Casper's friendly picks

[casper]

Hi everyone, here are my picks for the weekend. My reach is a 6.40 odds wager on Gasquet to beat Federer. Gasquet has a 2-9 record against Federer but is 2-1 against him on clay.

AFL
Hawthorn H2H against Melbourne @ 1.06
Carlton H2H against St Kilda @ 1.25
North Melbourne H2H against Western Bulldogs @ 1.40
Collingwood H2H against Brisbane @ 1.18

NRL
Bulldogs H2H against Titans @ 1.33
Raiders H2H against Eels @ 1.47
Dragons H2H against Panthers @ 1.26

SUPER RUGBY
Lions +21.5 LINE against Blues @ 1.26
Hurricanes H2H against Highlanders @ 2.40
Hurricanes +3.5 LINE against Highlanders @ 1.90
Stormers H2H against Cheetahs @ 1.24

EPL
Man Utd H2H against Sunderland @ 1.44

ATP Madrid
Djokovic H2H against Wawrinka @ 1.26
Gasquet H2H against Federer @ 6.40
Gasquet (+5.5 games) against Federer @ 1.74
Ferrer H2H against Almagro @ 1.31

WTA Madrid
S. Williams H2H against Wozniacki @ 1.25

[Goodsy]

Goodluck Casper... got a lot on, how much do u put on the bets ie min - max - average ?

[casper]

Thanks Goodsy. I'm a small-time punter. My bets vary based on the odds (higher odds ==> lower bet). For the above my bets range between $3 and $25.

The Lions looked toothless in the first half so at half time I hedged my bets by taking the following:

SUPER RUGBY
Blues -12.5 LINE against Lions

[casper]

Results so far:

SUPER RUGBY
Lions +21.5 LINE against Blues @ 1.26 - LOSS
Blues -12.5 LINE against Lions -- WIN

ATP Madrid
Djokovic H2H against Wawrinka @ 1.26 -- WIN
Gasquet H2H against Federer @ 6.40 -- LOSS
Gasquet (+5.5 games) against Federer @ 1.74 -- LOSS
Ferrer H2H against Almagro @ 1.31 -- WIN

WTA Madrid
S. Williams H2H against Wozniacki @ 1.25 -- WIN

[casper]

I should say that I don't typically make this many wagers in a weekend, I got a bit carried away after I started writing them up here!!

More results

AFL
Hawthorn H2H against Melbourne @ 1.06 -- WIN


NRL
Bulldogs H2H against Titans @ 1.33 -- LOSS
Titans H2H against Bulldogs (2nd half live bet to hedge) @ 1.06 -- WIN

[casper]

My results for the weekend...

AFL
Hawthorn H2H against Melbourne @ 1.06 - WIN
Carlton H2H against St Kilda @ 1.25 - LOSS
North Melbourne H2H against Western Bulldogs @ 1.40 - LOSS
Collingwood H2H against Brisbane @ 1.18 - WIN

NRL
Bulldogs H2H against Titans @ 1.33 - LOSS
Titans H2H against Bulldogs [live bet] @ 1.06 -- WIN
Raiders H2H against Eels @ 1.47 - WIN
Dragons H2H against Panthers @ 1.26 - LOSS

SUPER RUGBY
Lions +21.5 LINE against Blues @ 1.26 - LOSS
Blues -12.5 LINE against Lions [live bet] @ 1.91 - WIN
Hurricanes H2H against Highlanders @ 2.40 - WIN
Hurricanes +3.5 LINE against Highlanders @ 1.90 - WIN
Stormers H2H against Cheetahs @ 1.24 - WIN

EPL
Man Utd H2H against Sunderland @ 1.44 - WIN
Chelsea H2H against Blackburn @ 1.33 - WIN

ATP Madrid
Djokovic H2H against Wawrinka @ 1.26 - WIN
Gasquet H2H against Federer @ 6.40 - LOSS
Gasquet (+5.5 games) against Federer @ 1.74 - LOSS
Ferrer H2H against Almagro @ 1.31 - WIN

WTA Madrid
S. Williams H2H against Wozniacki @ 1.25 - WIN

NBA
Lakers H2H against Nuggets [live bet] @ 1.20 - WIN

I wagered $215.05 all up for a $219.64 return and a $4.49 profit.

