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  1. #841
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    France Coupe de la Ligue Rennes vs Toulouse

    Rennes host Toulouse for the second time this season, winning the earlier meeting 3-1, the visitors are in relegation trouble, three points from safety and with a vital home league game with Lille at the weekend and that should really be their priority and they arrive without the suspended trio of captain Jean-Daniel Akpa -Akpro, defensive midfielder Yann Bodiger and young central defender Issa Diop, who all played in the weekend 1-1 draw at Nantes. They look big losses and already missing four starters to injury, including top scorer Martin Braithwaite and with the hosts fully committed to this and feeling that they are playing far better than recent results might suggest, for example in the weekend draw with high flying Caen on Friday, they enjoyed 68% possession, 22 attempts on goal and had 37 crosses into the box, I see good value in the home win at odds against. Hosts played on Friday which is a big advantage, not only does it mean 24 hours extra rest and recovery time, but it means a full training session ahead of this game and that can often be key.

    Rennes -0.5 ball 2.11 asian line/Sportmarket

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

  2. #842
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    France Coupe De La Ligue Bordeaux vs AS Monaco

    This is not a match up you would look at in the cold light of day and immediately think goals, but the league game here just five weeks ago ended 3-1 and the last two meetings in Bordeaux have produced nine goals and the last four Monaco away starts 18 (four + in three) and given the nature of how games in the competitition tend to play out (see above) and odds offered today, we have to take this to follow all those trends and produce goals. Looking at the league table and given that both have no further involvement in the Europa League to "worry" about, we should expect each to be keen to progress, but both are set to rotate their starting line ups. Bordeaux have said openly that they are especially keen to blood some youngsters, feeling that the visit from Marseille at the weekend should be given priority, but the squad named doesn't quite bear that thinking out, it might be a bit of a smokescreen and either way, I do feel they will go for this.

    Monaco have left several players at home including Lacina Traore, Stephan El Shaarawy and keeper Danijel Subasic and have added a few youngsters of their own to the group. Despite what has been said by the home head coach I prefer the chances of Bordeaux today looking at the squads, but feel that the "over" offers slightly better value.

    Bordeaux: Carrasso, Prior - Contento, Guilbert, Poundjé, Ambrose, Yambéré - Khazri, Maulun, Ounas, Plasil, Poko, Saivet, Traoré, Vada - Diabaté, Laborde, Rolan, Kiese Thelin.

    ASM: Nardi, Sy - Carvalho, Echiejilé, Fabinho, Raggi, Wallace - Bakayoko, Bahlouli, Boschilia, Dirar, Gil, Helder, Lemar, Mexique, Pasalic, Silva, Toulalan - Cavaleiro, Mbappé.

    over 2.25 goals 2.07 asian line/Sportmarket.

    over 3.5 goals at a general quote of 4.33 appeals given the competition stats and that the last two h2h meetings and 3/4 Monaco road games have all gone over this line.

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

  3. #843
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    France Ligue2 Le Havre vs Auxerre

    Le Havre have dropped back to sixth, eight points off promotion pace, the same as visitors Auxerre who are in 7th with the same number of points. Auxerre have taken ten points from their last four starts and it is hard to pick too many holes in that form, not least the back to back cleansheets at Metz and Dijon, however, when they do concede, a second usually follows and when not keepng an opponent scoreless, they have allowed an average of 2.125 per game and they have given up two on each of their last three visits to Le Havre. The top two in this divison look strong and Metz are a solid third, if any of the chasing pack are going to put in a major promotion push they are going to have to forgo the odd draw in the hunt for all three points, or otherwise just "give up" with only two promotion spots up for grabs this season and surely no one is prepared to do that just yet, or without a fight. So, both to go all out for the win.

    HAC have named an unchanged squad, with striker Mathieu Duhamel and defensive midfielder Jean-Pascal Fontaine still absent, they obviously still pose an offensive threat, but are clearly far more vulnerable defensively at present and again, they might well need two goals to get something from this and that applies to both teams.Visiting coach Jean-Luc Vannuchi has pledged to come looking for all three points and this should be an entertaining encounter

    HAC: Farnolle, Milosavljevic - Chebake, Puel, Fortes, Cambon, Bain, Mendy - Louiserre, Manzala, Gamboa, Bonnet, M'Bami - Mendes, Gimbert, Mousset.

    Auxerre: Boucher, Lenogue - Aguilar, Hountondji, Puygrenier, Sefil, Sylla - Diaw, Konaté, Lefebvre, Seck, Vincent - Ba, Berthier, Courtet, Diarra.

    over 2.25 goals 2.17 asian line/Sportmarket

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

  4. #844
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    England Championship: Reading vs Blackburn Rovers

    Reading have lost their way and have only beaten basement club Bolton in their last ten starts and have really struggled to hold onto leads in that sequence. Rovers are on an unbetaen run of eight and have only conceded once in four away starts and not at all in closing in on 300 minutes and not lost to the Royals in 11 league meetings. The visitors are suddenly very well organised under Paul Lambert and could move to within three points of the playoffs with the win this afternoon. Hosts have a new manager to impress in Brian McDermott, but he has only had a couple of days with the squad and he has some big defensive issues with Andrew Taylor , Anton Ferdinand and Chris Gunter major doubts, Gunter is the only recognised right back and a midfielder will probably drop back if he misses out, his eye injury was bad and required a lot of stitches. Seems sure that the Royals will have players out of position, or a very young backline against a well organised team in good form, with a potent Championship striker in Jordan Rhodes. McDermott will also probably not be able to play his preferred formation either and I think he is going to need time to turn this group around.

    Blackburn Rovers level ball 2.28 asian line/Sportmarket

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

  5. #845
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    England Championship: Brentford vs Brighton

    Not going to spend too long on this, we have discussed the Bees more than any other team in the last three years and most of you know more about them than any club apart from your own. Last week ahead of a home game with Huddersfield Town my notes included ........

    "That ended 2-2, Bees led, gifted Fulham an equaliser with a real howler of an own goal from James Tarkowski and were wrongly denied a winner from Jota for offside . In midweek, they went to Cardiff City and lost 3-2, they started very sluggishly, which was always going to be a bit of a concern after the big derby game and were two down at the break, but came on strong in the second period and especially with the introduction of Jota and Josh McEachran and a team leading showing from captain Alan Judge, which got them back on level terms and there was only one winner from that stage and the Bees were well on top, only to lose deep in injury time following another defensive error. Not too much to worry about, they should have scored five against Dons, three at Fulham and got two at Cardiff, they have a VERY strong bench now and goals are really going to start flowing soon. Central defender Harlee Dean will be available following suspension today and Maxime Colin will should come in at right back after a long term injury and both should help steady the Bees defensively. Jota must be close to a full start now and surely we will get an hour from McEachran who was hugely impressive from the bench in midweek. "


    No start from Jota, but he got another outing from the bench, as did McEachran, Colin and Dean both started and the backline looked far more solid , despite conceding twice (one was down to a player slipping when there was no danger and the game already won). Very promising, but they will be tested fully today by Brighton, who finally lost their unbeaten record last weekend. However, the visitors suddenly look vulnerable, have conceded two or more in their last four starts, including at home to a struggling Charlton and with the Bees so full of goals, four last week should have been six and the 13 they have scored in their last six starts ( 2+ in five), could easily, no, should have been 20, it is hard not to see some offensive joy today for the hosts. Bees scored four in the two h2h games last season, both of which they won and can thrill a sold out Griffin Park in this early kick off. I think they might win and could really be facing the Seagulls at the right time and there is a big rivalry between the two club owners, who were formerly friends, so the players know what it means to Matthew Benham, but I feel the best value by far is ............

    Brentford to score two or more goals 2.30-2.375 general quote.

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

  6. #846
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    England League 1 : Gillingham vs Colchester United

    Colchester lost 2-0 at home to neighbours Southend United last round, but they were much improved there, especially in the first half and I do think that they might get back on track in the coming weeks once new boss Kevin Keen has had some time to work with the squad , that will have to be more than the few hours he has had over the weekend to discuss things and what United could really do with is a free seven days, but there is little chance of that right now. Gills are coming from back to back road wins by an aggregate of 6-1 and they will be looking for something similar today, after losing their long unbeaten home record in their last start at Priestfield a 3-0 loss to Burton Albion. The Brewers were worthy winners, but the match turned on the first half dismissal of Doug Loft and the scoreline was given a lopsided look by two injury time goals once the Gills had thrown caution to the wind.

