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France Coupe de la Ligue Rennes vs Toulouse

Rennes host Toulouse for the second time this season, winning the earlier meeting 3-1, the visitors are in relegation trouble, three points from safety and with a vital home league game with Lille at the weekend and that should really be their priority and they arrive without the suspended trio of captain Jean-Daniel Akpa -Akpro, defensive midfielder Yann Bodiger and young central defender Issa Diop, who all played in the weekend 1-1 draw at Nantes. They look big losses and already missing four starters to injury, including top scorer Martin Braithwaite and with the hosts fully committed to this and feeling that they are playing far better than recent results might suggest, for example in the weekend draw with high flying Caen on Friday, they enjoyed 68% possession, 22 attempts on goal and had 37 crosses into the box, I see good value in the home win at odds against. Hosts played on Friday which is a big advantage, not only does it mean 24 hours extra rest and recovery time, but it means a full training session ahead of this game and that can often be key.

Rennes -0.5 ball 2.11 asian line/Sportmarket

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France Coupe De La Ligue Bordeaux vs AS Monaco

This is not a match up you would look at in the cold light of day and immediately think goals, but the league game here just five weeks ago ended 3-1 and the last two meetings in Bordeaux have produced nine goals and the last four Monaco away starts 18 (four + in three) and given the nature of how games in the competitition tend to play out (see above) and odds offered today, we have to take this to follow all those trends and produce goals. Looking at the league table and given that both have no further involvement in the Europa League to "worry" about, we should expect each to be keen to progress, but both are set to rotate their starting line ups. Bordeaux have said openly that they are especially keen to blood some youngsters, feeling that the visit from Marseille at the weekend should be given priority, but the squad named doesn't quite bear that thinking out, it might be a bit of a smokescreen and either way, I do feel they will go for this.

Monaco have left several players at home including Lacina Traore, Stephan El Shaarawy and keeper Danijel Subasic and have added a few youngsters of their own to the group. Despite what has been said by the home head coach I prefer the chances of Bordeaux today looking at the squads, but feel that the "over" offers slightly better value.

Bordeaux: Carrasso, Prior - Contento, Guilbert, Poundjé, Ambrose, Yambéré - Khazri, Maulun, Ounas, Plasil, Poko, Saivet, Traoré, Vada - Diabaté, Laborde, Rolan, Kiese Thelin.

ASM: Nardi, Sy - Carvalho, Echiejilé, Fabinho, Raggi, Wallace - Bakayoko, Bahlouli, Boschilia, Dirar, Gil, Helder, Lemar, Mexique, Pasalic, Silva, Toulalan - Cavaleiro, Mbappé.

over 2.25 goals 2.07 asian line/Sportmarket.

over 3.5 goals at a general quote of 4.33 appeals given the competition stats and that the last two h2h meetings and 3/4 Monaco road games have all gone over this line.

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France Ligue2 Le Havre vs Auxerre

Le Havre have dropped back to sixth, eight points off promotion pace, the same as visitors Auxerre who are in 7th with the same number of points. Auxerre have taken ten points from their last four starts and it is hard to pick too many holes in that form, not least the back to back cleansheets at Metz and Dijon, however, when they do concede, a second usually follows and when not keepng an opponent scoreless, they have allowed an average of 2.125 per game and they have given up two on each of their last three visits to Le Havre. The top two in this divison look strong and Metz are a solid third, if any of the chasing pack are going to put in a major promotion push they are going to have to forgo the odd draw in the hunt for all three points, or otherwise just "give up" with only two promotion spots up for grabs this season and surely no one is prepared to do that just yet, or without a fight. So, both to go all out for the win.

