EPL Betting Tips

[pominoz]

Hi everyone,

While I don't bet blindly based on other people's tips, I'm always keen to hear them to see if they confirm my own thinking or point out something I have missed.

I thought I'd share my Premier League thoughts; in case anyone is interested.

HERE ARE MY TIPS FOR GAMEWEEK 17:

Aston Villa v Man City: Aston Villa +0.5 @ 1.83
Happy to take on Man City at the moment. Their derby game against United was a poor-quality game. City has won just 1 of its last 7 league games.

Brentford v Nottingham Forest: O 2.5 @ 1.76
Brentford's home games have been consistently full of goals. Forest's games have been high scoring too.

Crystal Palace v Arsenal - Arsenal H2H @ 1.62
Arsenal rotated their squad in their midweek EFL Cup win over Palace, while Palace went with a full-strength squad. Arsenal's key players only played in the second half, so they should be the fresher side.

Fulham v Southampton - Fulham H2H @ 1.44
Happy to oppose Southampton at any price. Also, the Saints were involved in the EFL Cup midweek, while Fulham were not

Leicester City v Wolves - O 2.5 @ 1.67
Neither side can defend.

Tottenham v Liverpool - Liverpool H2H @ 1.75
Liverpool's EFL Cup game was a day earlier than Tottenham's, plus Spurs have a banged-up squad.

Odds sourced from here:
http://odds.aussportsbetting.com/betting?competitionid=1

[qtip]

Thanks for sharing your thoughts pominz!

For the Wolves game I'm keeping an eye on whether Cunha is suspended. If he plays then I'm with you on the overs, if he doesn't then I'm less confident.

For Tottenham v Liverpool my angle is for Liverpool to win in a high scoring game. Something like a 4-3 score line wouldn't surprise, so I'm eyeing up SGMs like
Liverpool & over 2.5 @ $1.95
Liverpool & over 3.5 @ $2.60
Liverpool & over 4.5 @ $3.75
Liverpool & over 5.5 @ $6.50
Liverpool & over 6.5 @ $10.00
I might also have something simply on a high scoring game.

[qtip]

Congrats on your results pominoz! Cunha did play so I did take the overs, but I didn't expect the 0-3 scoreline.

Liverpool and Tottenham played out the type of game I expected. I wasn't a million miles away with 4-3. I just wish I had taken over 6.5 @ 10 rather than over 2.5 @ 1.95!