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  • paul8209
    replied
    England League 1 : Gillingham vs Colchester United

    Colchester lost 2-0 at home to neighbours Southend United last round, but they were much improved there, especially in the first half and I do think that they might get back on track in the coming weeks once new boss Kevin Keen has had some time to work with the squad , that will have to be more than the few hours he has had over the weekend to discuss things and what United could really do with is a free seven days, but there is little chance of that right now. Gills are coming from back to back road wins by an aggregate of 6-1 and they will be looking for something similar today, after losing their long unbeaten home record in their last start at Priestfield a 3-0 loss to Burton Albion. The Brewers were worthy winners, but the match turned on the first half dismissal of Doug Loft and the scoreline was given a lopsided look by two injury time goals once the Gills had thrown caution to the wind.

    Hosts are our big (huge) priced outright selection for League 1 and the two wins over the holiday have got them right back in contention and the 3-1 win at Swindon Town on Saturday was very impressive, they came from behind against a team running into form, also missed a penalty, so the win could have been even more emphatic and all their "star" names appear to have returned to form. Bradley Dack, who is a player we have discussed several times and one who has had a lot of interest from higher up the footballing food chain, has scored in the last two and a goal scoring midfielder is always in demand and there will be a scout from almost every Championship club looking at him and several other Gills today. Home win.

    Gillingham -0.75 ball 1.98 asian line/Sportmarket

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

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  • paul8209
    replied
    England Championship: Brentford vs Brighton

    Not going to spend too long on this, we have discussed the Bees more than any other team in the last three years and most of you know more about them than any club apart from your own. Last week ahead of a home game with Huddersfield Town my notes included ........

    "That ended 2-2, Bees led, gifted Fulham an equaliser with a real howler of an own goal from James Tarkowski and were wrongly denied a winner from Jota for offside . In midweek, they went to Cardiff City and lost 3-2, they started very sluggishly, which was always going to be a bit of a concern after the big derby game and were two down at the break, but came on strong in the second period and especially with the introduction of Jota and Josh McEachran and a team leading showing from captain Alan Judge, which got them back on level terms and there was only one winner from that stage and the Bees were well on top, only to lose deep in injury time following another defensive error. Not too much to worry about, they should have scored five against Dons, three at Fulham and got two at Cardiff, they have a VERY strong bench now and goals are really going to start flowing soon. Central defender Harlee Dean will be available following suspension today and Maxime Colin will should come in at right back after a long term injury and both should help steady the Bees defensively. Jota must be close to a full start now and surely we will get an hour from McEachran who was hugely impressive from the bench in midweek. "


    No start from Jota, but he got another outing from the bench, as did McEachran, Colin and Dean both started and the backline looked far more solid , despite conceding twice (one was down to a player slipping when there was no danger and the game already won). Very promising, but they will be tested fully today by Brighton, who finally lost their unbeaten record last weekend. However, the visitors suddenly look vulnerable, have conceded two or more in their last four starts, including at home to a struggling Charlton and with the Bees so full of goals, four last week should have been six and the 13 they have scored in their last six starts ( 2+ in five), could easily, no, should have been 20, it is hard not to see some offensive joy today for the hosts. Bees scored four in the two h2h games last season, both of which they won and can thrill a sold out Griffin Park in this early kick off. I think they might win and could really be facing the Seagulls at the right time and there is a big rivalry between the two club owners, who were formerly friends, so the players know what it means to Matthew Benham, but I feel the best value by far is ............

    Brentford to score two or more goals 2.30-2.375 general quote.