HAC have named an unchanged squad, with striker Mathieu Duhamel and defensive midfielder Jean-Pascal Fontaine still absent, they obviously still pose an offensive threat, but are clearly far more vulnerable defensively at present and again, they might well need two goals to get something from this and that applies to both teams.Visiting coach Jean-Luc Vannuchi has pledged to come looking for all three points and this should be an entertaining encounter

HAC: Farnolle, Milosavljevic - Chebake, Puel, Fortes, Cambon, Bain, Mendy - Louiserre, Manzala, Gamboa, Bonnet, M'Bami - Mendes, Gimbert, Mousset.

Auxerre: Boucher, Lenogue - Aguilar, Hountondji, Puygrenier, Sefil, Sylla - Diaw, Konaté, Lefebvre, Seck, Vincent - Ba, Berthier, Courtet, Diarra.

over 2.25 goals 2.17 asian line/Sportmarket

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England Championship: Reading vs Blackburn Rovers

Reading have lost their way and have only beaten basement club Bolton in their last ten starts and have really struggled to hold onto leads in that sequence. Rovers are on an unbetaen run of eight and have only conceded once in four away starts and not at all in closing in on 300 minutes and not lost to the Royals in 11 league meetings. The visitors are suddenly very well organised under Paul Lambert and could move to within three points of the playoffs with the win this afternoon. Hosts have a new manager to impress in Brian McDermott, but he has only had a couple of days with the squad and he has some big defensive issues with Andrew Taylor , Anton Ferdinand and Chris Gunter major doubts, Gunter is the only recognised right back and a midfielder will probably drop back if he misses out, his eye injury was bad and required a lot of stitches. Seems sure that the Royals will have players out of position, or a very young backline against a well organised team in good form, with a potent Championship striker in Jordan Rhodes. McDermott will also probably not be able to play his preferred formation either and I think he is going to need time to turn this group around.

Blackburn Rovers level ball 2.28 asian line/Sportmarket

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England Championship: Brentford vs Brighton

Not going to spend too long on this, we have discussed the Bees more than any other team in the last three years and most of you know more about them than any club apart from your own. Last week ahead of a home game with Huddersfield Town my notes included ........

"That ended 2-2, Bees led, gifted Fulham an equaliser with a real howler of an own goal from James Tarkowski and were wrongly denied a winner from Jota for offside . In midweek, they went to Cardiff City and lost 3-2, they started very sluggishly, which was always going to be a bit of a concern after the big derby game and were two down at the break, but came on strong in the second period and especially with the introduction of Jota and Josh McEachran and a team leading showing from captain Alan Judge, which got them back on level terms and there was only one winner from that stage and the Bees were well on top, only to lose deep in injury time following another defensive error. Not too much to worry about, they should have scored five against Dons, three at Fulham and got two at Cardiff, they have a VERY strong bench now and goals are really going to start flowing soon. Central defender Harlee Dean will be available following suspension today and Maxime Colin will should come in at right back after a long term injury and both should help steady the Bees defensively. Jota must be close to a full start now and surely we will get an hour from McEachran who was hugely impressive from the bench in midweek. "

No start from Jota, but he got another outing from the bench, as did McEachran, Colin and Dean both started and the backline looked far more solid , despite conceding twice (one was down to a player slipping when there was no danger and the game already won). Very promising, but they will be tested fully today by Brighton, who finally lost their unbeaten record last weekend. However, the visitors suddenly look vulnerable, have conceded two or more in their last four starts, including at home to a struggling Charlton and with the Bees so full of goals, four last week should have been six and the 13 they have scored in their last six starts ( 2+ in five), could easily, no, should have been 20, it is hard not to see some offensive joy today for the hosts. Bees scored four in the two h2h games last season, both of which they won and can thrill a sold out Griffin Park in this early kick off. I think they might win and could really be facing the Seagulls at the right time and there is a big rivalry between the two club owners, who were formerly friends, so the players know what it means to Matthew Benham, but I feel the best value by far is ............

Brentford to score two or more goals 2.30-2.375 general quote.

