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Originally posted by BettingMax
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yeah won haha
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MLS: Sporting Kansas City -New England Revolution
Back to back draws for New England and they might be concerned about dropping two points both at home to Toronto and on the road to Orlando , but that has extended their unbeaten run to nine and they will want to take that to double figures ahead of a top of the Eastern Conference clash with DC United on Saturday. They have traditionally struggled in Kansas, but got that monkey of their back last year with a 3-2 win here last September, a first road win in ten in this series. They actually won all three meetings with SKC last season , have not lost to them inside 90 minutes in five and could hardly be meeting the hosts at a better time. Unless Sporting can get a couple of fringe players back in time from loan (at lower level clubs), they will not be able to name a full bench and will be picking from just 14 available
outfield players. This is almost never quite as bad as it sounds, but they will most likely only have four available defenders and will not have key winger Graham Zusi ( won just 7 of 24 in his absence last three seasons) and midfielders Roger Espinoza and Marcel de Jong are also doubts , if both play it will be tough, if either misses out more so and if both are sidelined , it is very hard to see them getting anything from this. Home bloggers are predicting both will sit this one out and that looks about right with SKC having vital Western games against Seattle (twice) and Dallas in their next three starts.
We have discussed Revolution many times this season and most of you know that I rate them highly as see them as a team with massive potential, given the team news, this is a game they should be taking at least a point from and the handicap start looks a real bonus.....
New England Revolution +0.25 ball 2.07 asian line/Sportmarket.
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Niort- Laval
Huge credit to Niort for how they have played over the second half of the season, through which they have already collected 29 points and won 7 of 11, before stepping off the gas a little over their last two starts, through early season they looked shambolic defensively and that will need to be further addressed in the summer. Three of their last six starts have produced five or more goals and I can see this following suit. 15 goal striker Seydou Kone is one of few who has any hope of catching Le Bihan ( see Le Havre preview) in the top L2 goalscorer race, he has ended the season on fire, with three goals in his last four starts and 13 plus four assists in 24. I think his contract was only for one season, so expires next month, at 32 yo , he will be looking to get one last decent contract here or somewhere else and will be looking to continue to impress. Hosts are missing right back Kevin Malcuit and have conceded ten goals in the last five games he has sat out.
Laval are better than 10th place suggests, at least if you listen to them, but they have paid the price for being too timid and 21 draws is too many, an extra 11 points by gambling in half of those and winning just 50% would have seen them top 3 this morning and they have to learn from that, gone are the days when a road point was good enough match after match in this division. They have opened now, last two starts have produced four goals and they have scored five and hopefully they are using the run in to experiment offensively for next season, it certainly looks that way. However, they are without Said, Diallo and Alla, who have 15 goals betweem them and first choice goalkeeper Lionel Cappone , replacement Maxime Hautbois has conceded a goal every 43 minutes in his two road starts.They are far from a lost cause offensively as the midfielders have found a few goals, but the two named strikers are only a combined 40yo and Duckens Nazon will be making his debut if he plays.
Definitely advantage Niort, but odds of 1.83 do not overly appeal and the "over" still makes more appeal.
"over" 2.5 goals 2.02 asian line/Sportmarket.
I will also take -0.5 ball Niort in running, if the line hits 2.10, as long as they are not already leading and we are playing 11 v 11.
Niort : Delecroix, Roche - Lahaye, Sans, Barbet, Bernard, Batisse - Martin, Koukou, Diaw, Roye, Sambia - Dona Ndoh, Ba, Koné, Rocheteau.
Laval : Hautbois, Lesec - Ben Djemia, D.Konaté, Chafik, Monfray, Couturier, Polomat, Mukiélé - Robic, Zeoula, Gonçalves, Boumous, Etinof - Guirassy, Nazon.
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Ligue1 Toulouse - Nice
I will take a little on the "over" in the Ligue 1 match between Toulouse and Nice, these two have played out a few really high scoring encounters in recent campaigns, the reverse fixture this season saw five goals and the meeting here two years ago, produced seven, with Nice edging home 4-3. The last three Toulouse starts have gone "over", with both teams scoring in six of their last eight and only Reims have conceded more goals, Nice's last ten have seen eight "overs".
