NM4's MLB Plays

[nomore4s]

Rangers @ $2.74 (Pinnacle) x 1.5 units = 4.11 units
Rangers -1.5 @ $4.25 x 0.5 units = 2.12 units

I don't normally bet on play off games but just see the odds here as too generous. Blue Jays have dominated the series so far but the Rangers are a good team and are only 4 from 37 with runners in scoring positions in the first 2 games. If they get as many runners in scoring positions in this game as they have in the past 2 I think they will win it. Lewis is an experienced pitcher and will put in a solid performance and Sanchez was lit up by Texas during the season. I also love betting against streaks, Blue Jays on a 5 game winning streak and Rangers on a 4 game losing streak.

Rangers tried hard but lost in the 10th innings. My record in extra innings games is terrible, I think I'm something like 2-12, as soon as a game goes to extra innings I know its a loss, hahaha.

Weekly record: 1(0W-1L)
Units: -2

Overall Record: 42(22W-20L)
Units: +12.93

[nomore4s]

Rangers @ $2.74 (Pinnacle) x 1.5 units = 4.11 units
Rangers -1.5 @ $4.25 x 0.5 units = 2.12 units

I don't normally bet on play off games but just see the odds here as too generous. Blue Jays have dominated the series so far but the Rangers are a good team and are only 4 from 37 with runners in scoring positions in the first 2 games. If they get as many runners in scoring positions in this game as they have in the past 2 I think they will win it. Lewis is an experienced pitcher and will put in a solid performance and Sanchez was lit up by Texas during the season. I also love betting against streaks, Blue Jays on a 5 game winning streak and Rangers on a 4 game losing streak.

[nomore4s]

Hoping for some better results on with the MLB today. 2 plays.

Angels @ 2.30 x 1.5 units (Bet365) = 3.45 units
Angels -1.5 @ $3.75 x 0.5 units (Bet365) = 1.87 units

Cardinals @ $2.00 (Unibet) x 1.5 units = 3 units
Cardinals -1.5 @ $2.85 x 0.5 units = 1.42 units

4 bets with 4 units outlay.

Angels are due for a win and they have a great opportunity to get one against Dickey who has really struggled this season. Trout who is in a HR funk is 6 for 13 against Dickey and the Angels offence might get going in this game. Weaver has a 11-2 record with a 3.31 ERA and a good WHIP of 1.07 against the Blue Jays in 14 starts could give the Angels every chance as well.

The Giants have been horrible since the All-star break and young Luke Weaver has been good in his six starts for the Cardinals. Moore is nothing special and Cardinals have one of the best offences in MLB this season.

Another poor day on the baseball.

0-4 for -4 units.

Weekly record: 13(4W-9L)
Units: -6.81

Overall Record: 41(22W-19L)
Units: +14.93

[nomore4s]

Hoping for some better results on with the MLB today. 2 plays.

Angels @ 2.30 x 1.5 units (Bet365) = 3.45 units
Angels -1.5 @ $3.75 x 0.5 units (Bet365) = 1.87 units

Cardinals @ $2.00 (Unibet) x 1.5 units = 3 units
Cardinals -1.5 @ $2.85 x 0.5 units = 1.42 units

4 bets with 4 units outlay.

Angels are due for a win and they have a great opportunity to get one against Dickey who has really struggled this season. Trout who is in a HR funk is 6 for 13 against Dickey and the Angels offence might get going in this game. Weaver has a 11-2 record with a 3.31 ERA and a good WHIP of 1.07 against the Blue Jays in 14 starts could give the Angels every chance as well.

The Giants have been horrible since the All-star break and young Luke Weaver has been good in his six starts for the Cardinals. Moore is nothing special and Cardinals have one of the best offences in MLB this season.

[nomore4s]

Play for tomorrow.

Yankees @ $2.65 x 1.5 units = 3.97
Yankees -1.5 @ $4.50 x 0.5 units = 2.25

The odds are out of whack here. Yankees are big outsiders due to the fact Kershaw is pitching for the Dodgers. But Kershaw is having his second start since 2 month out with a back injury. His 1st start back wan't anything to write home about lasting only 3 innings and 66 pitches. He will be on a pitch count as well, and with the Yankees having the better bullpen and the odds should be a bit closer.

Play number 2 for today.