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England League 1 : Gillingham vs Colchester United

Colchester lost 2-0 at home to neighbours Southend United last round, but they were much improved there, especially in the first half and I do think that they might get back on track in the coming weeks once new boss Kevin Keen has had some time to work with the squad , that will have to be more than the few hours he has had over the weekend to discuss things and what United could really do with is a free seven days, but there is little chance of that right now. Gills are coming from back to back road wins by an aggregate of 6-1 and they will be looking for something similar today, after losing their long unbeaten home record in their last start at Priestfield a 3-0 loss to Burton Albion. The Brewers were worthy winners, but the match turned on the first half dismissal of Doug Loft and the scoreline was given a lopsided look by two injury time goals once the Gills had thrown caution to the wind.

Hosts are our big (huge) priced outright selection for League 1 and the two wins over the holiday have got them right back in contention and the 3-1 win at Swindon Town on Saturday was very impressive, they came from behind against a team running into form, also missed a penalty, so the win could have been even more emphatic and all their "star" names appear to have returned to form. Bradley Dack, who is a player we have discussed several times and one who has had a lot of interest from higher up the footballing food chain, has scored in the last two and a goal scoring midfielder is always in demand and there will be a scout from almost every Championship club looking at him and several other Gills today. Home win.

Gillingham -0.75 ball 1.98 asian line/Sportmarket

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Scotland: Aberdeen vs Partick Thistle

Two of the SPL's inform teams, Partick are unbeaten in five ( four wins) and are up to a season high sixth place, but this is a club overachieving and having had to deal with a lot of on and off the pitch issues, all credit to them for doing so, but I am not convinced they can continue at this level and those last five opponents have had an average league placing of 8.6 (12 team league). Thistle have lost all four starts against top three teams by two or more goals, by an aggregate 11-0 , including a 2-0 loss to second placed Dons in the reverse fixture. The hosts are unbeaten in seven ( five wins) since losing a top of the table clash with Celtic, but remain the leaders closest challenger and could even go top themselves today should Celtic drop points at Dundee. They have a minimum target of not letting the gap to the top increase over their next four starts, before they entertain the leaders in early February.

Hosts expect to get midfielder Willo Flood back today after he sat out the 2-2 draw with ICT at the weekend, when he plays the Dons are 11-1-1 (6-0-0 at home) and his influence is fairly obvious. Partick will be without suspended defensive midfielder Sean Welsh who has played some part in all 18 starts this season, but he sat out almost all of two games, a home loss to Dundee and a wide open encounter with struggling Kilmarnock. Home win, I am tempted by giving up the bigger handicap, but will "officially" opt for ........

Aberdeen -1 ball 2.08 asian line/Sportmarket

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Serie A : Genoa vs Sampdoria

Big derby game, neither comes into this match in great shape with just three wins between them in their last 20 (ten each) starts. The Christmas break was probably a god send for Genoa who had lost four league games in a row in build up, failed to score in the last three and had a home cup defeat to a third tier team sandwiched inbetween. The Coppa Italia is treated seriously and the win for Alessandria, was the first time that a Serie C (Lega Pro) team had reached the last eight of the competition in more than 30 years, which highlights the magnitude of the defeat and how poorly Genoa are playing. That loss was an huge embarassment and one not eased by a follow up loss at Roma where the hosts finished with ten men and the 2-0 defeat still flattered Genoa, who sit just two points above the drop zone.

Sampdoria are four points better off and went into the break in far better spirits, comforted by a 2-0 win over Palermo, they had suffered three home defeats in a row (league and cup) before that, which was a real dip after going unbeaten through their first seven starts (five wins) this season at the Stadio Luigi Ferraris. The two clubs share the stadium, so whilst this is technically a home game for Genoa and they will have the advantage of support and the home dressing room, the surroundings and build up are certainly not as unfamiliar for Samp as they would be for a normal away fixture.