Both teams are now safe from any relegation issues, can relax and play pressure free football and that should result in goals. I am (again) not really concerned with team news, but each has defensive issues and both appear to be coming into this with a very offensive approach and line up and this should be fun to watch.
Toulouse-Nice... "over" 3 goals 2.39 Pinnacle/ Sportmarket Pro .......alternatively "over" 2.75 goals 2.04 asian line/Sportmarket.
Toulouse: Ahamada, Vidal – Akpa Akpro, Kana-Biyik, Matheus, Ninkov, Spajic, Tisserand, Yago – Blin, Bodiger, E.Didot, Regattin, Makach, Trejo – Ben Yedder, Roman, Pesic.
Nice: Delle, Hassen – Bodmer, Boscagli, Palun, G.Puel – Albert, Bauthéac, Digard, Carlos Eduardo, Eysseric, Koziello, Vercauteren – Honorat, Bosetti, Maupay, Pléa, P.Puel.
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This is really great I think. ThanksComment
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Quite a good numbers you have predicted here..Thanks for the help.Comment
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FA Cup Final: Arsenal- Aston Villa
It was understandable that Villa switched off after securing EPL survival with this big final very much in mind, but a thumping at Southampton, where they were 5-1 down at the break (!) and a home loss to relegated Burnley was hardly a confidence boost and they must be a little fearful of how today could play out, especially if they were to concede early. The fact that they lost both league meetings by an aggregate 8-0 will not help, nor will the fact that the Gunners ran riot against WBA last week, ahead of which I wrote ....."The Gunners have looked a little jaded in front of goal recently and you will probably have to wait a long time before they go another three games at the Emirates without scoring, but they did manage 51 attempts on goals (17 on target) in the last two, averaging 71% possession and the likelihood is that they will not be too far away from those numbers today and I think we can expect a more positive outcome. They will be looking for some form to take into next week's FA Cup final and are under no pressure this afternoon, having now secured third place and the extra (two week ?) holiday that brings with it. Arsenal also have a fine final day record (unbeaten in nine) and have scored four goals in each of the three home games in that sequence, they have scored in all 17 EPL games against Albion, averaging over two per game and I expect normal home service to be resumed today, especially as the visitors seem almost certain to come with a FAR more positive attitude than either Swansea City or Sunderland."
That was over as a contest inside 15 minutes and Theo Walcott, who is still in contract negotiations, thrived in the central striker position with a hat-trick before the break. That was the perfect run out for the Gunners, who had very little luck in front of goal in starts leading up to that game and Arsene Wenger has a surplus of offensive options and decisions to make today and seems sure to go with a very attacking line up. Walcott Alexis Sanchez, Olivier Giroud (scored in his last three against Villa....all before the break) ,Mesut Ozil (scored in both games versus Villa this season), Aaron Ramsey and Santi Cazorla, are too much for most teams to handle, let alone a Villa backline that remains suspect.
On the plus side for the Villans, Tim Sherwood is a very offensive minded coach and he probably knows that Arsenal will be most vulnerable early, Hull City were two up inside nine minutes in last year's final with the Gunners and the North London side are prone to the odd first half debacle (3-0 down at Stoke at HT ). Villa have scored 71% of goals before the break, which is the wrong way round and Arsenal are incredibly strong in the 15 minutes before HT scoring an EPL high 19 goals through this period. A very attractive looking game in prospect, good chance for early action and I will suggest we go with....... "over" 1.25 goals FH betting 2.28 asian line/Sportmarket.