    Hosts are our big (huge) priced outright selection for League 1 and the two wins over the holiday have got them right back in contention and the 3-1 win at Swindon Town on Saturday was very impressive, they came from behind against a team running into form, also missed a penalty, so the win could have been even more emphatic and all their "star" names appear to have returned to form. Bradley Dack, who is a player we have discussed several times and one who has had a lot of interest from higher up the footballing food chain, has scored in the last two and a goal scoring midfielder is always in demand and there will be a scout from almost every Championship club looking at him and several other Gills today. Home win.

    Gillingham -0.75 ball 1.98 asian line/Sportmarket

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

  7. #847
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    Scotland: Aberdeen vs Partick Thistle

    Two of the SPL's inform teams, Partick are unbeaten in five ( four wins) and are up to a season high sixth place, but this is a club overachieving and having had to deal with a lot of on and off the pitch issues, all credit to them for doing so, but I am not convinced they can continue at this level and those last five opponents have had an average league placing of 8.6 (12 team league). Thistle have lost all four starts against top three teams by two or more goals, by an aggregate 11-0 , including a 2-0 loss to second placed Dons in the reverse fixture. The hosts are unbeaten in seven ( five wins) since losing a top of the table clash with Celtic, but remain the leaders closest challenger and could even go top themselves today should Celtic drop points at Dundee. They have a minimum target of not letting the gap to the top increase over their next four starts, before they entertain the leaders in early February.

    Hosts expect to get midfielder Willo Flood back today after he sat out the 2-2 draw with ICT at the weekend, when he plays the Dons are 11-1-1 (6-0-0 at home) and his influence is fairly obvious. Partick will be without suspended defensive midfielder Sean Welsh who has played some part in all 18 starts this season, but he sat out almost all of two games, a home loss to Dundee and a wide open encounter with struggling Kilmarnock. Home win, I am tempted by giving up the bigger handicap, but will "officially" opt for ........

    Aberdeen -1 ball 2.08 asian line/Sportmarket

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

  8. #848
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    Serie A : Genoa vs Sampdoria

    Big derby game, neither comes into this match in great shape with just three wins between them in their last 20 (ten each) starts. The Christmas break was probably a god send for Genoa who had lost four league games in a row in build up, failed to score in the last three and had a home cup defeat to a third tier team sandwiched inbetween. The Coppa Italia is treated seriously and the win for Alessandria, was the first time that a Serie C (Lega Pro) team had reached the last eight of the competition in more than 30 years, which highlights the magnitude of the defeat and how poorly Genoa are playing. That loss was an huge embarassment and one not eased by a follow up loss at Roma where the hosts finished with ten men and the 2-0 defeat still flattered Genoa, who sit just two points above the drop zone.

    Sampdoria are four points better off and went into the break in far better spirits, comforted by a 2-0 win over Palermo, they had suffered three home defeats in a row (league and cup) before that, which was a real dip after going unbeaten through their first seven starts (five wins) this season at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris. The two clubs share the stadium, so whilst this is technically a home game for Genoa and they will have the advantage of support and the home dressing room, the surroundings and build up are certainly not as unfamiliar for Samp as they would be for a normal away fixture.

    The "hosts" get a boost today with the return of Goran Pandev and addition of new signings Suso and Luca Rigoni, but the veteran forward has only played some 631 minutes (90 mins only 4 times) in the last two seasons and has not scored a goal in 20 months, the newbies might need time to make an impact and Suso, who is on loan from Milan, has had even less football than Pandev and is taking a long time to fulfill his early promise. I am not sure that these two are the immediate answers to a squad that did not score a league goal in December and now that Sampdoria have claimed that first win for coach Vincenzo Montella, they look the value today to continue their good derby record in recent seasons, losing just one of the last six meetings and seeking a third straight "away" win today. They are helped considerably by the suspension to Diego Perotti, Genoa have lost 9 of 10 starts when the fiesty wide man plays an hour or less, when he plays 60 mins plus they have lost just one in eight this season and that was away to league leaders Inter

    Sampdoria +0.25 ball 2.00 asian line/Sportmarket

    from Sports betting Advice Service Clubgowi

  9. #849
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    France Ligue2 Bourg vs Creteil

    In terms of goals, these are the two big players in Ligue 2. BEBP's games have averaged 3.21 goals and Creteil's 2.79 to give that some context, 14 of the other 18 teams fall in the 1.63-2.26 goal range.

    Creteil are the team we have discussed most in recent season in regard to goals and we have seen a return this season to their (wonderful) gung-ho style, especially on the road where they have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.7 goals on average.

    They won the reverse fixture 2-1, but BEBP felt robbed and a wide open encounter might easily have ended 3-3 and I expect plenty of entertainment this evening.

    Creteil arrive very short handed, with three defenders in Diedhiou, Montraroup and Esor suspended and another injured in Christophe Herelle (who has only missed one start this season, a 3-2 road loss to low scoring Laval) along with several others (mainly midfielders). The five defenders who have made the trip are ok, but only one would be first choice and there are effectively half a team of starters short today. They do have a "new" player in Rafik Gérard, who signed 18 months ago (all apart from 26 minutes of which he has spent injured !) after failing to make the grade at PSG, he has six months left on his contract to make an impression and it will be interesting to see him in the next couple of weeks.

    Injuries, and having played a game recently give the hosts the edge and I have to split a couple of bets between them to win and goals, 3-1 feels about right, Creteil have conceded exactly three in 3 of 5 road starts

    Bourg-en-Bresse : Callamand, Fabri, Alphonse, Traore, Perradin, Ogier, N'Simba, Faivre, Nirlo, Dembele, Damour, Boujedra, Berthomier, Begue, Sane, Boussaha.

    Créteil : Kerboriou, Merville - Di Bartolomeo, Fofana, Ilunga, Konongo, Mahon de Monaghan - Augusto, Dias, Gérard, Lafon, Lesage, Mollet - Andriatsima, Dabo, Sylla.

    Bourg -0.75 ball 2.28 asian line/Sportmarket

    over 3 goals 2.54 asian line/Sportmarket

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

  10. #850
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    Premier League: Bournemouth vs West Ham United

    These two played out a real thriller in the reverse fixture at Upton Park which Bounemouth won by the odd goal in seven and I expect if not something similar, then certainly goals and both teams on the scoresheet. The hosts and boss Eddie Howe have been growing into their EPL selves in recent weeks and have hauled themselves out of the drop zone. However, they seem far better suited to playing on the road and that was certainly the case last season in the Championship, when they were a pleasure to watch for 45 games with their free flowing attacking football, the one game they diverted from that, you will win no prizes for guessing, was at Griffin Park where for 90 minutes they turned into game stifling, time wasting, diving , thugs and got what they deserved in a 3-1 defeat . Not sure what happened that day, maybe they took a (Dr Jekyll) My Hyde potion on the team bus, but they tried to be something they were not and thankfully, that was a one off.

    They spent big this week dishing out £10m for Benik Afobe from Wolves, he trained with the team yesterday and might be on the bench tonight, former Brentford striker Lewis Grabban has also rejoined the Cherries from Norwich City and he will not need much time to get back up to speed with the team mates he left the summer before last, their arrival will certainly increase competition for starting places offensively. Bournemouth have conceded an average of 1.7 goals per game, the most of any team outside the drop zone and United, who have scored 11 goals in five starts away to top 8 teams under Slaven Bilic will be confident of adding to that number in what seems sure to be a fairly open encounter. Their goal tally has dropped in recent away starts, but now that Dimitri Payet is approaching full fitness again, that should rise once more, he has created just shy of 50 goalscoring chances in the Premier League this season, almost double any other Hammers player. Their last league game , a 2-0 win over Liverpool in East London featured the second most attempts on goal of any top flight game this season and there should be plenty of goalmouth action again this evening.

    over 2.75 goals 2.47 asian line/Sportmarket. I was originally tempted to go with the 3 goal line, but the more standard line is easier to play and odds are big enough already

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

  11. #851
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    France Ligue2 Nimes vs Clermont

    Nimes problems have been well documented and they sit bottom of Ligue 2 on 12 points, six from safety, however, if we gave them their eight point deduction back they would have five teams below them in the table and are clearly not the worst team in the division and recent form, especially in the goal scoring department has been good, with two goals in 5 of their last 6 starts and they have given themselves a chance of survival. They have some history of running into form at this time of year, in 2013-14 they looked in trouble at Christmas with only 15 points from 18 starts, but then collected the same number from the next eight (4-3-1) and last year, they went on a bit of a tear up with nine wins from 16 starts from November onwards which took them into the promotion race , before the match fixing claims stalled their run. The 29 points they collected in that sequence equates to 69 over a full season and that would have earned them second place and was the level they were playing at for three months and although this is not the same team, it does highlight their potential and they are not your typical bottom of the table team by any means.

