Football betting Daily Picks

[paul8209]

Champions League: Real Madrid - AS Roma

Real won 2-0 in Rome, just as they did in Schalke at the same stage last year, then making hard work of the home leg, losing 4-3 and looking in real trouble several times through a wild and craxy game . They will not want to put themselves through that again and something similar to the previous two second leg home ties a 3-1 and 4-1 win seems more likely this evening. Real have won their last two La Liga games, scoring ten, but conceding in each, Roma are on a roll since losing the first leg and have won three scoring 12 goals, actually the Real game aside they have won seven (22 goals) in a row and will be confident of finding a goal this evening, you would feel that the trip to Udinese on Sunday would now be given priority, but the heavy defeat of Fiorentina on Friday has given them a little breathing space in terms of top three and they can perhaps afford to give this their best shot, at least early.

Roma are much improved under Luciano Spalletti (see preview of the 5-0 win over Palermo below) and will see this perhaps as a true test of how far they have come, they had chances in the first leg, when they played almost exclusively on the break and it is easy to see them getting on the scoresheet again this evening. Having said that, Real have already lost at home to Barcelona and Atletico and will want to avoid a third, or repeat of what happened against Schalke last season, so again, when the dust has settled it has to be with a home win. 3-1/4-1.

Real Madrid to win and both teams to score 2.50 general quote, best alternative would have to be "over" 3.5 goals 2.17 asian line

from Clubgowi newsletter

[AlexHitchens]

So what's your winning rate on these picks thus far bro? THinking maybe I've stumbled onto a goldmine.... or not at all

best free online pokies

[paul8209]

France Ligue2: Bourg - Nancy

Bourg lost 2-1 last round and are falling closer and closer to the relegation zone and despite a point at Nimes last week (where they really rode their luck at times) they now sit just nine points off the bottom three, have collected just 14 points from 15 starts and have to be giving praise for such a solid start to life in Ligue 2. It is hard to get away from the idea that they have run out of steam (see above) and that they are no longer the surprise package they were early in the campaign. Today we have the second worse defence in L2 against the second best attack and there should certainly be goals in this for Nancy, who are looking to preserve their healthy lead in second place over the chasing pack. One, maybe more of Red Star, Le Havre, Clermont, Lens will come on strong in the next two months, Nancy know that and actually face two of those teams in the next four weeks and also travel to leaders Dijon and points today will surely be easier to come by and would greatly ease pressure ahead of those tough fixtures. I think they will be out all guns blazing for maximum points today and will be buoyed by their first real defensive performance last week in a 2-0 win over Red Star, however, it came at a cost and today they will be without both left back Vincent Muratori and central defender Mikael Chretien Basser, the pair have missed just three starts between them this season and that is very disruptive. Nancy had conceded twice in each of their previous four starts, including at home to Paris Fc and the visitors seem unlikely to win without conceding.

Bourg-en-Bresse : Fabri, Callamand, Alphonse, Faivre, Traore, N'Simba, Nirlo, Dembele, Berthomier, Damour, Ba, Bègue, Boussaha, Ogier, Boujedra, Dimitriou.

Nancy : Ndy Assembe, Samba - Cuffaut, Cétout, Diakhaté, Lenglet, Badila, Aït Bennasser, Guidileye, Pedretti, Iglesias, Lusamba, Puyo, Dalé, Robic, Hadji, Mabella, Busin.

over 2.75 goals 2.39 asian line/Sportmarket

Nancy to win and both teams to score 4.0-4.33 general quote

from Clubgowi newsletter

http://www.clubgowi.com

[paul8209]

MLS: New York City FC - Toronto FC

Last round Toronto won 2-0 in the Big Apple, courtesy of two late goals , including a first of the season from star front man Sebastian Giovinco, he also laid on the second and now has "just" the 23 goals and 16 assists from 34 MLS starts, a scoring contribution every 73.5 minutes ! He came up short in two of three games against NYFC last season, but had an hat-trick and assist in a 4-4 draw here in the other, so you cannot keep a good man down for too long !

The game between Chicago and New York City was exactly what it looked like from the scoreline, a wide open, end to end encounter and even when City went "defensive" at 2-4, it barely changed anything, they looked vulnerable to pace at the back, but to score four on the road, without a goal from David Villa is hugely promising and I doubt new coach Viera will be any less offensive minded in his home debut. They looked to press high, tactics which worked so well for Red Bulls last year, but TFC got an early look at those and stifled them with a disciplined performance last week , that gives them an edge and with NYFC still coming to terms with the shift in tactics, i would be amazed if there were not goals in this for Toronto and the tireless Giovinco.

I can only see goals in this and feel that NYFC will need two to get a result and three+ to win.

Toronto to score "over" 1.5 goals 1.95-2.05 general quote if you can find it, if not, or even if you can .............

over 3.5 goals 2.36 asian line/Sportmarket

from Clubgowi newsletter

[paul8209]

Champions League Manchester City - Dynamo Kiev

This looks job done for City after their 3-1 win in Kiev, but the hosts are not playing well and that game aside, they have beaten only Aston Villa since the start of last month, with a couple of heavy defeats along the way. Main focus will clearly be the Champions League of course, but they also have to finish top 4 as a minimum and ensure participation in the competition next season and currently in 4th and with West Ham just two points adrift and Manchester United (whom they play in the derby game on Sunday) just another two further back, there is every chance that they will play tonight with one eye on that game.

Kiev were rusty in the first leg, that was to have been expected, they had not played a competitive game in eleven weeks,they have now had four games since the winter break and will be approaching full fitness and ready to show their best.

Dynamo currently lead Shakhtar Donetsk, who are flying in the Europa League, by three points at the top of the Ukrainian domestic league, where Kiev are unbeaten on the road 8-1-0, conceding just three goals. In the CL they won 2-0 at both Porto and Maccabi Tel Aviv and were 1-1 at Stamford Bridge with eight minutes left to play, before conceding a late winner. They did not venture forward much there until after the break, but of course cannot afford to wait that long this evening, they looked dangerous when they did and in Andriy Yarmolenko they have a world class player who has 110 goals and 72 assists for Kiev in less than 300 appearance and from out wide, he has been in the form of his life in the last two seasons and has scored in each of his last three starts.

City are vulnerable, Dynamo MUCH better than they showed in the first leg and the edge in fitness/freshnest has probably swung their way now. City have conceded in their last nine Champions League starts and at the Etihad in their last 14 ! They have conceded two or more in ten of those (!), including to BMG, Plzen, CSKA Moscow (twice) and Ajax and if Dynamo look at that record, they will fancy their chances of scoring a couple of goals, even if ultimately it might not be enough.

Dynamo Kiev to score two or more goals 4.0-4.33 general quote, given that they have to gamble and that City can progress if they concede twice regardless of what they do themselves and that they have allowed two in 71.42% (10/14)of competition home games ( which equates to odds of 1.40), how can that possible be correct ?

Manchester City to win and both teams to score 3.0 general quote

from Clubgowi newsletter

http://www.clubgowi.com

[paul8209]

France Ligue2 Paris FC - FC Metz

Paris FC are like a throwback to Ligue 2 of a decade ago, maybe I am being harsh and they are just not good enough, it is "OK" to be bad, but to not give yourself the best possible chance to win, is unforgivable ! They are now ten points from safety, with eight rounds left to play and are going to get what they deserve from this season, I do not advocate violence very often, but if they are happy to sit back for 70 minutes + again this evening on home soil, no supporter should be charged for running onto the pitch and administering a kick up the backside to every member of the coaching staff ! Lybohy is again suspended and missing from the home backline. I feel they will at least attempt to go for it early tonight and 3 of their last 4 have gone comfortably "over".

Metz will surely come all guns blazing for three points, they are currently sixth, two points off promotion pace, but no one is going to get up to Ligue 1 by playing for a draw and 3rd spot is going to go to the wire and will, you have to feel, be claimed by the bravest of the pack. They have scored in 13 of their last 14 away starts (all comps) and conceded two or more in 7/8 on the road, 7/9 have gone "over" and both teams have scored in 10 of 13. I feel they are the more likely winner, but have to suggest the best value lies with ................over 2.5 goals 2.51 asian line/Sportmarket.

from Clubgowi newsletter

[paul8209]

La Liga: Real Madrid - Sevilla

Sevilla were easy 3-0 winners in Europa League and could largely switch off after the break, but the game still had to be played/won and a trip to Real is never easy, let alone when you have played just three days previously, the hosts are well rested and you are injury hit ! The visitors arrive in the capital missing a whole host of midfield talent with Banega, Khrohn-Dehli, Carrico, N'Zoni, Vitolo and Konoplyanka all absent, four of those started in the 3-2 win for Sevilla in the reverse fixture, which Real will be looking to avenge and another came off the bench, so we are talking about effectively half a team.

Real have the Champions League as their priority and will be delighted to have drawn Wolfsburg in the quarters, but they can afford to concentrate fully on La Liga for now and Atletico's defeat last night means that Real could move to within a point of them in second and that is incentive enough, but would also set up nicely their next game, which is the El Clasico game with champions elect Barcelona on April 2nd. "Big 3" games aside real are 27-3-3 at home averaging almost four goals per start and under Zinedine Yazid Zidane, their record in those fixtures is 5/5 with a 27-4 goal difference. Sevilla have yet to win on the road domestically and they have lost on their last seven visits to the Bernabeu , conceding 24 goals.

Cristiano Ronaldo has his best scoring record against Sevilla with 21 in 14 starts and he will be "hungry" after coming up short in the reverse fixture, he leads the way currently in the La Liga goalscoring market, one ahead of Luis Suarez and five clear of Lionel Messi and he will definitely want to record a third straight "golden boot", no one has recorded a hat trick of those since Hugo Sanchez in 1988 and that is a real target as big rival Messi is now unlikely to ever claim it . He is 2.75 + to score twice, 6.5 -9.0 to score a hat-trick, he has done that (score 3) five times previously against Sevilla. For some reason, Betfair Sportsbook offer a standout 3.50 and 13.0 respectively and that offers really good value and you could try something small if that appeals..... even 3.0 and 9.0 seem overpriced

Karim Benzema returns and it is easy to see plenty of goals in this (maybe a lot !) for a very strong looking home side , against a team short of midfield options who are coming off a Thursday game.

Real Madrid -1.75 goals 2.26 asian line/Sportmarket

from Clubgowi newsletter

[paul8209]

Scottish Championship: Glasgow Rangers - Dumbarton

Rangers are going to return to the SPL this season , but would surely like to get the job done and dusted this evening, which they can achieve with all three points. They are head and shoulders abover the rest of the Championship, which is to be expected given the size of the club and their fan base and circa 50,000 will be waiting to kick start the celebrations tonight, to put that into some context, Dumbarton have averaged a crowd of 734 for their last three home games . Home boss Mark Warburton believes in an attacking style of football and his teams never sit on a lead, his side have averaged 2.64 goals per game this season and just shy of 3 pg at Ibrox, included in those numbers were two wins ( scoring 4 and 6 goals ) in the last two starts against tonight's opponents and Warburton will want to get the job done in style. His team have actually conceded ten ( !) in their last three starts, but they won the home game in that sequence and two opponents had arguably more to play for and far more offensive threat than The Sons ( just 8 road goals all season) possess and only basement club Alloa Athletic have scored fewer.

Additional bonus for Rangers is that getting this signed and sealed early will allow them to focus fully on their Challenge Cup Final with Peterhead on Sunday and more importantly go into the Scottish Cup semi final with their biggest rivals Celtic, seven days later as an SPL club, albeit one "in waiting". The hosts have scored four goals next time out following dropped road points in 4/4 games at Ibrox and can make it 5/5 today after a 3-3 draw at Raith Rovers on Saturday.

Rangers to score "over" 3.5 goals (four or more) 2.625-2.875 general quote

from Clubgowi newsletter

[paul8209]

France Ligue2: Paris FC - Bourg

Paris FC will be hugely buyoed by not only the win over a highflying team, but the four goals scored and surely we will continue to see them really go for it and all guns blazing for maximum points. That is now 5/6 of their games which have gone "over" and three not only produced four goals, but saw both teams score twice and with BEBP being "safe", the 4th highest scorers in L2 and having conceded more than any team apart from Creteil, this match now just screams goals, which is not something we would have said about any PFC fixture through the first seven months of the campaign ! The reverse fixture produced five goals and with the hosts need so great , I do not feel they will be overly worried about the Monday-Friday turnaround, given the boost the result will have doubtless given them and I also suspect that they will feel "comfortable" meeting, like on Monday, a fellow promoted team, a home win, which could take PFC to within five points of safety, might herald the playing of the "Great Escape" theme tune, but the best value remains .............

Paris FC : Thébaux, Demarconnay - Mohsni, Cantini, Jean-Tahrat, Pierre, T.Keita - Grange, Gamiette, I.Keita, Pereira De Sa, Bahamboula, Traoré - Camara, Fauvergue, Diarra.

BEBP: Callamand, Fabri, Alphonse, Berthomier, Boujedra, Boussaha, N'Simba, Ogier, Bègue, Sane, Nirlo, Traore, Faivre, Dembele, Damour, Ba.


over 2.5 goals 2.11 asian line/Sportmarket

from Clubgowi newsletter

[paul8209]

Premier League: West Ham United - Arsenal

It is very hard for me to understand quite how the Gunners are not EPL champions elect, instead it looks like Leicester City and I never thought that I would be typing those words in my lifetime. Arsenal again faltered when the pressure was on and now, that it is off , we have seen a return to some of their better form and they have looked decent once more in back to back wins and cleansheets over Everton and Watford, scoring six in the process. They might not have beaten much (both teams are out of sorts), but confidence will have been boosted and Alexis Sanchez (Gunners are 10-1-0 when he scores and the last ten of those have all gone "over") is returning to form, Laurent Koscielny is back and they look far more composed with him in the line up and the performances of Mohamed Elneny and Alex Iwobi offer huge promise. They looked booked for top 3, so will surely not make their final trip to the Boleyn Ground with eyes on anything but maximum points and to try and put some pressure on the top two, if the Foxes are out of reach, Arsenal will still be motivated to finish above Tottenham, their deadliest rival.

United have had a final season to remember at Upton Park , look sure to finish top 6 and are still not out of the running for a Champions League spot, although back to back 2-2 draws have made that difficult. They are still in the FA Cup and have a big quarter final replay with Manchester United here in midweek. That could distract them, with a Wembley appearance up for grabs, but they are at full strength today and will surely look to keep the CL dream alive a little longer. When everything clicks, they have looked as good as anyone in the Premier league this season and are unbetaen on home soil in 15 starts (9-6-0) in all competitions.

Arsenal are unbeaten here in eight visits and have scored two or more goals in the last seven. United have conceded seven in their last four starts and with a point having very limited value to either side, it is easy to see both teams on the scoresheet today and the Hammers seven London derby games this season have averaged 3.29 goals and they have scored in each, two or more in five, Arsenal's eight starts against fellow top six teams have produced 3.625 goals per game and we will surely see more of the same this lunchtime.

over 3 goals 2.23 asian line/Sportmarket

from Clubgowi newsletter

[paul8209]

Championship: Nottingham Forest - Brighton

Nottingham Forest are in freefall and were absolutely dire in their last home start, a 3-0 loss to Brentford, both teams were nervous there early, but the home crowd was offering almost no support and both fans and players were pretty much waiting to concede ! Once the mighty, mighty Bees took the lead, already brittle Forest confidence crumbled and they were never going to launch a come back, or but up much resistance.They have taken just 4 points from a possible 30 since early February when they were in 10th spot and now sit in 20th, just nine points ahead of the drop zone, without a permanent head coach and giving thanks to the footballing gods that the bottom three in the Championship are so poor !

Brighton won 2-1 last round and stayed very focused after conceding early, they are now 12 clear of 7th placed Cardiff City, with this game in hand, that is pretty much guaranteed top 6 now , as the Bluebirds only have five left to play ( and one is at Griffin Park !), so it will be all about three points for Brighton with nothing to lose and everything to gain by gambling. They are five points adrift of leaders Burnley with a GIH and four behind Middlesbrough, whom they have still to play, so a huge chance of automatic promotion if they win this evening, but things will be very difficult if they come up short. Brighton entertain Fulham on Friday night and by winning both, they will really be cranking up the pressure, especially on Burnley, who do not play again until Saturday.

Chris Hughton's team were very professional at St Andrews and were worthy of a bigger margin of victory and the signing of Jiri Skalak in the transfer window looks very good business indeed and might be what gets them over the line, he delivers a peach of a dead ball and now that he is getting up to speed with the Championship (which is never easy) he is producing and has three assists in his last two outings and four in just 293 minutes of second tier football. If Forest play like they did against the Bees and in losing 2-1 to Reading subsequently ( it should have been 4-1) this can only end one way and the hosts need to seriously up their game to get anything out of tonight, but runs like this are incredibly hard to address and are self-perpetuating .

Brighton -0.5 ball 2.13 asian line/Sportmarket

from Clubgowi newsletter

[paul8209]

England League 1: Gillingham - Port Vale

This is a massive game for the Gills who really need to steady their playoff challenge with all three points this afternoon, after a midweek home loss to Walsall left them in sixth place. The hosts missed a penalty there with the match scoreless, with former Brentford player Luke Norris the "culprit". The hosts now have Barnsley breathing down their neck in the hunt for top six and you suspect that the team from Kent are going to need eight points from somewhere to hold on to their current three point advantage. In situations like this, it is always easier to get wins sooner rather than later and Gills can have few complaints about facing Port Vale today. Meeting a mid table team with nothing much to play for is the dream case scenario at this stage of the campiagn and that goes double when that team is in (relatively) poor form and conceding freely. The Valiants were winless in four (conceded 10) before last weeks derby win over Crewe Alexandra, a result which confirmed that Alex would be playing League 2 football next season, that was one for the supporters, at least Vale followers, but the team will be facing more steely opposition this afternoon.

Hosts' star player Bradley Dack has just recently returned from injury and he should be closing in on full fitness now and be ready for 90 minutes today and that will be a boost, but he needs some help from the forwards who all seem to have "issues" at the same time. Having said that, Cody MacDonald looked quite sharp in midweek and should perhaps have taken the penalty, Vale are easier to score against than recent opposition and have less to play for and odds look really good about a 14th home win (league high ?) of the campaign for Gillingham, especially as only Colchester United have lost more road games than Vale.

Gillingham -0.5 ball 2.10-2.15 general quote

from Clubgowi newsletter

[paul8209]

Portugal: Benfica - Vitoria Setubal

Benfica are the best team in Portugal and lost little in defeat to Bayern Munich in the Champions League quarter finals last week, they will now be looking to tie up the domestic title and can open up a two point advanatge over Sporting with the win tonight. The result should not really be in doubt, Setubal have won just six times this season and have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 starts. Obviously we are not going to get fat on odds about the hosts, who are asked to give up a 2.5 goal handicap. However, there might me a little meat on the bones of the first half handicap line as I feel the Eagles will want to come out firing given the extended break (having to wait until Monday) since they lost to Bayern, they have averaged 3.21 goals per game on home soil and have led at the break in 65% of home starts in the last two seasons and have been two up at half time in the last four h2h meetings with Setubal (two home/two on the road).

Benfica -1.25 goals 2.31 asian line/Sportmarket in First Half betting

from Clubgowi newsletter

[paul8209]

France Ligue2: Clermont - Tours

Tours haven't improved after the winter break, but are top ten, have won as many games as they have lost in the interim and have a solid base on which to build upon for next season and you suspect plans for that are well under way. They will not want their season to completely fizzle out and i expect them to be more motivated today that they have appeared on the road recently, following a 2-1 home loss to Nimes last Friday, only their second on home soil since October. Their road games following those last two defeats went comfortably "over" and Tours do play a more open style than is sometimes appreciated .

Clermont are only three places above Tours, but are ten points better off and not yet out of the promotion picture, they might have six teams above them, but they are only two points shy of Metz in third and with none of the other four teams really imposing themselves in the race for the final promotion spot, everything is still up for grabs. Clermont are fun to watch and a little too gung-ho for their own good at times and they have conceded more goals than any team apart from Creteil in Ligue 2 and only the top two have scored more. They have conceded in each of their last eight home starts at an average of 1.5 goals per game through that sequence and they have won five of those (obviously with both teams scoring) and odds for that this evening are circa 4.0-4.20 and they look to offer good value and you could try something small if you can find those

Clermont : Jeannin, Caillard - Agounon, Avinel, Bockhorni, Djellabi, Laporte, Rivieyran - Boulaya, Dugimont, Genest, Hunou, Jobello, Pereira-Lage, Reale - Diedhiou, Dugimont, Laborde.

Tours : Kamara, Westberg – Gradit, Cissé, Cillard, Bouhours, Belkebla, Agouazi, Khaoui, Bergougnoux, Santamaria, Bedia, Do Couto, Louvion, Maouche, Miracoli.

I feel the best value has to be over 2.5 goals 2.11 asian line/Sportmarket

from Clubgowi newsletter

[paul8209]

England Championship: Charlton- Brighton

Briefly, hosts are now booked for League 1 and that has looked on the cards for months. Brighton are pressing hard for an automatic promotion spot and could hardly be in better form, with four straight wins, with a 13-2 goal difference and it is very noteworthy that the goals have increased along with the pressure on them to keep winning, which indicates great mental strength. Burnley went top with their three points last night, but Brighton can move level with the win today and they will have the three points and only that in mind this afternoon. Bonus is that if they win today and again at home next weekend, it means they will travel to Middlesbrough on the final day of the season with their fate in their own hands. Supporters have already bought up their full ticket allocation for that game, the final home match is a sell out and they ticket allocation for today sold out weeks ago, but many others will be in the home ends I assume and they will have huge support at the Valley today, when most home fans will only be going to protest against the board/owner.

Brighton are on a good run and can add another London scalp this afternoon. Actually a five goal win would take them above the Clarets and that is probably not as far fetched as it sounds. Anyway, I have seen Charlton three times this season and they started all three games quite strongly and that is borne out by them having a -1 goal difference in the opening 30 mins, this quickly falls to -9 (3-12) in the 15 minutes before the break, which is when they almost always lose control of games at the Valley and there is a good chance we will see more of the same today. Brighton's first goal in their last four games (all wins) have come in the 29-27-29-45th minutes and that mirrors the period when the Addicks are most vulnerable.

Brighton -1 ball as soon as the "in running" line hits 2.05 (currently 1.80) as long as they are not already leading and we are playing 11v 11

from Clubgowi newsletter