My picks:
Dortmund to beat Stuttgart @ 1,6
Hoffenheim to beat Freiburg @ 2,3
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The 22nd Spieltag of the Bundesliga starts today.
My picks:
Dortmund to beat Stuttgart @ 1,6
Hoffenheim to beat Freiburg @ 2,3
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Champions League : Schalke 04- Real Madrid
These two met at exactly the same stage of the competition last season (see notes under the "good luck" sign off), with Real winning 6-1 in Germany, courtesy of two goals each from Ronaldo, Bale amd Benzema, Schalke's consolation goal came deep in injury time from prolific striker Klaas-Jan Huntelaar. We spoke about him and his importance to the team, ahead of the trip to Eintracht Frankfurt at the weekend, where he was suspended .....
However, it is the fact that the visitors entertain Real Madrid in the Champions League in four days time , allied to the news that they are without Klaas-Jan Huntelaar today which really caught my attention. You do not need me to tell you how big the visit from Real is and that will be a major distraction, KJH has 10 goals and three assists in 24 appearances this season, the only two road games which Schalke have won in the last two seasons without a contribution of some kind from him came against teams in the relegation zone and the visitors have won just 5 of 21 away starts without the Dutch striker since he joined in 2010-11. Hosts to beat a distracted opponent.
They lost that 1-0 , they do get KJH back this evening, but are short handed in other areas with long term injuries in midfield where they look mismatched, even against a Real side also missing players, with a 19 yo keeper in goal who is making his Champions League debut and has only 224 minutes of first team experience to his name and trying to play a 3-5-2 , a formation which has largely not worked in European football. It will require huge discipline from the wide men tonight especially, Frankfurt seemed to target Chritian Fuchs on the left, with a lot of play down that flank looking to exploit the space he left and the goal came via a missed challenge from him.
We are surely going to see a very defensive approach from the hosts, but I am not sure they can keep their shape for 90 minutes against the movement of the visitors front players and the crowd will be urging the home side forward and if and when they concede, they will be forced into opening up. Real are without Sergio Ramos, James Rodriguez, Luka Modric , Fabio Coentrao and Sami Khedira, which is a lot talent to be missing, but a midfield three of Kroos ( surely up for this on this return to Germany) , Illarramendi and Isco ( who is having a wonderful season) look likely to dominate and the return of Pepe to defence is very timely, especially given the alternatives and Marcelo returned at the weekend after missing the debacle against Atletico.
Real have lost their way a little domestically, Ronaldo has only scored three goals this year, which is a drought by his standards, he split with his girlfriend and has just turned 30, which is always a difficult birthday for sportsmen, the lead up to it is usually particular tough. However, we are now two weeks removed and he should have realised that life goes on , which is what normally happens and a return to Champions League action should be just the fillip that he and the club need. They are hardly going to fear a return to Germany, having beaten Schalke, Dortmund and Bayern by a combined 17-4 aggregate in the knockout stages last season and I suspect the club will view this match as the real start of 2015, hopefully we will see a revitalised Ronaldo and a comfortable away win. 1.5 units Real Madrid -1.25 goals 2.04 asian line/Sportmarket.
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Champions League round of 16:
My picks:
Chelsea to beat PSG @ 2,7
Shahktar Donetsk - Bayern Munich over 3,5 @ 2,65
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The 21 Spieltag of the Bundesliga will start today.
My pick:
Hertha BSC to beat Freiburg @ 2,05
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Hello,Originally posted by cabbott View Post
Football is the famous game of all around world.. I am a big fan of soccer..most of people use bet but I think betting is the wrong thing.. if you don't agree with me then please reply me..Leave a comment:
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Serie A: Lazio- Genoa
Genoa are without a win in seven and have lost their way after a very solid start to their campaign, however, they do still have goals in them (nine in their last six starts) and a wonderful record against Lazio to hold on to, winning the last seven h2h meetings, including three in the Eternal City. It is very easy to see them scoring this evening, but close to impossible to see them coming away with a clean sheet, arrriving as they do shipping goals and without center back Burdisso, or with a recognised left back , or at least one who has started a game for the club this season.
Lazio were down to the bare bones for the road loss to Cesena last time out, but have increased offensive options today and will be eager to get back on track and into the race for a top 3 finish. At the back, they are still a little shorthanded , but the big loss is Senad Lulic on the left flank, Lazio have won just twice in 16 starts over the last two years when he is absent, conceding two or more goals in half of those games. Interestingly he missed both games with Genoa last season, both of which Lazio lost 2-0, his absence put added pressure on whomever plays on the left side of the backline and an "upset" win is not impossible.