    Clermont are up to third, just four points off promotion pace and back on track after a mini blip with 13 goals and 13 points from five starts.

    If we look at their last 30 L2 starts, they have collected an average 1.8 points and that is promotion form across almost a full season and they are clearly top 3 on merit. Two in form teams and both scoring for fun right now and each will surely be looking for three points and will be prepared to gamble to get them. Nimes will be without suspended central defender Anthony Marin.

    We can expect this to really open up after the break with Nimes second halves averaging 1.7 goal per game and Clermont's 1.65 which are the 3rd and 4th highest in Ligue 2 .

    Nîmes : Michel, Gallon - Cordoval, Briançon, Harek, Paquiez, Ripart, Azouni, Savanier, Cissokho, Mounié, Koura, Marin, Lacourt, Maoulida, Tchenkoua.

    Clermont : Jeannin, Caillard - Agounon, Avinel, Bockhorni, Djellabi, Laporte, Martin - Boulaya, Ekobo, Espinosa, Genest, Hunou, Jobello - Diedhiou, Dugimont, Laborde

    over 2.5 goals 2.21 asian line/Sportmarket

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

  12. #852
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    Coupe De France Rennes vs Bourg

    This is not Coupe de la Ligue, which we seem to have spent a lot of column inches talking about again this season, but the national cup competition and whilst traditionally this doesn't quite provide the high scoring encounters we see in the league cup, the four matches featuring Ligue 1 teams versus lower level opposition averaged 3.25 goals at this stage last season and we have two teams here absolutely full of goals at present. BEBP games have produced a L2 high 70 goals ( only three other teams are above 49) at 3.33 per game, which is 1.07 above the league average. My notes on their recent home game with Creteil , which they won 5-1 can be read below the "good luck" sign off. They have subsequently lost 3-0 away to Dijon and their last five starts have averaged 4.0 goals and there is no let up in those big goals numbers when BEBP are involved.

    Rennes are coming off a 4-2 road win at Troyes on Saturday when my preview included .......... "Rennes are in upper mid table thanks to their fine road form which has seen them lose just once away from home and score in all 12 (league and cup) games this season, two or more in five. They have score twice in 42%, once in 100% and with Troyes given up just shy of two per game, it is easy to see value in circa 2.25 for the visitors to score two or more, especially as they get wide players Kamil Grosicki and Paul-Georges Ntep , who have 7 goals and 4 assists between them from just a combined 23 appearances, back today, but I think that we get better odds with the "over" goal line, as Rennes arrive without centre back Mexer ( missed 13 starts in two seasons, just two wins and two clean sheets in his absence) and left back Ludovic Baal (just one clean sheet in seven without him this season)."

    Now they are back on home soil where their form is not quite as impressive, but they are going to face an opponent playing a far more attacking style than they usually see and that should suit and might even feel more like an away game in that aspect. Team spirit is good, heads didn't drop when going 2-0 down there and they celebrated wildly when equalising and I mean all ten outfield players, plus the bench and coaching staff, which I always like as a sign of unity, but they need not have worried, they scored four, it should have been 8-9.

    They claim to be very interested in the competition and they made the final the season before last, head coach Philippe Montanier has rotated the backline and midfield a little , but if anything they look stronger in those areas if anything and Mexer (see above) returns, offensively they are unchanged and the forwards will surely be up for this and fancy their chances of scoring a few goals. Rennes are very keen to get a home win before they entertain Ajaccio at the weekend and I expect them to get an ultimately comfortable one, but with both teams on the scoresheet

    Rennes : Costil, Sorin, Danzé, Mexer, Gnagnon, Armand, M'Bengue, Moreira, Fernandes, André, Poha, Salles Lamonge, Grosicki, Dembelé, Doucouré, Ntep, Boga, Sio

    BEBP: Callamand, Fabri, Dimitriou, Alphonse, Nsimba, Perradin, Traore, Faivre, Lacour, Damour, Dembele, Berthomier, Boujedra, Begue, Boussaha, Sane, Ba, Ogier

    Rennes -1.5 ball 2.33 asian line/Sportmarket.

    over 3 goals 2.37 asian line/Sportmarket Pro, alternative would have to be the more widely quoted 2.75 goals line, or even the 3.5 goal option

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

  13. #853
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    France Coupe de la Ligue: PSG vs Toulouse

    Toulouse are much improved and were unbeaten in six and out of the bottom two, before losing to PSG narrowly at home to PSG eleven days ago. They then had to play the best team (by far) in France again a few days later in Paris in the national cup competition and lost 2-1, so this will be the third time they have played the strongest opposition possible and have to do so on 24 hours less recovery time, as they played away to Monaco (second in the table ) on Sunday and lost 4-0. That is a gruelling , gruelling schedule and the last two losses saw them drop back into the relegation zone and surely, this week has to be all about the weekend visit from Guingamp, a team they can drag into the scrap at the bottom and I suspect focus will quickly turn to that once they concede tonight and, if PSG get that a first half breakthrough this handicap might very quickly not look big enough.

    Toulouse are without suspended central midfielder Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro ( only start he has missed was a 2-1 home loss to Angers) and young centre back Issa Diop (he has started the last eight league games, through which they have collected 11 points, just 9 from 14 starts prior to that). They are already short of options in the middle of the backline with the injury to Jean-Armel Kana-Biyak and that looks bad news facing the most potent strike force in France. PSG scored five here in the league meeting and a repeat is not totally out of the question.

    PSG: AUGUSTIN Jean-Kévin, AURIER Serge, CAVANI Edinson, DAVID LUIZ, DI MARIA Angel, DOUCHEZ Nicolas, IBRAHIMOVIC Zlatan, KIMPEMBE Presnel, KURZAWA Layvin, LAVEZZI Ezequiel, LUCAS, MARQUINHOS, MATUIDI Blaise, MAXWELL, NKUNKU Christopher, RABIOT Adrien, STAMBOULI Benjamin, THIAGO MOTTA,TRAPP Kevin.

    Toulouse: Mauro Goicoechea, Marc Vidal - William Matheus, François Moubandje, Somalia, Uros Spajic, Marcel Tisserand, Steeve Yago - Alexis Blin, Yann Bodiger, Etienne Didot, Tongo Doumbia, Zinédine Machach, Adrien Regattin, Pantxi Sirieix, Oscar Trejo - Wissam Ben Yedder, Martin Braithwaite, Aleksandar Pesic.

    PSG -2 goals 2.36 asian line/Sportmarket

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  14. #854
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    France Ligue 2 Nancy vs Clermont

    Nancy must be reeling a little right now, as we discussed last week, the goals had started to dry up and then, when they finally score three, they concede four at home, after giving up just five in their previous ten starts here ! Today they host a Clermont team who are in third and looking to close the (now only) six point gap to league leading Nancy, but they themselves have some Nimes demons to deal with, after conceding six to them on their last away day ! However, the visitors are one game removed from their disaster and at least got back on track with a 2-1 win over Le Havre last weekend, so their mental scars have already started the healing process. Having said that, it will be interetsing to see how the team who concedes first today reacts. One thing we know about Clermont is that they have goals in them and they have scored two or more in their last five starts and nine on their last four visits to Nancy, games which have averaged 4.25 goals per game. Hosts are without top scoring forward Youssouf Hadji , defensive midfielder Diallo Guidileye, who was sorely missed last week and ever present goalkeeper Guy-Roland N'Dy Assembe and that team news will have the visitors rubbing their hands with glee !
    Clermont arrive without defensive midfielder Michel Espinosa and they do concede more in his absence, but are otherwise in good shape and in a match better place in terms of team news than Nancy.

    I think that the Nancy odds are again wrong and have to opt for ..........