Rangers @ $2.25 x 1.5 units (Crownbet) = 3.37 units
Rangers -1.5 @ $3.30 x 0.5 units (Bet365) = 1.65 units

Rangers have dominated the Astros this year to the tune of 15-3. Astros starting pitcher is making only his 8th overall start and last outing against the Rangers he gave up 5 runs and 8 hits in only just over 4 innings. Rangers start Holland is 5-2 with a 4.19 ERA in 12 starts against Astros.

Not a good day. 0-4, losing 4 units. Been a bad couple of days for my baseball bets, look to bounce back over the next couple of days.

Weekly record: 9(4W-5L)
Units: -2.81

Overall Record: 37(22W-15L)
Units: +18.93

[nomore4s]

Play number 2 for today.

Rangers @ $2.25 x 1.5 units (Crownbet) = 3.37 units
Rangers -1.5 @ $3.30 x 0.5 units (Bet365) = 1.65 units

Rangers have dominated the Astros this year to the tune of 15-3. Astros starting pitcher is making only his 8th overall start and last outing against the Rangers he gave up 5 runs and 8 hits in only just over 4 innings. Rangers start Holland is 5-2 with a 4.19 ERA in 12 starts against Astros.

[nomore4s]

Play for tomorrow.

Yankees @ $2.65 x 1.5 units = 3.97
Yankees -1.5 @ $4.50 x 0.5 units = 2.25

The odds are out of whack here. Yankees are big outsiders due to the fact Kershaw is pitching for the Dodgers. But Kershaw is having his second start since 2 month out with a back injury. His 1st start back wan't anything to write home about lasting only 3 innings and 66 pitches. He will be on a pitch count as well, and with the Yankees having the better bullpen and the odds should be a bit closer.

[nomore4s]

Today's plays

Red Sox -1.5 @ $2.30 (Bet365) x 2 = 4.6 units
Royals -1.5 @ $2.30 (Bet365) x 2 = 4.6 units
Multi - Royal -1.5 & Red Sox -1.5 @ $5.28 (Bet365) x 1/2 unit = 2.64 units

4.5 units outlayed for possible return of 11.84 units (7.34 units profit)

Important you structure bets so either bet wins it covers the outlay on all 3! So adjust units size slightly depending on price you can get from your bookie.
Red Sox and Royals both are the better teams and have the better pitchers. Hopefully that translates into decent wins by both.

Poor day to day going 0-3 with a -4.5 units loss. Was due for a bad day, but I deviated from my normal bets and payed the price.

Weekly record: 9(4W-5L)
Units: +1.19

Overall Record: 37(22W-15L)
Units: +22.93

[nomore4s]

Today's plays

Red Sox -1.5 @ $2.30 (Bet365) x 2 = 4.6 units
Royals -1.5 @ $2.30 (Bet365) x 2 = 4.6 units
Multi - Royal -1.5 & Red Sox -1.5 @ $5.28 (Bet365) x 1/2 unit = 2.64 units

4.5 units outlayed for possible return of 11.84 units (7.34 units profit)

Important you structure bets so either bet wins it covers the outlay on all 3! So adjust units size slightly depending on price you can get from your bookie.
Red Sox and Royals both are the better teams and have the better pitchers. Hopefully that translates into decent wins by both.

[nomore4s]

Plays for 13/09/16

Rangers @ $2.15 (Bet365) x 1.5 units
Rangers -1.5 @ $3.15 (Bet365) x 0.5 units

Rangers starter Perez has been pretty good in his last 2 starts, he also has a 5-3 record with a 2.45 ERA against the Astros but did lose the last start against them. Fister on the other hand is in a horrible run, giving up 15 earned runs & 26 hits in just over 12 innings with only 3 strike outs. He is also 0-5 in last 7 starts at Minute Maid Park and gave up 7 earned runs and 10 hits in 3 & 2/3 innings last start against the Rangers.

Rangers won 4-3 in extra innings after leading 3-1 in the 7th.

1-1 today for 1.22 units profit.

Weekly record: 6(4W-2L)
Units: +5.69

Overall Record: 37(22W-15L)
Units: +27.43

[nomore4s]

Plays for 13/09/16

Rangers @ $2.15 (Bet365) x 1.5 units
Rangers -1.5 @ $3.15 (Bet365) x 0.5 units

Rangers starter Perez has been pretty good in his last 2 starts, he also has a 5-3 record with a 2.45 ERA against the Astros but did lose the last start against them. Fister on the other hand is in a horrible run, giving up 15 earned runs & 26 hits in just over 12 innings with only 3 strike outs. He is also 0-5 in last 7 starts at Minute Maid Park and gave up 7 earned runs and 10 hits in 3 & 2/3 innings last start against the Rangers.