Genoa have scored two or more goals in six of their last eight games against Lazio and have rarely come up empty handed this season, even when their form has dipped.
But defensively they worry me and I prefer to try and bet.....
0.75 units Genoa "over" 1.5 goals 4.33-4.50 general quote.
0.5 units "over" 4.5 goals 6.0-6.5 general quote.
Any of the higher end asian goal line quotes are alternatives.
Lazio: Berisha, Marchetti, Strakosha, Basta, Cana, Cavanda, de Vrij, Mauricio, Konko, Novaretti, Radu, Biglia, Candreva, Cataldi, Ederson, Ledesma, Mauri, Onazi, Parolo, Felipe Anderson,Keita, Klose, Perea.
Genoa: 1 Perin, 2 També, 4 De Maio, 5 Izzo, 10 Perotti, 11 Niang, 14 Roncaglia, 16 Lestienne, 18 Bergdich, 19 Pavoletti, 21 Edenilson, 24 Falque, 23 Lamanna, 33 Kucka, 38 Mandragora, 39 Sommariva, 41 Ariaudo, 88 Rincon, 91 Bertolacci, 93 Laxalt.
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FA Cup: Bolton Wanderers- Liverpool
All the FA Cup betting criteria that we gave to West Ham United, Stoke City, Sunderland etc recently applies equally to Liverpool, this competition offers a genuine chance of some silverware and whilst getting into the top four would still be a target and they have the small matter of the Merseyside derby game at the weekend, they have to keep all their options open for now and they will be motivated to win this and maybe with the big game at the weekend, to get this done quickly if at all possible. They got an incredible boost last weekend with the return of Daniel Sturridge, who welcomed his return with a goal after coming off the bench, having been absent since August, it only took 12 minutes and he had other chances either side of the goal and suddenly things look so much brighter for Liverpool. Raheem Sterling and Philippe Coutinho are near the top of their game, Coutinho has settled now , Liverpool believe he is "world class" and have given him a newly extended, five year + contract this week, Sturridge's comeback was greeted like the return of the prodigal son and 2015 once again offers much promise. I guess there will be some rotation tonight, but Sturridge needs game time and will surely get a little against the club where he scored 8 EPL goals on loan in just 12 appearances in 2011, Steven Gerrard was rested at the weekend so will surely start and he will be hungry in what is his 700th start for the club and to stake a claim to appear in what could be his last derby game. Stevie G has three goals in his last two FA Cup starts and looks big in the anytime goalscorer market @ circa 3.20-3.40 general quote (0.75 units) , even bigger in some places, much lower in others. He remains deadly from free kicks and will be looking to mark a milestone appearance with a goal.
Seven of Bolton's transfer window signings, Ben Amos, Adam Le Fondre, Rochinha, Barry Bannan, Simeon Slavchev, Filip Twardzik and Saidy Janko are ineligible to play because they were not registered for the first tie.Boss Neil Lennon has a whole host of additional injury problems to deal with and his team have had a tough time of things since their 0-0 draw in the first meeting, conceding six goals in starts away to Rotherham United and at home to Wolves. In the match at Anfield, Liverpool had 24 attempts on goal, nine on target and on another day could have won by three, goalkeeper Adam Bogdan was outstanding, but cannot repeat those heroics as he is one of the injuries for tonight, I just cannot see beyond the visitors and expect them to win by two or more goals. 1.75 units Liverpool -1.25 goals 2.20 asian line/Sportmarket.
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The 19. Spieltag of the Bundesliga will start today.
Frankfurt has to play against Wolfsburg.
I think this should be a clear match for Wolfsburg. After they beat Munich last week (first lose for them) they are totally motivated to do it now.
So my pick Wolfsburg to beat Frankfurt @ 1,9
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Bundesliga : Eintracht Frankfurt- VfLWolfsburg
The visitors got the attention of the footballing world on Friday night when they put four goals past Bayern Munich , led by an amazing high energy performance from Kevin de Bruyne, who scored twice and also contributed his 11th assist of the season. Bayern had only conceded four goals previously all season through 17 league starts and whilst most teams might have sat back and basked in the glory of that huge win, the Wolves got busy and in a massive statement of intent, completed the signing of André Schürrle from Chelsea for circa 30m €. That has left everyone in no doubt about how VfL see themseleves over the next year or two, a very big player in both domestic and European terms. They also made sure that de Bruyne was also left in doubt about how highly they value him and an already lengthy and lucrative contract is about to be increased and extended until 2020, which I view as a clever move with a new "star" arriving on the scene.
