US Open Men's

[admin]

The US Open tennis kicks off on Monday (local time). Rafael Nadal is the defending men's champion, although World No 1 Novak Djokovic will start as the firm favourite. Andy Murray also enters the tournament in good form.

You can view the draw at the official US Open website. Live scores can be viewed at the Live Scores section of Australia Sports Betting.

The best odds for tournament winner betting will likely be found at Betfair. Below are selected winner odds for the tournament favourites (subject to change):

[admin]

Here is a good preview of the men's draw:

http://www.tennisearth.com/news/tenn...All-537093.htm

[Goodsy]

So who's doing what for the US Open ? Ive got $10 @$3.67 on the following multi for the 1st round:

MENS:
Michael Yani vs Bernard Tomic
Sergiy Stakhovsky vs Richard Gasquet
Pablo Andujar vs Juan Carlos Ferrero
Tommy Haas vs Jonathan Dasnieres De Veigy
Grigor Dimitrov vs Gael Monfils

WOMENS:
Petra Kvitova vs Alexandra Dulgheru
Shuai Peng vs Varvara Lepchenko

Ive tried to pick certainties with some decent odds... Im sure a better deal could be done, im just being a little cautious for the 1st round.

[Punters United]

Hi Goodsy,

With so many lopsided first round matches a multibet is probably a good way to go.

Here are some of my picks, although I haven't finalised which will be singles and which will be included in multibets. My selections are highlighted in bold.

Women:

• Barrois vs Goerges (1.28)
• Peer vs Mirza (3.25) <== I may back Mirza to win in three sets
• Errani vs Kuznetsova (1.44)
• Medina Garrigues (1.36) vs Knapp
• Rodina (5.30) vs Cetkovska
• Kudryavtseva (2.45) vs Rodionova
• Wickmayer (1.47) vs Cristea
• Razzano (1.82) vs Pironkova
• Johansson (1.93) vs Suarez Navarro

Men:

• Stepanek (1.52) vs Kohlschreiber
• Dasnieres De Veigy vs Haase (1.10)
• Baghdatis vs Isner (1.36)
• Roddick (1.07) vs Russell

Pennetta vs Rezai is one of the best games of the first round. They were unlucky to be drawn each other.

[Goodsy]

Man even being conservative on the 1st round I bombed out of my multi... Kvitivoa cost me, how the heck did she lose ?? Talk about annoyed.. I was trying to avoid the upset and managed to find it.

Back to the drawing board for Day 2.. down $10 so far.

[pominoz]

Women's betting is always tricky. I remember losing heavily when Clijsters (soon after winning the US open) lost to Patty Schnyder after serving up something like 15 double faults. So much for a 1.05 safe bet

At least the men (A) can serve their way out of trouble and (B) play a best of five and not best of three in Grand Slams.

Some of your picks are quite intruiging Punters United. Do you have a particular methodology or do you watch a ton of tennis?

[Goodsy]

Damn frustrating isnt it pominoz..

Ive done 4 multi bets for tonight.. ive gone a 7 deep multi and a 3 deep multi in the mens, each paying roughly around the $4 mark. Also done the same in the Womens.. so ive got $40 on the line. As long as one of them gets up, im even on day 2.. if 2 of them get up im profiting for the tournament. So heres hoping I can kick off the major with a profit now..

[pominoz]

Good luck with the multis Goodsy. Hopefully you will avoid any more nasty surprises.

I have a few tournament winner bets going, but haven't ventured into any match bets yet.

[Punters United]

Here are my results so far.