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

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  • paul8209
    replied
    England Championship: Reading vs Blackburn Rovers

    Reading have lost their way and have only beaten basement club Bolton in their last ten starts and have really struggled to hold onto leads in that sequence. Rovers are on an unbetaen run of eight and have only conceded once in four away starts and not at all in closing in on 300 minutes and not lost to the Royals in 11 league meetings. The visitors are suddenly very well organised under Paul Lambert and could move to within three points of the playoffs with the win this afternoon. Hosts have a new manager to impress in Brian McDermott, but he has only had a couple of days with the squad and he has some big defensive issues with Andrew Taylor , Anton Ferdinand and Chris Gunter major doubts, Gunter is the only recognised right back and a midfielder will probably drop back if he misses out, his eye injury was bad and required a lot of stitches. Seems sure that the Royals will have players out of position, or a very young backline against a well organised team in good form, with a potent Championship striker in Jordan Rhodes. McDermott will also probably not be able to play his preferred formation either and I think he is going to need time to turn this group around.

    Blackburn Rovers level ball 2.28 asian line/Sportmarket

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

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  • paul8209
    replied
    France Ligue2 Le Havre vs Auxerre

    Le Havre have dropped back to sixth, eight points off promotion pace, the same as visitors Auxerre who are in 7th with the same number of points. Auxerre have taken ten points from their last four starts and it is hard to pick too many holes in that form, not least the back to back cleansheets at Metz and Dijon, however, when they do concede, a second usually follows and when not keepng an opponent scoreless, they have allowed an average of 2.125 per game and they have given up two on each of their last three visits to Le Havre. The top two in this divison look strong and Metz are a solid third, if any of the chasing pack are going to put in a major promotion push they are going to have to forgo the odd draw in the hunt for all three points, or otherwise just "give up" with only two promotion spots up for grabs this season and surely no one is prepared to do that just yet, or without a fight. So, both to go all out for the win.

    HAC have named an unchanged squad, with striker Mathieu Duhamel and defensive midfielder Jean-Pascal Fontaine still absent, they obviously still pose an offensive threat, but are clearly far more vulnerable defensively at present and again, they might well need two goals to get something from this and that applies to both teams.Visiting coach Jean-Luc Vannuchi has pledged to come looking for all three points and this should be an entertaining encounter

    HAC: Farnolle, Milosavljevic - Chebake, Puel, Fortes, Cambon, Bain, Mendy - Louiserre, Manzala, Gamboa, Bonnet, M'Bami - Mendes, Gimbert, Mousset.

    Auxerre: Boucher, Lenogue - Aguilar, Hountondji, Puygrenier, Sefil, Sylla - Diaw, Konaté, Lefebvre, Seck, Vincent - Ba, Berthier, Courtet, Diarra.

    over 2.25 goals 2.17 asian line/Sportmarket

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

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  • paul8209
    replied
    France Coupe De La Ligue Bordeaux vs AS Monaco

    This is not a match up you would look at in the cold light of day and immediately think goals, but the league game here just five weeks ago ended 3-1 and the last two meetings in Bordeaux have produced nine goals and the last four Monaco away starts 18 (four + in three) and given the nature of how games in the competitition tend to play out (see above) and odds offered today, we have to take this to follow all those trends and produce goals. Looking at the league table and given that both have no further involvement in the Europa League to "worry" about, we should expect each to be keen to progress, but both are set to rotate their starting line ups. Bordeaux have said openly that they are especially keen to blood some youngsters, feeling that the visit from Marseille at the weekend should be given priority, but the squad named doesn't quite bear that thinking out, it might be a bit of a smokescreen and either way, I do feel they will go for this.

    Monaco have left several players at home including Lacina Traore, Stephan El Shaarawy and keeper Danijel Subasic and have added a few youngsters of their own to the group. Despite what has been said by the home head coach I prefer the chances of Bordeaux today looking at the squads, but feel that the "over" offers slightly better value.

    Bordeaux: Carrasso, Prior - Contento, Guilbert, Poundjé, Ambrose, Yambéré - Khazri, Maulun, Ounas, Plasil, Poko, Saivet, Traoré, Vada - Diabaté, Laborde, Rolan, Kiese Thelin.