Schürrle is apparently going to take part in a short workout with the rest of the squad this morning, but is not expected to make his debut until Saturday, but his arrival is a really big deal in Germany and after his success in Brazil and West London, he brings with him a winning mentality and will force the other squad members to up their game still further and looks incredibly good business. It is going to be very difficult for them to close that eight point gap on Bayern at the top of the table, but I feel they will want to give it a go and staying within a single digit of the Bavarian giants would be a major achievement and closing it, offer so much for next season. They are currently seven points clear of BMG in third and if they could really push on through the next 3-4 weeks, really cement a Champions League spot early and then look at other targets, which perhaps they are already doing. We have spoken a lot about the Europa League and how the competion, and the last year or two of the UEFA Cup, has been dominated by teams from Eastern Europe and the Iberian Peninsula, but we have no Porto or Benfica this year and the round of 32 and 16 is always testing for the Eastern teams coming off such a long break, Villarreal and Sevilla look decent representatives for Spain, but are both involved in what looks certain to be a season long battle with Valencia for fourth, elsewhere , there are a lot of teams who have been priced up on name alone. If the Wolves can find a way past Sporting this month, I am sure that we will see several of those "names" drop out and Wolfsburg might be in position to let their focus switch to a European title. There is still some 21.0 around for Wolfsburg to win the Europa League, even bigger in a palce or two and if you can find it, or close, I suggest we try 1 unit for now, we can take a closer look at this competition after the round of 32 ties.
Obviously I like the visitors tonight, they have no new injury concerns and although they have been under intense media spotlight since Friday, they will welcome being able to get back onto the pitch so soon and have had almost 24 hours longer to recover than Frankfurt, who lost 4-1 at Freiburg on Saturday. The hosts are without suspended right-back Timothy Chandler, they have conceded seven goals in the last two home games he has missed and both came against bottom half of the Bundesliga teams.and that is going to greatly interest the Wolves and especially whomever plays on the left flank this evening. The away side have a great record in Frankfurt, just two defeats in ten meetings and scoring two or more goals on five of the last six visits.
1.5 units Wolfsburg -0.75 ball 2.13 asian line/Sportsmarket.
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Premier League: Crystal Palace- Everton
Palace under Alan Pardew have served us really well and it is hard to let them go unbacked today and what looks a big price facing an Everton team who have lost their way and are heading in the opposite direction to the soaring Eagles. Pardew has been given funds to strengthen his squad (Yaya Sanogo, Jordan Mutch, and Shola Ameobi) and the whole place is buzzing right now and Selhurst Park is not an easy place for anyone to come to, especially when low on confidence.Hosts will get Jedinak and Bolasie back from international duty soon, which will further increase competition for places and everyone will be looking to impress today. We have spoken about the huge energy and high tempo pressing game that the new boss has got Palace playing and they look a team transformed. They took four points off the Toffees last season, winning 3-2 on Merseyside, also winning the reverse fixture this season by the same scoreline, Pardew oversaw a 3-2 home win over Everton just a month ago in his last days at Newcastle, so will have a mountain of notes on the visitors and that recent experience could again be vital and decisive, as it was against Tottenham in the Eagles last home game....see notes for January 10th. Everton have lost their last five on the road, the goals have dried up, just three in six and they are really missing Tim Howard at the back. Pardew is a very offensive minded coach and despite Everton's recent woes in front of goal this could easily turn into a shootout if we get the early breakthrough and another 3-2 would not totally surprise.
1.25 units Crystal Palace -0.25 ball 2.31 asian line/Sportmarket and 0.5 units "over" 3.5 goals 4.0-4.5 general quote.
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Today is the day....the german bundesliga starts again with the 18th spieltag
At first today Wolfsburg will have a match against bayern munich.
I think there is a chance for a draw today and for this odd I take the risk.