    Clermont +0.75 ball 2.07 asian line/Sportmarket

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    Spain La Liga: Deportivo la Coruna - Rayo Vallecano

    Deportivo have an 6-11-4 record this season, which indicates two things, they are tough to beat and that even at this relatively early stage, they looked booked for a mid table finish, which given their relegation struggles last season, they will be pretty happy with. They are currently in 9th place and even with all three points this evening they will stay there , a draw would give them a three point advantage over the team currently in 10th. I suspect, that for them, there will be similarly little at stake in a lot of games from now on in. Last season they won just seven times, so despite being tough to beat, they have won only 13 times in 59 top flight starts, which is 22% and that immediately makes me feel that quoted odds of 1.90 (52.63%) for tonight are too short, even if we only look at home starts, Deportivo's 28% strike rate is hardly more (and perhaps even less) impressive.

    Rayo Vallecano play a very offensive style under their head coach Paco Jemez, who will not compromise his attacking principles regardless of opponent, or match situation. Last season that took them into mid table comfort and got a lot of headlines for Paco, this time round they are in a bit of trouble, but a point would be valuable and all three would take Rayo out of the drop zone. The visitors have found a little form finally and have taken four points from their last two starts, a 2-2 draw at Valencia and 3-0 defeat of a weakened Celta Vigo team, but both will have put a sping in their step and they have scored in 7 of their last 8 starts, two or more in four of the last six. Deportivo have conceded in their last six starts ( all comps) and with both teams on the scoresheet in the last three h2h meetings, I think that both teams to score tonight looks likely, but is quoted at odds a little too skinny for my liking, or rather below my minimum.

    Veteran winger Piti has rejoined the club this week, he scored 18 goals here three seasons ago despite playing wide and eight came after the end of February and even half that number might help preserve Rayo's top flight status, he will not start tonight, but is said to have impressed in training and is likely to see some game time . Hosts are without suspended goalkeeper German Lux, he has played every minute of every league game this season, replacement Manu has not kept a cleansheet in four Copa starts, all versus lower league opponents, including three at home to Mirandes in his last outing. I expect Rayo to score at least once and would not trust Deportivo to find the two goals + required to win the game at current odds.

    Rayo Vallecano +0.25 ball 2.36 asian line/Sportmarket

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    Premier League: Everton VS Newcastle United

    Premier League: Everton VS Newcastle United

    This game has a bit of a similar feel to the Deportivo-Rayo game on Monday and like that fixture, it is very hard to fully justify rather big odds on quotes about the Toffees. Everton have kept just two clean sheets at home in 18 starts, one came against fourth tier strugglers Dagenham and the other versus Aston Villa, in the other 16 they have conceded two or more in 56% of starts and that immediately flags up Newcastle United as big to do likewise at circa 31% (3.25). The Magpies do not score a lot of goals on the road, which is a bit of an understatement, as they only have six in the league, but they scored two at Tottenham and have notched at least one on six of their last seven visits to Goodison Park, scoring twice in three of those. I spoke a few weeks ago about the potential goal threat the Magpies possess.......... "Ayoze Perez, Aleksandar Mitrovic, Moussa Sissoko Papiss Cisse and Georginio Wijnaldum give the hosts offensive and goalscoring options the Villans (Aston Villa) simply do not have and on the albeit rare occasions that it all clicks for United, you do wonder why on earth they struggle."

    They have scored six in their last three starts, including three at home to Manchester United and two against West Ham United with new signing Jonjo Shelvey having a hand in both goals. Newcastle head coach Steve McClaren has been busy in the transfer window and in addition to Shelvey , who, as a former Liverpool player will get a special "welcome"tonight, he has signed Andros Townsend , Seydou Doumbia and Henri Saivet and this is now a deep squad with competition for starting places and I expect, quite a few more goals in them. Only Sunderland and Aston Villa have collected fewer home points than Everton, who have won just three of their last 14 EPL starts at Goodison .


    Newcastle United +0.5 ball 2.38 asian line/Sportmarket

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    France Ligue 2 Nimes VS Niort

    Niort failed to score for the fourth straight game and whilst they have managed a goal on each of their last five trips to Nimes and scored twice in two of those, they conceded 16 and lost all five ! Nimes have been playing at a high level for many weeks and they have only lost once at home all season. They did taste defeat at Ajaccio in midweek, but I think we can forgive them that, i spoke about the huge support they have been getting at home ahead of that game and the club president issued a rallying cry to fans this week and called every game a final from here on in.

    Although we are forging that loss, it has seen them drop back into the relegation places and will concentrate the mind, but I can tell you that Nimes are not looking for a point and have named a very offensive looking squad for tonight with only four defenders in the group and I suspect that there will be a goal in this for Niort despite their poor goalscoring record, they "always" find one here and Nimes have conceded in each of their last three wins, this has 3-1 or 3-2 written all over it in my book

    Nîmes : Michel, Gallon - Cordoval, Harek, Marin, Paquiez - Savanier, Cissokho, Briançon, Azouni, Lacourt, Chamed - Ripart, Mounié, Koura, Maoulida.

    Niort : Delecroix, Allagbe - Kiki, Lahaye, Choplin, Bong, Da Veiga - Sambia, Koukou, Roye, Selemani, Bouardja - Rocheteau, Djigla, Dona Ndoh, Koné.

    Nimes -0.5 ball 2.20 asian line/Sportmarket

    over 2.75 goals 2.35 asian line/Sportmarket

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    FA Cup: West Ham United - Liverpool

    These two are meeting for the fourth time this season and Liverpool are still looking for their first win and goal, after losing both league games and drawing the first FA Cup game at Anfield. The Reds were absolutely battered in the EPL game at Upton Park over New Year and were lucky to score nil and concede only two ! The Reds were the better team in the cup game , despite making ten changes and should really have won that by a couple of goals. They have very littlle (as in no) chance of finishing any higher than 5th in the league and surely it will be all about the cups from now on in and Liverpool are still involved in three of those and could still salvage plenty from this campaign. The one worrying thing about that is that they "rested" a handful of youngsters from the U21 team at the weekend and they are clearly going to continue to continue to rotate to some degree, but Daniel Sturridge (who was an unused sub at the weekend), Philippe Coutinho and Divock Origi are all set to return . Sturridge and Christian Benteke have been playing together in training in build up and the club are clearly going to try the pair in tandem at some stage, probably this evening, but the signals in terms of line up, are very mixed.

    They are coming off a 2-2 home draw with Sunderland at the weekend which suited us, but the Reds should have coasted home after leading 2-0 late in the game, they can claim to have been distracted by the fan protest which saw many of the home supporters leave in the 77th minute, immediately followed by the first goal conceded, but there have been a lot of excuses this season and patience is wearing a litth thin. At times they have looked quite good and at others pretty dire, either the goals do not come, or when they do they gift them back at the other end, two against Sunderland, three to Arsenal, four to Norwich City, the only thing you cannot fault them for is their work ethic and under Jurgen Klopp, they are 100% committed and prepared to run until they drop.

    The Hammers have said they will rotate a little, but also that they would give this priority over the upcoming league game. I would be surprised if the Hammers kept Liverpool out for a fourth straight game and there was enough encouragement from the last meeting at Anfield and the weekend game to feel that there will be at least a goal in this for the visitors, regardless of line up. Early goals have been a feature of recent United games, with 8 inside 17 minutes in eight of their last nine starts and if one comes tonight, it could be a catalyst for turning this into a mini goal fest. Travelling support of 6,000 will ensure that there is no let up from the visitors , whatever the scoreline , last ten h2h meetings in East London have averaged 3.3 goals and I expect this to follow suit.

    over 2.5 goals 2.14 asian line/Sportmarket

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    Coupe de France PSG - Lyon

    Four weeks ago today, these two clubs met here in Paris in the Coupe de la Ligue and I liked the chances of both teams scoring in a PSG win , I also spoke about the additional motivation that the hosts had in games against the team who preceded them as the number one club in France .

    PSG won that 2-1 and opponents have scored in four of their last five home wins and they are also coming off a 2-1 road win at Marseille at the weekend. That we can bet the same outcome at even bigger odds than for last month's meeting just seems very wrong and looks far and away the best value on offer this evening. Lyon are now just three points off Champions League pace, but do have have five teams above them and cannot catch one of them ( probably two) and it looks increasing like a case of the "pack" battling for one remaining place. Lyon are the "name" team amongst those and the one with all the experience, so will fancy their chances over 13 rounds, but they host a direct rival on Sunday and will have to play with that in mind this evening. This is the first of four home games inside 11 days for PSG , with Chelsea visiting in the Champions League next midweek, but they will be up for this and if they are to ease off a little it will surely be in the weekend fixture, Laurent Blanc has named his strongest available squad, only change from the group which travelled to Marseille is the omission of Javier Pastore, but he has hardly played at all this season.