The "hosts" get a boost today with the return of Goran Pandev and addition of new signings Suso and Luca Rigoni, but the veteran forward has only played some 631 minutes (90 mins only 4 times) in the last two seasons and has not scored a goal in 20 months, the newbies might need time to make an impact and Suso, who is on loan from Milan, has had even less football than Pandev and is taking a long time to fulfill his early promise. I am not sure that these two are the immediate answers to a squad that did not score a league goal in December and now that Sampdoria have claimed that first win for coach Vincenzo Montella, they look the value today to continue their good derby record in recent seasons, losing just one of the last six meetings and seeking a third straight "away" win today. They are helped considerably by the suspension to Diego Perotti, Genoa have lost 9 of 10 starts when the fiesty wide man plays an hour or less, when he plays 60 mins plus they have lost just one in eight this season and that was away to league leaders Inter

Sampdoria +0.25 ball 2.00 asian line/Sportmarket

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France Ligue2 Bourg vs Creteil

In terms of goals, these are the two big players in Ligue 2. BEBP's games have averaged 3.21 goals and Creteil's 2.79 to give that some context, 14 of the other 18 teams fall in the 1.63-2.26 goal range.

Creteil are the team we have discussed most in recent season in regard to goals and we have seen a return this season to their (wonderful) gung-ho style, especially on the road where they have scored 1.3 and conceded 1.7 goals on average.

They won the reverse fixture 2-1, but BEBP felt robbed and a wide open encounter might easily have ended 3-3 and I expect plenty of entertainment this evening.

Creteil arrive very short handed, with three defenders in Diedhiou, Montraroup and Esor suspended and another injured in Christophe Herelle (who has only missed one start this season, a 3-2 road loss to low scoring Laval) along with several others (mainly midfielders). The five defenders who have made the trip are ok, but only one would be first choice and there are effectively half a team of starters short today. They do have a "new" player in Rafik Gérard, who signed 18 months ago (all apart from 26 minutes of which he has spent injured !) after failing to make the grade at PSG, he has six months left on his contract to make an impression and it will be interesting to see him in the next couple of weeks.

Injuries, and having played a game recently give the hosts the edge and I have to split a couple of bets between them to win and goals, 3-1 feels about right, Creteil have conceded exactly three in 3 of 5 road starts

Bourg-en-Bresse : Callamand, Fabri, Alphonse, Traore, Perradin, Ogier, N'Simba, Faivre, Nirlo, Dembele, Damour, Boujedra, Berthomier, Begue, Sane, Boussaha.

Créteil : Kerboriou, Merville - Di Bartolomeo, Fofana, Ilunga, Konongo, Mahon de Monaghan - Augusto, Dias, Gérard, Lafon, Lesage, Mollet - Andriatsima, Dabo, Sylla.

Bourg -0.75 ball 2.28 asian line/Sportmarket

over 3 goals 2.54 asian line/Sportmarket

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Premier League: Bournemouth vs West Ham United

These two played out a real thriller in the reverse fixture at Upton Park which Bounemouth won by the odd goal in seven and I expect if not something similar, then certainly goals and both teams on the scoresheet. The hosts and boss Eddie Howe have been growing into their EPL selves in recent weeks and have hauled themselves out of the drop zone. However, they seem far better suited to playing on the road and that was certainly the case last season in the Championship, when they were a pleasure to watch for 45 games with their free flowing attacking football, the one game they diverted from that, you will win no prizes for guessing, was at Griffin Park where for 90 minutes they turned into game stifling, time wasting, diving , thugs and got what they deserved in a 3-1 defeat . Not sure what happened that day, maybe they took a (Dr Jekyll) My Hyde potion on the team bus, but they tried to be something they were not and thankfully, that was a one off.