So my pick: Wolfsburg - Bayern Munich x @ 4,6Leave a comment:
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England Championship Norwich vs Brentford
Previews of the last two Brentford games can be read under the "good luck" sign off. The win over Brighton was hard fought, but in truth, they could/should once again have scored another couple of goals and things have not been falling for them in front of goal, they missed 2-3 absolute sitters , worst of which was Jon Toral rounding the keeper and then getting the ball caught inbetween his feet, with a open goal about a metre in front of him ! On the plus side, Andre Gray whom we did well following earlier in the season, scored his first goal in four, after seven in eight previously and having missed a host over those interim three games and like most strikers being streaky once he gets one, we can make a case for him being due again today. At the back, goalkeeper David Button is looking immense right now, playing with huge confidence and just doesn't look like letting one in. Brighton gave the form a boost by getting back to winning ways immediately and beating highflying Ipswich Town in midweek.
This is a similar game to last week, in that City are a big club at this level, playing in front of packed houses each week, albeit with a stronger squad than the Seagulls, but not by much, Brighton are much better than the league table suggests and a top half finish probably awaits them. Once again, the Bees have been underestimated by the oddsmakers and I see no reason to desert them and having beaten the Seagulls and Bluebirds on the road recently, Canaries will be another one for the ornithologistic visitors ! The hosts are one of just two teams to have won at Griffin Park this season, it was a comprehensive 3-0 win, but Brentford were on top for significant periods and after falling behind were denied a clear penalty which everyone in the stadium saw apart from the referee, City scored the second whilst the Bees were still protesting, which of course is unprofessional, but by then it was game over. That was one of several decisions which went against them that night, they are not a team to overly focus on things like that, but the manager, who is always very gracious to the opposition and several players have mentioned it recently, it obviously still rankles and I do suspect they feel that there is a score to settle. Since that day the Bees have earned eight more points than City and have won as many road games as the hosts have at home, the Canaries have been scoring freely recently, with a whopping 14 goals in their last three home starts and are unbeaten under new boss Alex Neil. However, the honeymoon period is over for him now and coming from the SPL, he has no experience of English football for more than a decade and the Championship is a division where a little of that goes a very long way. Also, they have conceded in 12 of 13 home starts, two or more in three of their last five, can be far too gung ho at times and Brentford have the pace to exploit this on the break.
The Bees seem very likely to score, they have done so in their last 14 starts and City "always" concede at home, the visitors also have increased offensive options with young striker Christopher Long having signed a loan deal from Everton and he will almost certainly be used off the bench this afternoon. Cardiff City, Brighton and Reading have all scored two here revently and circa 3.0-3.20 for Brentford to do likewise, seems too big (0.75 units), especially with City and the Royals being very poor travellers and the trio only posting the same number of away wins between them as the Bees. For my "official " selection, it just has to be 1.5 units Brentford +0.75 ball 2.09 asian line/Sportmarket.
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France Ligue2 Arles vs Nancy
We discussed Nancy on Monday and those notes are reproduced at the foot of this email. They were two down early there , but showed the first signs of life in some time to earn a share of the spoils, but it was not what they needed. They remain desperate for a win and this is pretty much last chance for them and Arles are in a similar (even worse) position, as I outlined last week ahead of their 3-1 home defeat to Angers......
Arles are, with goal difference, effectively 12 points from safety, they will have to throw caution to the wind from now on in to have any chance of survival, but in truth, the third tier awaits. The lack of goals is the major concern and when they open up, especially against the stronger teams they concede too freely, they have conceded two or more to the other promotion hopefuls they have played at home, Sochaux, Dijon and Troyes and in the reverse fixture in Angers.
Their situation is a little worse today, as although they are sill those same 11/12 points from safety, they have one less game to play and are without suspended central defende Samuel Gigot who was sent off late last week, their record is far from great when he is available, but when he plays ten minutes or less they have one point from six starts and concede at the rate of a goal every 38 minutes in his absence ( one every 57 when he plays). Also missing are goalkeeper Thomas Bosmel ( three defeats in 8 when he plays, 10 in 12 without him) and left winger Fawzi Ouaamar who scored the goal in the only match Arles have taken a point from (1-1 draw) in their last eight starts.
Nancy have named the same squad as for Monday, plus a couple of additions, including left back Vincent Muratori (see below) who has completed his suspension. This looks good for the visitors, but they just seem incapable of keeping a clean sheet right now, for all the reasons outlined on Monday and Arles are going to have to gamble at some stage.
I really like this match and am keen on the away win and the "over" and will bet "big" on both, I do not have an issue personally with losing ( or winning) several units on one game, but some of you do, I will put up 1.75 units Nancy -0.5 ball 2.36 asian line/Sportmarket and 1.75 units "over" 2.5 goals 2.34 asian line/Sportmarket.....2.08 over 2.25 line is an alternative. I like both, the "official" selection is, as always, the red type bet.