    OL will arrive with a little bit of swagger and self belief, they held out until quite late in the most recent h2h meeting and are coming off back to back 3-0 wins, the last of which came on the road to highflying Angers, who had only conceded four in their previous 12 home starts. Lyon have scored on their last four visits here and have every chance of doing so again, will that be enough to get a result ? I very much doubt it !

    PSG : Sirigu, Douchez, Aurier, Maxwell, Thiago Silva, Marquinhos, Kurzawa, David Luiz, Thiago Motta, Stambouli, Rabiot, Matuidi, Ongenda, Nkunku, Ibrahimovic, Cavani, Augustin, Lucas, Di Maria.

    Lyon : Lopes, Gorgelin, Bedimo, Yanga-Mbiwa, Morel, Koné, Jallet, Umtiti, Darder, Ferri, Gonalons, Grenier, Tolisso, Labidi, Ghezzal, Valbuena, Lacazette, Cornet.

    PSG to win and both teams to score 2.75-2.90 general quote

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    Spain La Liga: Eibar - Levante

    Briefly, we have probably discussed Eibar as much as any team in 2016 and you can read a lot of notes on them in my preview of last month's home game with Granada.

    They won that 5-1. leading 2-0 at the break, so one of those all too rare games which played out perfectly ! They have subsequently lost three in row, 5-2, 2-1, 3-1 and their last nine starts have averaged 4.56 goals and a feature of all and Eibar in general, is the really open style of play and the hosts willingness to really go for it right from the kick off. They are in eighth place and have nothing to lose, a win is very likely to take them up to a giddy sixth and we can expect them to play with only three points in mind. Levante have a different reputation, but are bottom of the table and five points from safety, they are going to have to start gambling soon and maybe there are signs that has already happened, witness the recent 4-3 loss at Celta Vigo. They will probably need to score twice to take anything from this, but having scored three in Vigo and once at Sevilla in their last away start, they will probably be confident of doing so and know that Eibar will give them chances. The reverse fixture ended 2-2 and the meeting here last season 3-3 and I cannot agree with "over" odds today, given how this is likely to play out, with the home side gung-ho from the get-go !

    over 2.5 goals 2.13 asian line/Sportmarket

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    Champions League Benfica - Zenit

    I have spoken many times about the huge disadvantage that the Eastern European teams are at this stage of the competition, given that they have not played a competitive fixture for months, however, if they can find a way through the first knockout round, that turns around and they then have a edge in freshness and, to a degree fitness, through the latter stages and we have seen clear examples of that with Zenit's UEFA Cup win and the success of the Ukrainian teams in subsequent competitions.This stage is the problem and Zenit have struggled with it in recent campaigns, however, they look better suited to European football once more under Andre Villas- Boas and he and the Portugese players in his team will know plenty about Benfica and will be boosted by their wins over the home side at the group stage of the competition last season , winning 2-0 in Lisbon. In the last 16 in 2013-14 they were very slow out of the blocks and lost their two legged tie with Dortmund inside 30 minutes and there is a danger that they will one again pay for that lack of a competitive edge.

    Hosts will want revenge for those h2h defeats and a lead to take to the return, but they have conceded in their last 6 of 8 domestic games, seven of which have gone "over" and Benfica have conceded in their last five CL starts and again, all of those produced at least three goals. We have already spoken about the value of away goals and AVB will want one as a minimum. Given that need, Benfica's vulnerability at the back and the possibility that Zenit could run out of steam and/or be caught cold, I have to favour goals.

    over 2.5 goals 2.35 asian line/Sportmarket

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    Europa League Valencia - Rapid Wien

    We know that Rapid are very offensive minded and they will arrive with an attacking mindset and looking to put further pressure on struggling Valencia and boss Gary Neville. The home supporters are very restless and it will not take much for them to "turn", especially as this is now, "season on the line time" for Los Che, who have nothing else left to play for. They come into this game missing a couple of key defenders, but no excuses are going to be accepted or even listened to by fans who have been long suffering and a really hard earned win over a poor Espanyol team, the first La Liga three points in three months, has done little to convince anyone that a corner has been turned. Rapid took 15 points from a Europa League group containing Villarreal and were close to making it to the CL ( see below), they are going toe to toe with Salzburg for the domestic title and arrive on the back of a 3-0 road win at highflying rivals Austria Vienna at the weekend and could hardly be in more confident mood, which is in stark contrast to their hosts. Very hard not to see goals in this for Rapid and Valencia look stronger on the front foot than defensively and this is huge for them, so it has to be ................


    over 2.75 goals 2.12 asian line/Sportmarket...best alternative ......3.5 goals 2.90-3.10 general quote

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  23. #863
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    England League 1: Bradford - Rochdale

    I see a lot of similarities between this Bradford city team and the one which we were strongly with through their 2012-13 League 2 promotion year, they came with a big run there to win the playoffs and despite getting distracted with cup runs and a poor playing surface in subsequent campaigns, they have improved in each, finishing 11th and 7th , they are a big club and have the level of support to once more become an established Championship side and look to be coming on strong in the second half of the campaign and timing their run well. They have posted back to back wins over direct playoff rivals in Peterborough United and Southend United by a combined 6-0 and meet a Rochdale side who are very hit and miss, recent wins over league leaders Burton Albion and third placed Walsall, were sandwiched between losses to Barnsley and Chesterfield who were both in the drop zone and where they conceded nine goals, just about sums them up ! Visiting boss Keith Hill is a head caoch I have a lot of time for and he will never compromise his principles and his teams are always pleasing on the eye and will look to get forward at every opportunity, witness the two points and two goal lead thrown away at home to Crewe Alexandra last week. Dale are struggling defensively and I was quite shocked to read some of the comments on their forum, which were very much of the "I think we have enough about us to stay up " variety, which is a little telling as they are eight points clear of the drop zone with at game in hand on most teams below them.

    The visitors have won only three times on the road all season and have been dealing with lengthy injury problems and lacking a real central defensive pairing and that looks likely to cost them dear today, City striker James Hanson is listed as 1.93m, but looks much taller and is a huge aerial threat and can punish that defensive weakness, he has returned to form with four goals in his last four starts and will be up for this today. He caused Dale a lot of problems last year with a goal and assist agaisnt them and will have been sorry to have started on the bench in the reverse fixture this season , which City won 3-1, creating a lot of chances and with two goals coming from crosses into the box.City are tight defensively and have only conceded 11 at home this season, but goals at the other end have been hard to come by until recently and if they have largely solved those issues, they are going to be tough to kep out of the top six. Home win.

    Bradford City -0.5 ball 2.09 asian line/Sportmarket

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    Champions League: Arsenal - Barcelona

    I am not going to say too much about this game, most of you will know as much (more ?) than I do about the two clubs and they certainly know each other well enough, with this their eighth Champions League meeting. Both teams have scored in the previous seven and I definitely expect that to again be the case this evening, the Gunners have won one, two draws and four Barcelona wins and if I had to pick, I would stick with those trends and say that BTS and the visitors to win , which is priced at circa 3.10-3.25 was the best "non asian" bet on offer. Are Messi, Sanchez and Neymar the best offensive trio of all time ? Probably, I can't think of a better one in my lifetime and the truth is that the Gunners will probably need to score twice this evening to give themselves any real chance of progressing over the two legs. We have spoken a lot over the last 12 months about the value of an away goal and all the big, experienced European teams know this and Barce who have made 7 of the last 8 CL semis are 15-2-2 in the copetition in the last two seasons , scoring at least once in each game. Arsenal have scored in their last 13, but have lost in the Round of 16 for five yeras running and in their home leg in the last three they have lost each by two goals , including 3-1 losses to Monaco and Bayren Munich and that correct score (1-3 at odds of 13.0-14.0 ) certainly makes some appeal ( I am already waiting for the email from Mr "But how will I know what to bet" !). Barce have scored 30 in their last ten starts , but have also conceded in eight of those, last h2h meetings have averaged 4.25 goals and my suggested "official" bet would have been a winner four times and seen stakes returned twice.

    over 3 goals 2.13 asian line/Sportmarket

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    Europa League: Bilbao - Marseille

    Athletic Bilbao really make all the criteria for going deep and we know they will never want for trying, my notes ahead of the first leg can be read under the "good luck" sign off. They won that 1-0 courtesy of a stunning volley from Aritz Aduriz and will of course progress with a draw, but sitting back is not really in their nature, or playing to their strengths and their hugely passionate supporters will be urging them forward at every opportunity. They will be without suspended midfielder Benat Etxebarria and forward Inaki Williams this evening, but have strength in depth and more than able replacements. Marseille will take comfort from the fact that their road form has been stronger all season, but San Mames is never an easy place to come and play, it is like the cathedral of Basque football and with this match coming on the back of a derby loss to Real Sociedad last Sunday, I suspect we will see a hugely motivated host. Athletic have won next time out at home after their last four losses here (three were to Barce and Real Madrid), they actually include a win over Real and they scored eight in the two most recent (5 v Eibar and 3 v Valencia). They are going to get more space than usual at some stage with the visitors having to look for the win and OM would have no option but to throw caution to the wind, immediately if they fell behind this evening, or late in the game and this will surely get very stretched and play into the hands of the attacked minded and better technically home side, sooner or later.