They spent big this week dishing out £10m for Benik Afobe from Wolves, he trained with the team yesterday and might be on the bench tonight, former Brentford striker Lewis Grabban has also rejoined the Cherries from Norwich City and he will not need much time to get back up to speed with the team mates he left the summer before last, their arrival will certainly increase competition for starting places offensively. Bournemouth have conceded an average of 1.7 goals per game, the most of any team outside the drop zone and United, who have scored 11 goals in five starts away to top 8 teams under Slaven Bilic will be confident of adding to that number in what seems sure to be a fairly open encounter. Their goal tally has dropped in recent away starts, but now that Dimitri Payet is approaching full fitness again, that should rise once more, he has created just shy of 50 goalscoring chances in the Premier League this season, almost double any other Hammers player. Their last league game , a 2-0 win over Liverpool in East London featured the second most attempts on goal of any top flight game this season and there should be plenty of goalmouth action again this evening.

over 2.75 goals 2.47 asian line/Sportmarket. I was originally tempted to go with the 3 goal line, but the more standard line is easier to play and odds are big enough already

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France Ligue2 Nimes vs Clermont

Nimes problems have been well documented and they sit bottom of Ligue 2 on 12 points, six from safety, however, if we gave them their eight point deduction back they would have five teams below them in the table and are clearly not the worst team in the division and recent form, especially in the goal scoring department has been good, with two goals in 5 of their last 6 starts and they have given themselves a chance of survival. They have some history of running into form at this time of year, in 2013-14 they looked in trouble at Christmas with only 15 points from 18 starts, but then collected the same number from the next eight (4-3-1) and last year, they went on a bit of a tear up with nine wins from 16 starts from November onwards which took them into the promotion race , before the match fixing claims stalled their run. The 29 points they collected in that sequence equates to 69 over a full season and that would have earned them second place and was the level they were playing at for three months and although this is not the same team, it does highlight their potential and they are not your typical bottom of the table team by any means.

Clermont are up to third, just four points off promotion pace and back on track after a mini blip with 13 goals and 13 points from five starts.

If we look at their last 30 L2 starts, they have collected an average 1.8 points and that is promotion form across almost a full season and they are clearly top 3 on merit. Two in form teams and both scoring for fun right now and each will surely be looking for three points and will be prepared to gamble to get them. Nimes will be without suspended central defender Anthony Marin.

We can expect this to really open up after the break with Nimes second halves averaging 1.7 goal per game and Clermont's 1.65 which are the 3rd and 4th highest in Ligue 2 .

Nîmes : Michel, Gallon - Cordoval, Briançon, Harek, Paquiez, Ripart, Azouni, Savanier, Cissokho, Mounié, Koura, Marin, Lacourt, Maoulida, Tchenkoua.

Clermont : Jeannin, Caillard - Agounon, Avinel, Bockhorni, Djellabi, Laporte, Martin - Boulaya, Ekobo, Espinosa, Genest, Hunou, Jobello - Diedhiou, Dugimont, Laborde

over 2.5 goals 2.21 asian line/Sportmarket

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Coupe De France Rennes vs Bourg

This is not Coupe de la Ligue, which we seem to have spent a lot of column inches talking about again this season, but the national cup competition and whilst traditionally this doesn't quite provide the high scoring encounters we see in the league cup, the four matches featuring Ligue 1 teams versus lower level opposition averaged 3.25 goals at this stage last season and we have two teams here absolutely full of goals at present. BEBP games have produced a L2 high 70 goals ( only three other teams are above 49) at 3.33 per game, which is 1.07 above the league average. My notes on their recent home game with Creteil , which they won 5-1 can be read below the "good luck" sign off. They have subsequently lost 3-0 away to Dijon and their last five starts have averaged 4.0 goals and there is no let up in those big goals numbers when BEBP are involved.