    ASM: Nardi, Sy - Carvalho, Echiejilé, Fabinho, Raggi, Wallace - Bakayoko, Bahlouli, Boschilia, Dirar, Gil, Helder, Lemar, Mexique, Pasalic, Silva, Toulalan - Cavaleiro, Mbappé.

    over 2.25 goals 2.07 asian line/Sportmarket.

    over 3.5 goals at a general quote of 4.33 appeals given the competition stats and that the last two h2h meetings and 3/4 Monaco road games have all gone over this line.

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

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  • paul8209
    replied
    France Coupe de la Ligue Rennes vs Toulouse

    Rennes host Toulouse for the second time this season, winning the earlier meeting 3-1, the visitors are in relegation trouble, three points from safety and with a vital home league game with Lille at the weekend and that should really be their priority and they arrive without the suspended trio of captain Jean-Daniel Akpa -Akpro, defensive midfielder Yann Bodiger and young central defender Issa Diop, who all played in the weekend 1-1 draw at Nantes. They look big losses and already missing four starters to injury, including top scorer Martin Braithwaite and with the hosts fully committed to this and feeling that they are playing far better than recent results might suggest, for example in the weekend draw with high flying Caen on Friday, they enjoyed 68% possession, 22 attempts on goal and had 37 crosses into the box, I see good value in the home win at odds against. Hosts played on Friday which is a big advantage, not only does it mean 24 hours extra rest and recovery time, but it means a full training session ahead of this game and that can often be key.

    Rennes -0.5 ball 2.11 asian line/Sportmarket

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

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  • paul8209
    replied
    Spain La Liga: Villarreal - Real Madrid

    Another big team facing a crucial game. Real have scored 17 goals in their last five starts since their humiliation at home to Barcelona, but it is an understatement to say that the opposition has been poor and Malmo's showing in midweek was disgraceful and today will be a far sterner test. Howver, Barce dropping two points at home to Deportivo last night is surely all the further incentive needed, Real can close to within two points of the leaders with a win and opportunities to make up ground to that degree over the coming months are going to be few and far between. Thet arrive with not just James, Bale, Benzema and Cristiano Ronaldo in the squad, but most of the other big names too and Pepe and Ramos are set to play together in the centre of the defence for just the third time this season and they have not conceded in the previous 100+ minutes when the duo have been on the pitch together. Real have two home games after this to finish 2015 and can go into the New Year on a real high if they win today.

    The hosts had to make a lot of changes in the summer and that looked to have been a seemless transition after they opened with 16 points from their first six starts to sit top of La Liga, but just eight from a possible 24 since and in recent outings they have looked a pale imitation of their early season selves. They have never been prolific scorers and they have scored the fewest of any team in the top eight and just six times in their last eight starts, that is acceptable , to a degree, if your backline is watertight, but those days have also disappeared and they have given up 15 goals in their last nine games in all competitions and conceding and not scoring , will not win you many games ! This looks a good time for Real to be in town, they have "only" won on 4 of their last 7 visits to El Madrigal, but all wins came by two plus goals and they can win in similar fashion this evening, motivation will increase further should Atletico also drop points in a tough afternoon fixture.

    Real :Keylor Navas, Kiko Casilla , Rubén Yáñez, Pepe, Ramos, Nacho, Marcelo ,Danilo, Kroos, James, Bale, Casemiro, Kovacic, Modric , Isco, Jesé, Lucas Vázquez, Benzema , Cristiano Ronaldo

    Real Madrid -1 ball 2.17 asian line/Sportmarket

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

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  • paul8209
    replied
    Germany Bundesliga: Mainz - Stuttgart

    Ahead of Stuutgart's last away start , a daunting trip to Dortmund I wrote .........