I got carried away this week and made too many bets!! I will tone it down for next week.

[casper]

Here are my current picks for the weekend...

TENNIS
S Williams WINNER WTA Rome @ 2.86 (may hedge later)

SUPER RUGBY
Reds H2H against Lions @ 1.08
Bulls H2H against Highlanders @ 1.90

AFL
North Melbourne H2H against Port Adelaide @ 1.47
Hawthorn H2H against Fremantle @ 1.19
Western Bulldogs H2H against Gold Coast @ 1.16
Essendon H2H against Richmond @ 1.52
Brisbane H2H against GWS @ 1.18
West Coast H2H against St Kilda @ 1.39
MULTI BET - 6 AFL fixtures above @ 5.06

$120.30 wagered in all.

[casper]

I haven't gone with any NRL bet this round because of players missing for Origin duty.

[casper]

North Melbourne broke up the multi. That'll teach me for backing them again!

I hedged Serena which was just as well because she retired injured. She was my biggest bet too.

In all I was down $7.44.

In one correction I had wagered $70.80, not $120.30. The other $49.50 was actually a lay bet to hedge an NBA wager I had made a while ago.

TENNIS
S Williams WINNER WTA Rome @ 2.86 (may hedge later) - HEDGED - NO PROFIT (would have made 0.79 * wager had she won)

SUPER RUGBY
Reds H2H against Lions @ 1.08 - WIN
Bulls H2H against Highlanders @ 1.90 - LOSS

AFL
North Melbourne H2H against Port Adelaide @ 1.47 - LOSS
Hawthorn H2H against Fremantle @ 1.19 - WIN
Western Bulldogs H2H against Gold Coast @ 1.16 - WIN
Essendon H2H against Richmond @ 1.52 - WIN
Brisbane H2H against GWS @ 1.18 - WIN
West Coast H2H against St Kilda @ 1.39 - WIN
MULTI BET - 6 AFL fixtures above @ 5.06 - LOSS

[casper]

My bets for this weekend:

SUPER RUGBY
Chiefs H2H against Bulls @ 1.51
Rebels +9.5 LINE against Hurricanes @ 1.90

AFL
Western Bulldogs +29.5 LINE against Geelong @ 1.92
Adelaide H2H against Collingwood @ 1.50 (feeling uneasy about this one)
Port Adelaide H2H against Gold Coast @ 1.48
Hawthorn H2H against Richmond @ 1.32
West Coast H2H against Fremantle @ 1.37

NRL
Storm H2H against Broncos @ 1.45
Sea Eagles H2H against Panthers @ 1.40

Total bets: $30.10

[Goodsy]

Im thinking of taking the Reds tonight 1-12, thinking they will make a late surge end of season now Quade is back and Genia is starting to get it together again.. no more off field distractions. Brumbies will be tough to beat at home..

[casper]

Brumbies vs Reds should be a great game. Like you said the Brumbies are a tough nut to crack at home. Had the game been in Brisbane I would have been all over the Reds.

If the Reds win it probably won't be by much so the 1-12 looks a decent bet.

[Goodsy]

I decided on going Reds -2 start @ $2.10, somthing in the back of my mind says Reds are up for this game and may put a number on Brumbies, so went with a little safety..

[Goodsy]

I decided on going Reds -2 start @ $2.10, somthing in the back of my mind says Reds are up for this game and may put a number on Brumbies, so went with a little safety..

Yep, that sums up my day today.... talked myself out of a winning bet.

[casper]

I feel your pain mate, I've been there...