Rennes are coming off a 4-2 road win at Troyes on Saturday when my preview included .......... "Rennes are in upper mid table thanks to their fine road form which has seen them lose just once away from home and score in all 12 (league and cup) games this season, two or more in five. They have score twice in 42%, once in 100% and with Troyes given up just shy of two per game, it is easy to see value in circa 2.25 for the visitors to score two or more, especially as they get wide players Kamil Grosicki and Paul-Georges Ntep , who have 7 goals and 4 assists between them from just a combined 23 appearances, back today, but I think that we get better odds with the "over" goal line, as Rennes arrive without centre back Mexer ( missed 13 starts in two seasons, just two wins and two clean sheets in his absence) and left back Ludovic Baal (just one clean sheet in seven without him this season)."

Now they are back on home soil where their form is not quite as impressive, but they are going to face an opponent playing a far more attacking style than they usually see and that should suit and might even feel more like an away game in that aspect. Team spirit is good, heads didn't drop when going 2-0 down there and they celebrated wildly when equalising and I mean all ten outfield players, plus the bench and coaching staff, which I always like as a sign of unity, but they need not have worried, they scored four, it should have been 8-9.

They claim to be very interested in the competition and they made the final the season before last, head coach Philippe Montanier has rotated the backline and midfield a little , but if anything they look stronger in those areas if anything and Mexer (see above) returns, offensively they are unchanged and the forwards will surely be up for this and fancy their chances of scoring a few goals. Rennes are very keen to get a home win before they entertain Ajaccio at the weekend and I expect them to get an ultimately comfortable one, but with both teams on the scoresheet

Rennes : Costil, Sorin, Danzé, Mexer, Gnagnon, Armand, M'Bengue, Moreira, Fernandes, André, Poha, Salles Lamonge, Grosicki, Dembelé, Doucouré, Ntep, Boga, Sio

BEBP: Callamand, Fabri, Dimitriou, Alphonse, Nsimba, Perradin, Traore, Faivre, Lacour, Damour, Dembele, Berthomier, Boujedra, Begue, Boussaha, Sane, Ba, Ogier

Rennes -1.5 ball 2.33 asian line/Sportmarket.

over 3 goals 2.37 asian line/Sportmarket Pro, alternative would have to be the more widely quoted 2.75 goals line, or even the 3.5 goal option

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France Coupe de la Ligue: PSG vs Toulouse

Toulouse are much improved and were unbeaten in six and out of the bottom two, before losing to PSG narrowly at home to PSG eleven days ago. They then had to play the best team (by far) in France again a few days later in Paris in the national cup competition and lost 2-1, so this will be the third time they have played the strongest opposition possible and have to do so on 24 hours less recovery time, as they played away to Monaco (second in the table ) on Sunday and lost 4-0. That is a gruelling , gruelling schedule and the last two losses saw them drop back into the relegation zone and surely, this week has to be all about the weekend visit from Guingamp, a team they can drag into the scrap at the bottom and I suspect focus will quickly turn to that once they concede tonight and, if PSG get that a first half breakthrough this handicap might very quickly not look big enough.

Toulouse are without suspended central midfielder Jean-Daniel Akpa Akpro ( only start he has missed was a 2-1 home loss to Angers) and young centre back Issa Diop (he has started the last eight league games, through which they have collected 11 points, just 9 from 14 starts prior to that). They are already short of options in the middle of the backline with the injury to Jean-Armel Kana-Biyak and that looks bad news facing the most potent strike force in France. PSG scored five here in the league meeting and a repeat is not totally out of the question.

PSG: AUGUSTIN Jean-Kévin, AURIER Serge, CAVANI Edinson, DAVID LUIZ, DI MARIA Angel, DOUCHEZ Nicolas, IBRAHIMOVIC Zlatan, KIMPEMBE Presnel, KURZAWA Layvin, LAVEZZI Ezequiel, LUCAS, MARQUINHOS, MATUIDI Blaise, MAXWELL, NKUNKU Christopher, RABIOT Adrien, STAMBOULI Benjamin, THIAGO MOTTA,TRAPP Kevin.