Women:

•Barrois vs Goerges (1.28) WIN
•Peer vs Mirza (3.25) LOST IN THREE SETS
•Errani vs Kuznetsova (1.44) WIN
•Medina Garrigues (1.36) vs Knapp WIN
•Rodina (5.30) vs Cetkovska LOST IN THREE SETS
•Kudryavtseva (2.45) vs Rodionova WIN
•Wickmayer (1.47) vs Cristea WIN
•Razzano (1.82) vs Pironkova LOST IN TWO SETS
•Johansson (1.93) vs Suarez Navarro LOST IN THREE SETS

Men:

•Stepanek (1.52) vs Kohlschreiber WIN
•Dasnieres De Veigy vs Haase (1.10) WIN
•Baghdatis vs Isner (1.36) STILL TO PLAY
•Roddick (1.07) vs Russell STILL TO PLAY

I varied my wager amounts based on confidence, so I'm comfortably up thus far. Had you wagered $5 on each of the 11 matches that have resulted you would have returned of $53.10 for a loss of $1.90.

Of my three > 2.00 odds selections, one won at 2.45 odds, while the other two at 3.25 and 5.30 odds lost in three sets, which I feel justifies their selection.

pominoz, to answer your question, for this round I looked at the head to head form guides => http://www.matchstat.com/AllFixtures/

I've played competitive tennis myself, and I know that there some players in life you should beat but repeatedly lose to, and vice versa. There was a player I knew back when I was in high school who could not beat me for the life of him, despite him being a far higher ranked and (I'd be the first to admit) a better player. My style of play simply didn't suit him.

As a professional example, Andy Murray often has the wood over Federer, but he's frequently given outsider status with the bookmakers. You can check out their history using this link:

http://www.matchstat.com/index.php?ControllerName=Compare&Name_Player1=Roger+Federer&Id_Player1=19&Name_Player2=Andy+Murray&Id_Player2=1075

Andy went on a 6-1 run against Federer between 2006 and 2009. During that time his odds were:
17.92 -> Andy won
4.42 -> Andy won
2.62 -> Andy lost
3.22 -> Andy won
2.45 -> Andy won
1.95 -> Andy won (Federer was shorter odds at 1.83)
2.07 -> Andy won

I obviously missed the boat with his 17.92 odds win, but I was able to clean up after that, because bookies didn't factor in the head to head form sufficiently.

Hope that answers your question.

[pominoz]

That certainly answers my question, cheers Punters United

Matchstat looks to be a great resource, thanks for the link.

I will continue to focus on tournament winner betting until I get more fixtures where I'm familiar with both players.

My winner picks at the moment are Serena Williams for the women and Djokovic or Murray for the men. I don't rate Nadal's chances at this stage based on his form in Montreal and Cincinnati.

[gonzo]

Have been comparing odds at TABsportsbet and sportsbet.

TAB has better odds for ATP matches but sportsbet is monstering them in WTA!!! This was looking at favourites only.

[pominoz]

I've made a couple of multi bets where I've bundled sub 1.03 selections with my main pick to get an odds boost:

Federer v Sela
Tsonga v Bubka
S. Williams v Krajicek
Vinci v Cornet <-- riskiest pick at 1.27
Overall odds: 1.33

Federer v Sela
Tsonga v Bubka
S. Williams v Krajicek
Fish v Jaziri
Djokovic v Berlocq
Stepanek v Monaco <-- riskiest pick at 1.22
Overall odds: 1.326

My latest winner picks at the moment are Serena Williams for the women and Djokovic/Murray/Fish (highly speculative) for the men.

[pominoz]

Stepanek retired hurt (refunded) but everyone else got up.

I may employ that strategy again for other betting this weekend.

[Goodsy]

So apparantly US Open is still on... I still got bets sitting there waiting for players to go back on court.

Got $5 on Stosur @2.25, I did 2 small(er) outsider bets.
$2 on Muller over Nadal @8.75 Nadal looked like he is suffering from cramps and may hurt him if Muller can get him running.
$2 on Pavlyuchenkova over S.Williams @8.75 Giving it a go, Pav is capable of winning the match and the odds were juicy.. so slapped a small $2 just in case...

Been waiting for a couple of days now.... maybe some play tonight ? maybe not ?

[rotten_luck]

gutted to miss out on stosur... she had a 6-2 record against zvonerava and 2+ odds... completely forgot about that game until it was too late

nadal was arguably saved by the rain delay.. 3-0 down first set then went on to win the next day.