    "After discussing Dortmund and their huge offensive threat a lot in early season, we have largely left them alone since, but they look sure to be amongst the goals today and I feel there is value in them today, despite their short odds. Notes from one of those early games is reproduced below (see November 28th email) to provide some background information. Borussia are once more the closest challengers to Bayern, but it is only second spot which is up for grabs, but they can cement their hold on that today will three points and at least try to keep the leaders advantage down to double digits for as long as possible. Dortmund are averaging 3.33 at home in the Bundesliga and far more in all competitions, Stuttgart are strugling once more , having only missed relegation by two points last season, they have the worst defensive record in the Bundesliga and on the road where they were poor last season giving up 1.88 goals per game, they have gone from bad to worse and are now up to 2.67 pg and the loss of defensive midfielder Serey Die today is hardly going to help in that regard. He has sat out three games this season and Stuttgart have conceded 10 goals , at least three in each and those three opponents have only scored just about a goal per game in other starts, so the omens are not good. Last three wins for Dortmund in this h2h series have been 3-2.3-2 and 6-1 and something along similar lines today seems likely, Dortmund to score 3 + and probably concede. Stuttgart sacked coach Alexander Zorniger earlier this week and have an interim boss in charge, that could mean a change in fortune, but it usually only happens once the new permanent head coach arrives. 4-1 /5-1/ 5-2 feels about right and Dortmund have already won nine times this seaon in which they have scored three + goals and also conceded"

    That did indeed end 4-1 and landed a double bet for us. Stuttgart remain with an interim boss, they have Die back , but travel without right back Florian Klein and right winger Martin Harnik and also forward Daniel Ginczek, that weakens them on that flank of course, all three played in Stuttgart's sole road win this season, with Ginczek assisting for two goals in a 3-1 win at Hannover. That was one, of what is so far, only two away victories for Die Roten in 2015 (67% loss rate) and they look up against it today, with Mainz looking for a third straight win and having scored ten goals in their last five starts. Hosts get a boost with the return to the squad of Fabian Frei after three months injured and that will increase competition for starting places. Mainz have won four of the last five home h2h meetings and a fifth looks overpriced at odds against.

    Mainz -0.5 ball 2.13 asian line/Sportmarket

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

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  • paul8209
    replied
    Champions League Gent - Zenit St Petersburg

    Zenit have finally fulfilled their potential in the Champions League and have already secured first place in the group, it has come at a cost domestically and it is no coincidence that the Premier Liga form of both Zenit and CSKA, the two CL teams, has nosedived in recent weeks, anyway, that can wait for another day. Their domestic campaign doesn't restart until March and they need to rest now and come back early to try and get into some sort of match shape for the first round of knockout games in mid February, that process has already started and several players including Hulk (who has already been allowed to return to Brazil) have not made the trip. Head coach Andre Villas-Boas has been open about his thinking and said on the club website earlier this week " In this situation, we have to decide what is more important , this match or the last 16, we should not forget about the dream of the quarter-finals, so we need to be a little more pragmatic." He then went on to give us the all too familiar football talk about "doing our best in every game and loooking for the win", but I think the first comments were the most telling and pertinent.

    Gent have already taken four points from home games with Valencia and Lyon and took Zenit closer in St Petersburg than those two and would secure progression today with three points, or if Valencia failed to beat Lyon, but the Spanish club have a new coach to impress and I expect them to win on his official home debut and I am close to certain that Gent will need a maximum return here to progress. Hulk has contributed (goals/assists) to 7 of Zenit's 12 goals in the competition and they obviously lose a lot of offensive threat in his absence, centre back Nicolas Lombaerts started his professional career at Gent and went to University in the city and has spoken about returning to play for the club one day and conspiracy theorists could have a field day if he scores an own goal or makes a couple of errors !

    Gent -0.5 ball 2.26 asian line/Sportmarket

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

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  • paul8209
    replied
    Champions League PSV vs CSKA

    The visitors need all three points to claim a Europa League place and we have discussed many times how much respect teams from the East give that competition and we can expect them to play a big part in what could develope into a wide open encounter. PSV are in a strange situation, they are currently third and would advance to the CL knockout stage with a win, or a point if Manchester United lose, so they could finish first or last in this section and that is rare on Matchday 6. They are looking to become the first Dutch club to reach the knockout stages for nine long seasons and that brings with it additional pressure, especially with the failure of the national team to reach Euro 2016. They have seen off Manchester United and Wolfsburg here, scoring twice in each and also in a 3-2 loss in Moscow and something similar to that result in the reverse fixture would not surprise, with PSV probably nervous, having one eye on the match in Wolfsburg (odd for a Dutch team to want a German side to win !) and CSKA having no option but to gamble.