    OM get Benjamin Mendy and Rémy Cabella back, but remain without Lucas Ocampos, Dja Djedje and Lucas Silva (see all five in notes below), they have made the trip with a large squad and I remain to be convinced that they are 100% committed to the Europa League and that we might see some rotation, they play a cup game in six days time (best chance for silverware) and a tough league game at Ajaccio on Sunday, where defeat might well end any remaining top 3 hopes. That will be their eighth February fixture ( inside 26 days) ,French clubs are not really used to that level of competition ( Aug-Dec they played no more than six in any calendar month) and they played more than 30 minutes with ten men on Sunday. Athletic have only played four games so far this month and will surely have an edge in fresher and love for the competition.


    Athletic: Iraizoz, Bóveda, Elustondo, Laporte, Eraso, San José, Iturraspe, De Marcos, Iago Herrer*n, Susaeta, X.Etxeita, Mikel Rico, Gurpegi, Muniain, Aduriz, Raúl Garc*a, Balenziaga, Sabin Merino, I.Lekue.

    OM: 16 Yohann Pelé,30 Steve Mandanda,40 Florian Escales,2 Javier Manquillo,3 Nicolas Nkoulou,4 Karim Rekik,6 Rolando,15 Stéphane Sparagna,23 Benjamin Mendy,25 Paolo De Cegile,10 Lassana Diarra,11 Romain Alessandrini,13 Rémy Cabella,17 Bouna Sarr,18 Mauricio Isla,19 Abdelaziz Barrada,20 Alaixys Romao,9 Steven Fletcher,14 GK Nkoudou,22 Michy Batshuayi,24 Florian Thauvin,28 Antoine Rabillard


    Athletic Bilbao -1 ball 2.31 asian line/Sportmarket

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  26. #866
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    JLeague FC Tokyo - Omiya Ardija

    Omiya Ardija are newly promoted and do not immedately look to have added much by the way of top flight quality and look like a JL2 team in JL1 and we have seen a number of those in recent campaigns. I do not want to immediately write them off, but this is a tough start. FCT have already played two AFC Champions League games having had to qualify, they so they been playing competitively for two weeks and that, at least for now, is a huge advantage in my opinion. They finished fourth last year and the loss of Yoshinori Muto mid season, cost them a lot of goal threat, they were well organised under Massimo Ficcadenti, whom we discussed almost weekly , but he has been replaced( what will we talk about now on Friday afternoon?), paying the price for boring football, with not enough end product, you cannot do both, without paying the price! Returning boss Hiroshi Jofuku will get the benefit of a defensively solid squad and will look to bring a little more flair, he will miss Kosuke Ota who has also left for Europe. They opened with a 9-0 win over Chonburi in their qualifier, which was little more than shooting practice, but good for confidence. FCT lost 2-1 in midweek at Jeonbuk Hyundai Motors, but were quite impressive and were tactically solid, pressing high up the field and allowing a good opponent few real chances, they were also denied an equaliser by the woodwork. Jofuku will be very keen to win on his second home J-League debut

    FC Tokyo -0.5 ball 2.13 asian line/Sportmarket

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    Norwich - Chelsea

    I previewed Chelsea's trip to in form Southampton on Saturday and spoke about their top six ambitions.........

    "Two in form teams, the Blues are unbeaten in ten in the EPL, Saints are 5-1-0 in their last six and have not conceded a single goal in that sequence, but they have ridden their luck at times, there are only so many times that Fraser Forster can save them and they will have to manage today without the protection of holding player Victor Wanyama against what is a firing visiting midfield.

    Top 4 looks beyond Chelsea after their terrible start, but they want to keep their EPL campaign alive and their stated target is a top six Premier League finish for what would be the 20th consecutive season. Saints are currently in that position, seven points ahead of the West London club, so a win today would be hugely valuable in terms of that particular ambition. Saints have not kept a clean sheet in 11 games against the Blues and have really struggled until recently whenever Wanyama has been absent, the defensive midfield pairing of Jordy Clasie and Oriol Romeu have done well this season when called upon, but the latter moved from Chelsea in August and will be well known by the visitors. I expect the visitors to be very focused on their next two EPL games, here and at Norwich in midweek, ahead of the home game with Stoke next Saturday they might start to think about the return with PSG, but it will be all about the Premier League in the interim and a fully motivated visitor can ask the Saints more questions than they have faced for some time."

    The Blues had to battle very hard to come from behind and earn the three points and having done so, it is hard to see them being any less committed to the match at Carrow Road, where City have conceded ten in their last three starts and, as we have discussed several times this season, often urged forward too often by the passionate home crowd and probably therefore, not playing to their strengths, such as they are at EPL level. The Canaries have not won in eight starts, conceding three goals in five of those and failing to register themselves in five, even in the last two matches that they have taken something from at home to West Ham and Southampton, they have needed an awful lot to go their way, red cards, missed chances for the opposition and they will need to ride their luck to stop the Chelsea juggernaut now that it is up and running.

    Chelsea -1 ball 2.25 asian line/Sportmarket

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  28. #868
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    West Ham - Tottenham

    Tough week for Spurs, with a Sunday, Wednesday, Saturday lunchtime kick off. They trailed for 50 minutes in the first, which also came on the back of a Thursday Europa League tie and the next two are derby games. United will definitely be up for this, they are not totally out of Champions League contention themselves, in this strangest of seasons and are still in the FA Cup and Slaven Bilic's first season in charge and last at Upton Park, could hardly have gone better . The club have looked as good as anyone on a going day, witness road wins at Liverpool, Arsenal and Manchester City and they have unearthed a couple of superstars (Dimitri Payet is already heavily tipped for the POTY award), which might help them fill the Olympic Stadium next season. One game which was certainly not a "going day" was the 4-1 loss in the reverse fixture, that could have been 8-4 something like that, United had good chances early, but Spurs once they got ahead were all over the Hammers. Tottenham will go top of the EPL with all three points, with just ten rounds to play and a North London derby game with Arsenal less than 63 hours later, hard to think of any greater incentive and we will surely see both teams really go for this.

    United's four home games against other top eight teams have all produced three or more goals with both teams scoring in each and I see this playing out similarly, neither team will lie down after conceding, Spurs have collected FAR more points than any other EPL team (17) from losing positions and the Hammers are third in that table.

    over 2.75 goals 2.26 asian line/Sportmarket

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    France Ligue2 Evian - Dijon

    Dijon look like they are coasting back to Ligue 1, but after a few false alarms in recent campaigns, will not be taking anything for granted just yet. They sit 11 points clear of the team in fourth, but have scored two or more goals in each of their last four starts, including away to Laval and Le Havre, teams who do not give up a lot of goals. They are strong at home , losing just once all season, which was actually to Evian back in October, which will give the hosts hope, but also mean that DFCO will arrive looking for a little revenge too. Despite that home record, I have made no secret of the fact that I believe they are better suited to playing on the road, with Julio Tavares the perfect man to lead the line away from home.

    Evian have to deal with the always difficult Monday-Friday turnaround, but will be up for a visit from the league leaders and can play their part in what should be an open encounter. They will have to do so without left back/winger Fabien Centoze who is suspended (Dijon have scored a lot of goals this season from that flank).