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More Bets on Barcelona as they are winning all of their games.Comment
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My pick for 2nd leg relegation match Karlsruher SC - Hamburger SV:
Karlsruhe to beat HSV @ 2.2Comment
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Wah...luck for HSV with the handball...but the HSV was the better team yesterday..congrats...Originally posted by BettingMax View PostComment
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2-1?? i think it would 3-2 ...just was an opinion..but too good luck for your prediction.Comment
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MLS: Houston Dynamo- New York Red Bulls
Red Bulls will doubtless be pleased to see the back of a very disappointing month of May, they went into it unbeaten through seven games, but have taken just four points from five starts since and fallen behind both main rivals DCU and Revolution in the race for first place in the Eastern Conference. Having said that, they do have at least two games in hand on both and feel they have been playing far better than recent results suggest, but they need to get back to winning ways. They surprised a lot of people early with their high pressing, high tempo style under new coach Jesse Marsch,but coaching/scouting reports soon arrived and teams then knew what to expect and sat back a little more and whilst Marsch is sticking with his game plan, it is and already has been tweaked a little. But teams are overloading the midfield and then hitting NYRB on the break and Dynamo have the personnel to do just that. New York have looked vulnerable defensively in recent starts and are in a tough place tonight with central defender Damien Perrinelle suspended, they will have to either bring in left back Roy Miller to play alongside Karl Ouimette who has already looked suspect even along side Perrinelle , or go with Andrew Jean-Baptiste, who has not played a first team game since September and never for Red Bulls, with alternatives injured. Miller seems most likely, but he had a bit of a nightmare in his last outing in the centre. They have also been overloading the left flank a bit recently , I am not sure if that is on purpose or not, but it leaves them vulnerable on the right and Chris Duvall at right back could be in for a long evening and a left back in the middle, is hardly going to help in that regard, with his natural instinct to shift in teh other direction. So, very hard to see them keeping Dynamo out for 90 minutes.
The hosts have backline problems of their own, with a central defensive partnership of Jermaine Taylor and David Horst giving huge cause for concern, the left back likes to get forward and the right has been moved across from the middle and this is very much a backline in transition, a work in progress. New York will love to see Taylor and Horst again, last time the pair faced Red Bulls was just over a year ago and they were run ragged, with NY scoring four unanswered goals, Bradley Wright-Phillips notched a hat-trick and he will fancy his chances this evening. That match was in the Big Apple, but Red Bulls have scored two or more in six of their last seven visits to Houston , with Dynamo doing likewise in five. With both teams having issues at the back, it is easy to see this trend continuing and I will opt for......
over 2.5 goals 2.14 asian line/Sportmarket.
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Good article..got some quality information from it...Comment
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UEFA Champions League Final: Barcelona- Juventus
It seems a little pointless to overly discuss this match, as we all know the two teams so well, as do the oddsmakers. Both are worthy finalists and are probably the two best teams in Europe and if you took Lionel Messi out of the equation, there would not be too much between them, but the still only 27 yo, who seems to have been around for ever, might not even be at his peak yet and has looked at his very best this season, actually getting better on a month by month basis and we will be able to tell our grandchildren that we saw him play !
Messi has 58 goals from 56 starts this season and 30+ assists, in a team where he is "sharing" the goals with Neymar and Suarez, but two other things stand out for me, firstly,the respect that duo show the wee man, both have huge egos and accept without question that he is the star of the show and runs things and that says plenty, also, that he has missed one 45 minute period of La Liga action this season, otherwise playing in every minute of every league game and that tells you just as much about his love for the game and steely nature. This is a strong man and the fact that, with nothing to prove to anyone but himself, that after a poor last season, but his own impossibly high standards, he put himself on a very strict diet to get into the shape of his career this season and now he, and Barcelona, are reaping the dividends. I expect him to lead the Catalan giants to another title, but how to back them and get a decent price, both teams have scored in eight of the last ten Champions League finals, Barce have conceded in half of their CL matches this season and only failed to score in one of 12 opening halves in the competition, which we need for an open encounter. Juve will surley look to keep this tight and scoreless for as long as possible, but they had the same intention against Real Madrid in both legs of the semi final and conceded in both before the break. They will be without Giorgio Chiellini at the back today. they conceded twice at home to Real last season in his absence and whilst he has been ever present in the competition this season, Juve have conceded in 8 of the last 9 Serie A starts he has missed, at an average of 1.33 goals per game ( just 0.41 pg in other matches). If we get the early goal, this could become very entertaining and Juve can play their part in that, I would suggest, Barcelona to win, with both teams scoring 3.50-3.75 general quote, my alternative suggestion would have to be the "over".
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cabbott gave all the information that you need..Comment
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