Arles-Avignon : Maraval, Delac - Givet, Ou.N’Diaye, Phojo, Pinteaux, Bocaly - Savanier, Rodriguez, Reale, Ib.Ba, Bennacer - L.Touré, Domoraud, Ngakoutou, Psaume.
Nancy : Nardi, Beunardeau, Cuffaut, Sami, Lenglet, Diagne, Muratori, Amadou, Iglesias, Walter, Karaboué, Cétout, Grange, Lusamba, Dalé, Coulibaly, Dembélé, Hadji, Busin.
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England Championship: Middlesbrough- Huddersfield
Boro's failure to beat Reading at the Madejski last weekend (preview at the foot of the page) cost us a cleansweep on the English football , but they absolutely dominated possession and missed chance after chance and were once again denied by a goalkeeper at the very top of his game, with Adam Federici earning MOTM plaudits, to give you some idea of the flow of the game, the following three comments were all taken from home connections .....
Fan Forum Report: Reading extended their unbeaten to four games as their new found resilience and self-belief helped them to match a very strong Middlesbrough side. Without doubt today’s opponents are the best team to visit the Madjeski stadium so far this season. Boro dominated possession in the first half but were unable to make it count, and in an eventful second half Reading were certainly playing to win but remained disciplined in defence. The visitors will probably feel they should have won, but three excellent saves by Federici ensured Reading earned the point they deserved for their enterprise and work rate.
Supporter : Well - no arguments about who was MOTM today - Feds by a country mile - which sums up why 'boro will feel hard done by with just a point! We started brightly but after the first 10 minutes the half belonged to 'boro. They should have been at least 2 up by half time and one of their efforts looked to me to be a contender for 'miss of the season'! By contrast - apart from a weak header from Pog - I don't think we had a single attempt on goal!
Reading boss Steve Clarke: "As I said to the players after the game, we can thank Adam for our point this week. He's an experienced keeper, he's very safe, very solid. He doesn't make the nervous moments more nervous because he gets the ball, he catches it and he keeps it. I'm really pleased with him."
I expect them to get back on track today, the visitors have picked up and are solid at home, but have conceded an average of 2.33 goals per game on the road at Boro are looking for a double over Town after winning 2-1 at the Galpharm. Adam Clayton returns from suspension which is very timely, but today is really just about taking chances and if one comes, a second , third or fourth might well follow, 1 will take 1.5 units Middlesbrough -1 ball 2.17 asian line/Sportmarket.
However, the hosts are 6-5 (goals scored and conceded) before the break and 16-2 after and do take a while to get going here on Teeside, so you could hold out for a better quote and no one ever backed a loser by waiting !
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Dijon- Tours
This is my potential upset of the day. Dijon have impressed and are a fantastic 8-0-0 at home and I do feel they will be promoted, but that doesn't mean they have to win every game and in Tours, they are facing a fast improving team who have refound their confidence and their scoring boots. They remain in the bottom three, but are unbetaen in five in all competitions , are buoyed by scoring three on the road in the cup last weekend and have averaged 2.17 goals over their last six starts. On the flip side, they have conceded in each of those, but like earlier in the season, giving up a goal no longer means giving up on the game, far from it and this is a team on the up. They have not won in eight visits to Dijon, which is not a great stat, but six have gone "over" and I definitely feel they will score at least once today, that they will probably not lose on the handicap (+1) and could spring a surprise at a big price, but that perhaps the "over" offers the best value. Hosts are without left back Samuel Souprayen and impressive striker Julio Tavares.
1.5 units "over" 2.5 goals 2.08 asian line/Sportmarket.
Tours are very fast starters and have collected 33 points before the break, just 10 afterwards and whilst they have got stronger recently through the second period, there is obviously a good chance they will be at their best early, with the home side missing two key and regular starting players. 1 unit Tours first half +0.25 ball 2.19 asian line/Sportmarket.
Dijon : Perraud, Reynet – Bamba, Diallo, Rémy, Paye, Varrault – Amalfitano, Benet, Marié, Mollet, Philippoteaux – Bela, Diony, Koné, Rivière.
Tours : Bertrand, Kamara - Bouhours, Cillard, Gradit, Miguel, Schwechlen - Belkebla, Berenguer, Bergougnoux, Chavalerin, Damahou, Diaz, Santamaria - Adnane, Ketkeophomphone, Tandia.
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