    Dijon arrive short handed defensively with centre back and captain Cedric Varraut and right back Arnaud Souquet (no clean sheet in six starts without him) missing. Goals !

    over 2.25 goals 2.13 asian line/Sportmarket

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    France Ligue 1 : Lyon - Guingamp

    I was very keen on Lyon in this fixture last season , which they won 3-1 and I see a similar outcome this afternoon. Lyon are on a bit of a charge, especially at home where they have won their last three ( Bordeaux, Caen and runaway leaders PSG) scoring nine goals in the process and that is about as inpressive a sequence as you can put together in Ligue 1. Three points today will take them back into third and they will be looking to cement that as soon as possible, with as many as 12 teams still feeling they are in contention for what looks to be one remaining Champions League spot (Marseille in 14th are eight point adrift of Nice who are currently in third, but have two games in hand ). OL are the biggest club amongst the pack and kind of feel that a spot in Europe's premier competition is theirs by right and will want to continue putting on pressure on all the clubs around them. Guingamp have relegation concerns and will battle hard, but they have lost eight on the road already, they have scored seven goals in their last three starts, but have taken only a single point from those , conceding ten and it is fairly obvious where their problems lie. OL are stronger today than for the win over PSG with the return of Christophe Jallet, Samuel Umtiti and Clement Grenier, which gives a chance to freshen up and also highlights the depth the club have now built up (beating PSG missing 5 regulars). Not difficult to see a goal for Guingamp, but once the dust has settled, surely another reasonably comfortable home win, repeat of that 3-1 feels about right.

    Lyon -1.25 ball 2.14 asian line/Sportmarket

    Lyon to win and both teams to score 3.10-3.30

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  31. #871
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    Champions League: Real Madrid - AS Roma

    Real won 2-0 in Rome, just as they did in Schalke at the same stage last year, then making hard work of the home leg, losing 4-3 and looking in real trouble several times through a wild and craxy game . They will not want to put themselves through that again and something similar to the previous two second leg home ties a 3-1 and 4-1 win seems more likely this evening. Real have won their last two La Liga games, scoring ten, but conceding in each, Roma are on a roll since losing the first leg and have won three scoring 12 goals, actually the Real game aside they have won seven (22 goals) in a row and will be confident of finding a goal this evening, you would feel that the trip to Udinese on Sunday would now be given priority, but the heavy defeat of Fiorentina on Friday has given them a little breathing space in terms of top three and they can perhaps afford to give this their best shot, at least early.

    Roma are much improved under Luciano Spalletti (see preview of the 5-0 win over Palermo below) and will see this perhaps as a true test of how far they have come, they had chances in the first leg, when they played almost exclusively on the break and it is easy to see them getting on the scoresheet again this evening. Having said that, Real have already lost at home to Barcelona and Atletico and will want to avoid a third, or repeat of what happened against Schalke last season, so again, when the dust has settled it has to be with a home win. 3-1/4-1.

    Real Madrid to win and both teams to score 2.50 general quote, best alternative would have to be "over" 3.5 goals 2.17 asian line

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  32. #872
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    So what's your winning rate on these picks thus far bro? THinking maybe I've stumbled onto a goldmine.... or not at all

    best free online pokies

  33. #873
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    France Ligue2: Bourg - Nancy

    Bourg lost 2-1 last round and are falling closer and closer to the relegation zone and despite a point at Nimes last week (where they really rode their luck at times) they now sit just nine points off the bottom three, have collected just 14 points from 15 starts and have to be giving praise for such a solid start to life in Ligue 2. It is hard to get away from the idea that they have run out of steam (see above) and that they are no longer the surprise package they were early in the campaign. Today we have the second worse defence in L2 against the second best attack and there should certainly be goals in this for Nancy, who are looking to preserve their healthy lead in second place over the chasing pack. One, maybe more of Red Star, Le Havre, Clermont, Lens will come on strong in the next two months, Nancy know that and actually face two of those teams in the next four weeks and also travel to leaders Dijon and points today will surely be easier to come by and would greatly ease pressure ahead of those tough fixtures. I think they will be out all guns blazing for maximum points today and will be buoyed by their first real defensive performance last week in a 2-0 win over Red Star, however, it came at a cost and today they will be without both left back Vincent Muratori and central defender Mikael Chretien Basser, the pair have missed just three starts between them this season and that is very disruptive. Nancy had conceded twice in each of their previous four starts, including at home to Paris Fc and the visitors seem unlikely to win without conceding.

    Bourg-en-Bresse : Fabri, Callamand, Alphonse, Faivre, Traore, N'Simba, Nirlo, Dembele, Berthomier, Damour, Ba, Bègue, Boussaha, Ogier, Boujedra, Dimitriou.

    Nancy : Ndy Assembe, Samba - Cuffaut, Cétout, Diakhaté, Lenglet, Badila, Aït Bennasser, Guidileye, Pedretti, Iglesias, Lusamba, Puyo, Dalé, Robic, Hadji, Mabella, Busin.

    over 2.75 goals 2.39 asian line/Sportmarket

    Nancy to win and both teams to score 4.0-4.33 general quote

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  34. #874
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    MLS: New York City FC - Toronto FC

    Last round Toronto won 2-0 in the Big Apple, courtesy of two late goals , including a first of the season from star front man Sebastian Giovinco, he also laid on the second and now has "just" the 23 goals and 16 assists from 34 MLS starts, a scoring contribution every 73.5 minutes ! He came up short in two of three games against NYFC last season, but had an hat-trick and assist in a 4-4 draw here in the other, so you cannot keep a good man down for too long !

    The game between Chicago and New York City was exactly what it looked like from the scoreline, a wide open, end to end encounter and even when City went "defensive" at 2-4, it barely changed anything, they looked vulnerable to pace at the back, but to score four on the road, without a goal from David Villa is hugely promising and I doubt new coach Viera will be any less offensive minded in his home debut. They looked to press high, tactics which worked so well for Red Bulls last year, but TFC got an early look at those and stifled them with a disciplined performance last week , that gives them an edge and with NYFC still coming to terms with the shift in tactics, i would be amazed if there were not goals in this for Toronto and the tireless Giovinco.

    I can only see goals in this and feel that NYFC will need two to get a result and three+ to win.

    Toronto to score "over" 1.5 goals 1.95-2.05 general quote if you can find it, if not, or even if you can .............

    over 3.5 goals 2.36 asian line/Sportmarket

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  35. #875
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    Champions League Manchester City - Dynamo Kiev

    This looks job done for City after their 3-1 win in Kiev, but the hosts are not playing well and that game aside, they have beaten only Aston Villa since the start of last month, with a couple of heavy defeats along the way. Main focus will clearly be the Champions League of course, but they also have to finish top 4 as a minimum and ensure participation in the competition next season and currently in 4th and with West Ham just two points adrift and Manchester United (whom they play in the derby game on Sunday) just another two further back, there is every chance that they will play tonight with one eye on that game.

    Kiev were rusty in the first leg, that was to have been expected, they had not played a competitive game in eleven weeks,they have now had four games since the winter break and will be approaching full fitness and ready to show their best.

    Dynamo currently lead Shakhtar Donetsk, who are flying in the Europa League, by three points at the top of the Ukrainian domestic league, where Kiev are unbeaten on the road 8-1-0, conceding just three goals. In the CL they won 2-0 at both Porto and Maccabi Tel Aviv and were 1-1 at Stamford Bridge with eight minutes left to play, before conceding a late winner. They did not venture forward much there until after the break, but of course cannot afford to wait that long this evening, they looked dangerous when they did and in Andriy Yarmolenko they have a world class player who has 110 goals and 72 assists for Kiev in less than 300 appearance and from out wide, he has been in the form of his life in the last two seasons and has scored in each of his last three starts.

    City are vulnerable, Dynamo MUCH better than they showed in the first leg and the edge in fitness/freshnest has probably swung their way now. City have conceded in their last nine Champions League starts and at the Etihad in their last 14 ! They have conceded two or more in ten of those (!), including to BMG, Plzen, CSKA Moscow (twice) and Ajax and if Dynamo look at that record, they will fancy their chances of scoring a couple of goals, even if ultimately it might not be enough.

    Dynamo Kiev to score two or more goals 4.0-4.33 general quote, given that they have to gamble and that City can progress if they concede twice regardless of what they do themselves and that they have allowed two in 71.42% (10/14)of competition home games ( which equates to odds of 1.40), how can that possible be correct ?

