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Euro 2024 betting

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  • admin
    Moderator
    • Aug 2011
    • 1010

    Euro 2024 betting

    UEFA Euro 2024 commences tomorrow and will run until the 14th of July. The host nation is Germany.

    England is the current favourite, but our current recommendation is to lay them with Betfair. We were able to lay England at 4.90 and their current lay odds are 5.10.

    As the English football pundit Jason Cundy put it, England are gold at the front, platinum in the middle and tin at the back. A sound defence is highly correlated with tournament success and on paper that's where England's biggest issues lie. While their squad is made up of highly capable players, a number of defenders will be playing out of position. The jury is also still out on the quality of their manager Gareth Southgate.
  • Whisky33
    New Member
    • Jan 2021
    • 9

    #2
    The path to the final has opened up for England now as I see it, if Southgate can swallow his pride and actually play the fantastic young talent he has at his disposal then there's a chance England win the whole thing.

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    • blackswan
      Member
      • Sep 2014
      • 96

      #3
      With Southgate at the helm and the incredible squad at his disposal, the England team looks like a Formula 1 car when Richard Hammond was at the wheel in that Top Gear episode.

      You're right, England will be pinching themselves with the way the Round of 16 draw has fallen for them. Of the top five ranked teams with bookmakers, England are in one half of the bracket, with Spain, Germany, France and Portugal all in the other. It might be one of those tournaments where the best game is in the semi-final.

      If the England squad can play even close to the sum of its parts, then they should make the final.

      Comment

      • pominoz
        Senior Member
        • Aug 2011
        • 215

        #4
        My picks for the Round of 16:

        Switzerland vs. Italy --> DRAW
        Germany vs. Denmark --> UNDER 2.5
        England vs. Slovakia --> UNDER 2.5
        Spain vs. Georgia --> SPAIN & OVER 2.5
        Austria vs. Turkey --> AUSTRIA

        Comment

        • pominoz
          Senior Member
          • Aug 2011
          • 215

          #5
          I was 3 from 5 in the round of 16 and still feel filthy that Austria didn't win given their 3+ xG for that game.

          For the quarters my picks are:

          France v Portugal --> UNDER 2.5 (1.65 odds)
          England v Switzerland --> UNDER 2.5 (1.56 odds)
          Last edited by pominoz; 9 July 2024, 07:38 AM.

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          • pominoz
            Senior Member
            • Aug 2011
            • 215

            #6
            I went 2 from 2 in the quarters and have placed a similar bet on France's semi-finals clash.

            Spain v France --> UNDER 2.5 (1.53 odds)

            Comment

            • pominoz
              Senior Member
              • Aug 2011
              • 215

              #7
              My pick for the Spain v England final is for both teams to score (2.05 odds). Hopefully we'll get a good final!
              Last edited by pominoz; 12 July 2024, 09:32 AM.

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              • blackswan
                Member
                • Sep 2014
                • 96

                #8
                For anyone who's interested, I have found a link to the expected goals for Euro 2024:
                Euro xGscore's Expected Goals (xG) stats and analyses, tournament table and result fairness. Advanced xG: On Target, Set Play, First / Second half and other


                England has been second best for xG in a number of their games, but they were worth their winning margin against the Netherlands.

                England has the best xGC at 5.4, compared to 6.5 for Spain, however Spain has an xG of 11.2 over their six games, compared to just 6.1 for England.

                Another thing that stands out is Spain has gone 6-0-0 in the tournament thus far, while England has gone 3-3-0 in regulation time.

                In terms of actual goals, Spain has scored 13 and conceded 3, while England has scored 7 and conceded 4.

                It feels like justice served if Spain wins the tournament, but I'm not prepared to rule out England. They finally lifted in performance against the Netherlands and their squad is incredibly good, particularly their bench. With Pickford in goal, they may also have the upper hand if it comes to penalties. I'm toying with the idea of a bet on Spain to win the trophy at 1.72, with a smaller hedge bet on England to win on penalties at 9.00.

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