are struggling. without a win in ten and having conceded nine in their last three starts, they have given up five goals in their last three home fixtures, conceding in each and have already lost to Villa here in pre season, 2-0. In La Liga, Villarreal have won on six of their last seven visits, scoring 2+ in all wins and I strongly favour another fairly comfortable road derby win for the away side, with an already poorly performing hos,t now missing three key players in Angel Truijillo, Verza and Ruben Garcia, which leaves them weaker in the centre of the backline and across midfield where Villa are very strong.

Villarreal -0.75 ball 2.23 asian line/Sportmarket.

from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi