What's in store for betting on the Olympic Games? It's coming up quickly.
Large Ad
Collapse
Olympic Games 2016
Collapse
X
-
There are a few markets floating around at the moment, but I expect a lot more will become available closer to the start of the Games.
The Olympics can be very rewarding from a betting perspective if you put in the research. I tend to not look for huge underdogs, but for people who have dominated their discipline in the year leading up to the event. Injuries can throw a spanner into the works, so make sure there are no news items regarding injuries for the main players. I also tend to focus on events where luck plays less of a role. The type of sports I like are shot put, rowing, high jump, long jump, javelin throw, individual pursuit in track cycling, etc. Basically, events where you don't have to worry about another athlete (quite literally) tripping up the favourite. Also, unless I find good reason to do so otherwise, I tend to always back the USA to win the men's and women's basketball!
Total medal tally betting is interesting, because the best models for predicting them don't actually pay any attention to individual athletes. They are typically made by economists who focus on population, GDP, etc. Leading up to the start of the Games there will be numerous predictions published by academics with good track records for their previous predictions.
In terms of where to bet, I can't yet comment on 2016, but in Olympics gone by Betfair has been one of my favourite places because they have offered markets on a greater range of events than traditional bookmakers.
-
-
The Associated Press and Sports Illustrated have each posted projected gold, silver and medal winners for every event at the 2016 Rio Olympics, for anyone who's interested:
Associated Press:
Sports Illustrated:
A look at the projected medal count for the top 10 countries, plus gold, silver and bronze medal picks for all 306 events at the 2016 Rio Olympics.
The two lists do vary in results from one another, but each are based on competitor form leading up to the Olympics.
Comment
-
-
For those looking to take advantage of CrownBet's Olympics promotion (see http://www.aussportsbetting.com/bett...er-promotions/ for further details), sports data provider Gracenote has predicted gold for Australia in the following disciplines:
Caroline Buchanan (BMX)
Jessica Fox (Canoe/Slalom K1)
Men’s team pursuit (cycling)
Men’s hockey team
Men’s four (rowing)
Kim Brennan (rowing)
Mathew Belcher/Will Ryan (sailing)
Tom Burton (sailing)
Women’s rugby sevens team
Warren Potent (shooting)
Mitch Larkin x 2 (swimming, 100m backstroke, 200m backstroke)
Emily Seebohm x 2 (swimming, 100m backstroke, 200m backstroke)
Cameron McEvoy (swimming, 100m freestyle)
Cate Campbell (swimming, 100m freestyle)
Bronte Campbell (50m freestyle, swimming)
Women’s 4x100m freestyle relay team
Source: http://www.foxsports.com.au/olympics...6ca7c8b2552dc5
Comment
-
-
A survey of medal predictions has been published, with a particular focus on Australian gold medal chances:
http://www.aussportsbetting.com/2016...y-predictions/
Comment
-
-
For anyone betting on the over/under gold medals and total medals markets, keep an eye on the fact that some nations like New Zealand and Great Britain typically start slowly before events that they're strong at commence later in the competition. For example New Zealand's six golds in 2012 came from rowing, sailing, athletics and canoeing (racing, not slalom) - events that have either only just started or haven't yet commenced in 2016.
Great Britain, for example, are actually ahead of their total medal tally at the same stage in London. For this reason there may be value in taking the overs, which have been dropping since the Olympics began.
Team GB's cumulative medal tracker
bbc 1.jpg
Team GB's medals per day
bbc 2.jpg
Gold medal tracker
bbc 3.jpg
The above graphs have been sourced from the BBC: http://www.bbc.com/sport/olympics/36970388Attached Files
Comment
-
18+
For free and confidential support call 1800 858 858 or visit gamblinghelponline.org.au
Comment