[nomore4s]

Red Sox @ $2.40 (Pinnacle Sports) x 1.5 units
Red Sox -1.5 @ $3.30 (Bet365) x 1/2 unit

Red Sox in with a huge show here even with Sanchez's(Blue Jays) 5-1 record at the Rogers Centre and 13-2 record with a 2.92 for the year. Buchholz(Red Sox) has been very good in his last 4 starts but his record at the Rogers centre is actually better than Sanchez's, he is 11-3 with a 2.18 ERA, and some of the Blue Jays batting starts have really struggled with Buchholz. Throw in the fact the Blue Jays have been struggling as a whole anyway, winning only 3 of the last 10 and Red Sox look like value.

Angels @ $2.15 (Bet365) x 1.5 units
Angels -1.5 @ $3.30 (Bet365) x 1/2 unit

Colby Lewis is back for the Blue Jays after 2 months out but he has struggled in his minor-league rehab starts, giving up 11 runs in 10 innings. He also has a poor record against the Red Sox with a 6.26 ERA, even though he won both starts against them this year. Weaver has a modest record against the Blue Jays but held the Rangers to 1 run back on April 10.

4 bets with 4 units outlayed.

Red Sox won 11-8
Angels won 3-2

So ended up 3 from 4 with +4.47 units profit for the day, good start to the week.

Weekly record: 4(3W-1L)
Units: +4.47

Overall Record: 35(21W-14L)
Units: +26.21

[nomore4s]

Red Sox @ $2.40 (Pinnacle Sports) x 1.5 units
Red Sox -1.5 @ $3.30 (Bet365) x 1/2 unit

Red Sox in with a huge show here even with Sanchez's(Blue Jays) 5-1 record at the Rogers Centre and 13-2 record with a 2.92 for the year. Buchholz(Red Sox) has been very good in his last 4 starts but his record at the Rogers centre is actually better than Sanchez's, he is 11-3 with a 2.18 ERA, and some of the Blue Jays batting starts have really struggled with Buchholz. Throw in the fact the Blue Jays have been struggling as a whole anyway, winning only 3 of the last 10 and Red Sox look like value.

Angels @ $2.15 (Bet365) x 1.5 units
Angels -1.5 @ $3.30 (Bet365) x 1/2 unit

Colby Lewis is back for the Blue Jays after 2 months out but he has struggled in his minor-league rehab starts, giving up 11 runs in 10 innings. He also has a poor record against the Red Sox with a 6.26 ERA, even though he won both starts against them this year. Weaver has a modest record against the Blue Jays but held the Rangers to 1 run back on April 10.

4 bets with 4 units outlayed.

[nomore4s]

Running late today, still crying after Hawthorn losing last night.
Will post thoughts on matches later.

Red Sox @ $1.89 (Crownbet) x 2 units
Red Sox -1.5 @ $2.50 (William Hill) x 1 unit
Rays @ $2.50 (Bet365) x 1.5 units
Rays -1.5 @ $3.65 (Bet365) x 1/2 unit
Marlins @ $2.45 (Bet365) x 1.5 units
Marlins -1.5 @ $4.50 x 1/2 unit

Total of 7 units

Red Sox won 13-3. +3.28 units profit
Rays lost 7-5. -2 units loss
Marlins won 4-1. +3.92 units profit

For 4W-2L and +5.2 units

Weekly record: 12(7W-5L)
Units: +7.04

Overall Record: 31(18W-13L)
Units: +21.74

[nomore4s]

Running late today, still crying after Hawthorn losing last night.
Will post thoughts on matches later.

Red Sox @ $1.89 (Crownbet) x 2 units
Red Sox -1.5 @ $2.50 (William Hill) x 1 unit
Rays @ $2.50 (Bet365) x 1.5 units
Rays -1.5 @ $3.65 (Bet365) x 1/2 unit
Marlins @ $2.45 (Bet365) x 1.5 units
Marlins -1.5 @ $4.50 x 1/2 unit

Total of 7 units

Thoughts on above matches

Red Sox -Porcello by far the better pitcher and should make it hard for a Blue Jays team struggling to score anyway.

Rays - Pineda is struggling lately and Snell has a 1.89 batting against average when playing against the Yankees, think they can cause an upset here.

Marlins - Kershaw returns for the Dodgers but will be on a pitch count and Fernandez is nearly unbeatable at Marlins Park with a 1.91 ERA there this year.