Toulouse: Mauro Goicoechea, Marc Vidal - William Matheus, François Moubandje, Somalia, Uros Spajic, Marcel Tisserand, Steeve Yago - Alexis Blin, Yann Bodiger, Etienne Didot, Tongo Doumbia, Zinédine Machach, Adrien Regattin, Pantxi Sirieix, Oscar Trejo - Wissam Ben Yedder, Martin Braithwaite, Aleksandar Pesic.

PSG -2 goals 2.36 asian line/Sportmarket

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France Ligue 2 Nancy vs Clermont

Nancy must be reeling a little right now, as we discussed last week, the goals had started to dry up and then, when they finally score three, they concede four at home, after giving up just five in their previous ten starts here ! Today they host a Clermont team who are in third and looking to close the (now only) six point gap to league leading Nancy, but they themselves have some Nimes demons to deal with, after conceding six to them on their last away day ! However, the visitors are one game removed from their disaster and at least got back on track with a 2-1 win over Le Havre last weekend, so their mental scars have already started the healing process. Having said that, it will be interetsing to see how the team who concedes first today reacts. One thing we know about Clermont is that they have goals in them and they have scored two or more in their last five starts and nine on their last four visits to Nancy, games which have averaged 4.25 goals per game. Hosts are without top scoring forward Youssouf Hadji , defensive midfielder Diallo Guidileye, who was sorely missed last week and ever present goalkeeper Guy-Roland N'Dy Assembe and that team news will have the visitors rubbing their hands with glee !
Clermont arrive without defensive midfielder Michel Espinosa and they do concede more in his absence, but are otherwise in good shape and in a match better place in terms of team news than Nancy.

I think that the Nancy odds are again wrong and have to opt for ..........

Clermont +0.75 ball 2.07 asian line/Sportmarket

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Spain La Liga: Deportivo la Coruna - Rayo Vallecano

Deportivo have an 6-11-4 record this season, which indicates two things, they are tough to beat and that even at this relatively early stage, they looked booked for a mid table finish, which given their relegation struggles last season, they will be pretty happy with. They are currently in 9th place and even with all three points this evening they will stay there , a draw would give them a three point advantage over the team currently in 10th. I suspect, that for them, there will be similarly little at stake in a lot of games from now on in. Last season they won just seven times, so despite being tough to beat, they have won only 13 times in 59 top flight starts, which is 22% and that immediately makes me feel that quoted odds of 1.90 (52.63%) for tonight are too short, even if we only look at home starts, Deportivo's 28% strike rate is hardly more (and perhaps even less) impressive.

Rayo Vallecano play a very offensive style under their head coach Paco Jemez, who will not compromise his attacking principles regardless of opponent, or match situation. Last season that took them into mid table comfort and got a lot of headlines for Paco, this time round they are in a bit of trouble, but a point would be valuable and all three would take Rayo out of the drop zone. The visitors have found a little form finally and have taken four points from their last two starts, a 2-2 draw at Valencia and 3-0 defeat of a weakened Celta Vigo team, but both will have put a sping in their step and they have scored in 7 of their last 8 starts, two or more in four of the last six. Deportivo have conceded in their last six starts ( all comps) and with both teams on the scoresheet in the last three h2h meetings, I think that both teams to score tonight looks likely, but is quoted at odds a little too skinny for my liking, or rather below my minimum.

Veteran winger Piti has rejoined the club this week, he scored 18 goals here three seasons ago despite playing wide and eight came after the end of February and even half that number might help preserve Rayo's top flight status, he will not start tonight, but is said to have impressed in training and is likely to see some game time . Hosts are without suspended goalkeeper German Lux, he has played every minute of every league game this season, replacement Manu has not kept a cleansheet in four Copa starts, all versus lower league opponents, including three at home to Mirandes in his last outing. I expect Rayo to score at least once and would not trust Deportivo to find the two goals + required to win the game at current odds.

Rayo Vallecano +0.25 ball 2.36 asian line/Sportmarket

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