    Manchester City to win and both teams to score 3.0 general quote

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  36. #876
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    France Ligue2 Paris FC - FC Metz

    Paris FC are like a throwback to Ligue 2 of a decade ago, maybe I am being harsh and they are just not good enough, it is "OK" to be bad, but to not give yourself the best possible chance to win, is unforgivable ! They are now ten points from safety, with eight rounds left to play and are going to get what they deserve from this season, I do not advocate violence very often, but if they are happy to sit back for 70 minutes + again this evening on home soil, no supporter should be charged for running onto the pitch and administering a kick up the backside to every member of the coaching staff ! Lybohy is again suspended and missing from the home backline. I feel they will at least attempt to go for it early tonight and 3 of their last 4 have gone comfortably "over".

    Metz will surely come all guns blazing for three points, they are currently sixth, two points off promotion pace, but no one is going to get up to Ligue 1 by playing for a draw and 3rd spot is going to go to the wire and will, you have to feel, be claimed by the bravest of the pack. They have scored in 13 of their last 14 away starts (all comps) and conceded two or more in 7/8 on the road, 7/9 have gone "over" and both teams have scored in 10 of 13. I feel they are the more likely winner, but have to suggest the best value lies with ................over 2.5 goals 2.51 asian line/Sportmarket.

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  37. #877
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    La Liga: Real Madrid - Sevilla

    Sevilla were easy 3-0 winners in Europa League and could largely switch off after the break, but the game still had to be played/won and a trip to Real is never easy, let alone when you have played just three days previously, the hosts are well rested and you are injury hit ! The visitors arrive in the capital missing a whole host of midfield talent with Banega, Khrohn-Dehli, Carrico, N'Zoni, Vitolo and Konoplyanka all absent, four of those started in the 3-2 win for Sevilla in the reverse fixture, which Real will be looking to avenge and another came off the bench, so we are talking about effectively half a team.

    Real have the Champions League as their priority and will be delighted to have drawn Wolfsburg in the quarters, but they can afford to concentrate fully on La Liga for now and Atletico's defeat last night means that Real could move to within a point of them in second and that is incentive enough, but would also set up nicely their next game, which is the El Clasico game with champions elect Barcelona on April 2nd. "Big 3" games aside real are 27-3-3 at home averaging almost four goals per start and under Zinedine Yazid Zidane, their record in those fixtures is 5/5 with a 27-4 goal difference. Sevilla have yet to win on the road domestically and they have lost on their last seven visits to the Bernabeu , conceding 24 goals.

    Cristiano Ronaldo has his best scoring record against Sevilla with 21 in 14 starts and he will be "hungry" after coming up short in the reverse fixture, he leads the way currently in the La Liga goalscoring market, one ahead of Luis Suarez and five clear of Lionel Messi and he will definitely want to record a third straight "golden boot", no one has recorded a hat trick of those since Hugo Sanchez in 1988 and that is a real target as big rival Messi is now unlikely to ever claim it . He is 2.75 + to score twice, 6.5 -9.0 to score a hat-trick, he has done that (score 3) five times previously against Sevilla. For some reason, Betfair Sportsbook offer a standout 3.50 and 13.0 respectively and that offers really good value and you could try something small if that appeals..... even 3.0 and 9.0 seem overpriced

    Karim Benzema returns and it is easy to see plenty of goals in this (maybe a lot !) for a very strong looking home side , against a team short of midfield options who are coming off a Thursday game.

    Real Madrid -1.75 goals 2.26 asian line/Sportmarket

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  38. #878
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    Scottish Championship: Glasgow Rangers - Dumbarton

    Rangers are going to return to the SPL this season , but would surely like to get the job done and dusted this evening, which they can achieve with all three points. They are head and shoulders abover the rest of the Championship, which is to be expected given the size of the club and their fan base and circa 50,000 will be waiting to kick start the celebrations tonight, to put that into some context, Dumbarton have averaged a crowd of 734 for their last three home games . Home boss Mark Warburton believes in an attacking style of football and his teams never sit on a lead, his side have averaged 2.64 goals per game this season and just shy of 3 pg at Ibrox, included in those numbers were two wins ( scoring 4 and 6 goals ) in the last two starts against tonight's opponents and Warburton will want to get the job done in style. His team have actually conceded ten ( !) in their last three starts, but they won the home game in that sequence and two opponents had arguably more to play for and far more offensive threat than The Sons ( just 8 road goals all season) possess and only basement club Alloa Athletic have scored fewer.

    Additional bonus for Rangers is that getting this signed and sealed early will allow them to focus fully on their Challenge Cup Final with Peterhead on Sunday and more importantly go into the Scottish Cup semi final with their biggest rivals Celtic, seven days later as an SPL club, albeit one "in waiting". The hosts have scored four goals next time out following dropped road points in 4/4 games at Ibrox and can make it 5/5 today after a 3-3 draw at Raith Rovers on Saturday.

    Rangers to score "over" 3.5 goals (four or more) 2.625-2.875 general quote

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  39. #879
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    France Ligue2: Paris FC - Bourg

    Paris FC will be hugely buyoed by not only the win over a highflying team, but the four goals scored and surely we will continue to see them really go for it and all guns blazing for maximum points. That is now 5/6 of their games which have gone "over" and three not only produced four goals, but saw both teams score twice and with BEBP being "safe", the 4th highest scorers in L2 and having conceded more than any team apart from Creteil, this match now just screams goals, which is not something we would have said about any PFC fixture through the first seven months of the campaign ! The reverse fixture produced five goals and with the hosts need so great , I do not feel they will be overly worried about the Monday-Friday turnaround, given the boost the result will have doubtless given them and I also suspect that they will feel "comfortable" meeting, like on Monday, a fellow promoted team, a home win, which could take PFC to within five points of safety, might herald the playing of the "Great Escape" theme tune, but the best value remains .............

    Paris FC : Thébaux, Demarconnay - Mohsni, Cantini, Jean-Tahrat, Pierre, T.Keita - Grange, Gamiette, I.Keita, Pereira De Sa, Bahamboula, Traoré - Camara, Fauvergue, Diarra.

    BEBP: Callamand, Fabri, Alphonse, Berthomier, Boujedra, Boussaha, N'Simba, Ogier, Bègue, Sane, Nirlo, Traore, Faivre, Dembele, Damour, Ba.


    over 2.5 goals 2.11 asian line/Sportmarket

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  40. #880
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    Premier League: West Ham United - Arsenal

    It is very hard for me to understand quite how the Gunners are not EPL champions elect, instead it looks like Leicester City and I never thought that I would be typing those words in my lifetime. Arsenal again faltered when the pressure was on and now, that it is off , we have seen a return to some of their better form and they have looked decent once more in back to back wins and cleansheets over Everton and Watford, scoring six in the process. They might not have beaten much (both teams are out of sorts), but confidence will have been boosted and Alexis Sanchez (Gunners are 10-1-0 when he scores and the last ten of those have all gone "over") is returning to form, Laurent Koscielny is back and they look far more composed with him in the line up and the performances of Mohamed Elneny and Alex Iwobi offer huge promise. They looked booked for top 3, so will surely not make their final trip to the Boleyn Ground with eyes on anything but maximum points and to try and put some pressure on the top two, if the Foxes are out of reach, Arsenal will still be motivated to finish above Tottenham, their deadliest rival.

    United have had a final season to remember at Upton Park , look sure to finish top 6 and are still not out of the running for a Champions League spot, although back to back 2-2 draws have made that difficult. They are still in the FA Cup and have a big quarter final replay with Manchester United here in midweek. That could distract them, with a Wembley appearance up for grabs, but they are at full strength today and will surely look to keep the CL dream alive a little longer. When everything clicks, they have looked as good as anyone in the Premier league this season and are unbetaen on home soil in 15 starts (9-6-0) in all competitions.

    Arsenal are unbeaten here in eight visits and have scored two or more goals in the last seven. United have conceded seven in their last four starts and with a point having very limited value to either side, it is easy to see both teams on the scoresheet today and the Hammers seven London derby games this season have averaged 3.29 goals and they have scored in each, two or more in five, Arsenal's eight starts against fellow top six teams have produced 3.625 goals per game and we will surely see more of the same this lunchtime.

    over 3 goals 2.23 asian line/Sportmarket

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