    The visitors , that win over PSV aside, have not shown the attacking flair and gung-ho nature this season , that we have seen previously from them in the competition and are currently in a slump, with just one point from their last six starts in all competitions, they do still lead their domestic league, which is now in the Winter break after last weekend's round of games, so no need to hold anything back and a win would provide a much needed boost. However, on top of everything else, they have a bit of an injury crisis and several players including central defender Vasili Berezutski, left back Georgi Shchennikov and midfielder Roman Eremenko stayed behind in Moscow. Also, here is an incredible stat , goalkeeper Igor Akinfeev has conceded in his last 36 matches in the Champions League, a run stretching back some nine years ! I guess that PSV would like to play this a little more cautiously, but I suspect that CSKA will dictate how this match plays out and they have nothing to gain by sitting back, they also have a history of letting games slip away from them quickly when they trail on the road. PSV have won 8 of their last 9 home games, they conceded in six of those (5 wins) and both to score and PSV to win, looks the very likely outcome again this evening.

    over 3 goals 2.16 asian line/Sportmarket.

    both teams to score and PSV to win 3.10-3.25 general quote, bigger in a few places.

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

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  • paul8209
    replied
    Premier League Swansea City - Leicester City

    The visitors continue on their merry way and I doubt they would have been too disappointed with a home point against Manchester United last week, despite having the better of the clear goalscoring opportunities. They were happy to sit back, give United as much possession as they wanted and hit them on the break, tactics which are , of course, ideal for playing on the road and it is no coincidence that they have scored more goals away from the King Power Stadium. Hard to see them coming up short in the goal scoring department today, the Swans have won just once in ten and have conceded eight in their last four home starts and have been forced a little out of their preferred game plan and style by their desperate need to win and the huge pressure on boss Gary Monk, who could do no wrong four months ago, but is now getting the dreaded vote of confidence on a regular basis, such is the life of a head coach, you are only as good as your last 2-3 results in modern football ! They will push and that is going to leave space for Leicester, who have pace to spare and they have scored in 18 straight games, 2+ in 12 of those and you do not need me to tell you about the exploits of Jamie Vardy. Confidence levels are through the roof at the Foxes and they will take to the field looking for the three points which might well take them back to the top of the table.

    I do have my concerns about the visitors defensively and spoke about those ahead of last week's game ( preview is reproduced at the foot of this email), 1-1 at the break, a third goal seemed highly likely and I do not doubt if it had come, a fourth would have followed, but United did not stretch the home side enough on the flanks and play was very compacted in front of the penalty area. Hopefully the Swans will have learned from that, Monk had a "clear the air" meeting with his squad this week and feels the team took a lot from a much improved showing at Liverpool last week, but he has demanded his side be more aggressive in possession and when they have tried that previously this season, they have scored, but have been very vulnerable at the back, witness the 2-2 scoreline when they hosted struggling Bournemouth recently, the Cherries led 2-0 early before City fought back to tie things up at the break, but it was all Bournemouth in the second half and they could/should have scored 4. Hosts are going to need at least two to win this and I think they will gamble for the three points , with a trip to Manchester City up next and Monk likely to be looking for a new job this week or next with any other result .

    over 2.75 goals 2.14 asian line/Sportmarket

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

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  • paul8209
    replied
    Championship: Ipswich Town - Middlesbrough

    Big game for both , Town can move into the play off places, at least for 24 hours with a point and Boro would go top, with all three.

    Ipswich are in their best form of the season, are unbeaten in six, scoring 12 goals in their last four (three wins) and are very tough to beat on home soil, 3-5-1 this season and they collected a Championship high 50 points here last season, which included a 2-0 defeat of Middlesbrough, infact, Boro have lost on their last three visits, all by 2+ goals and have not posted a win at portman Road in more than 20 years. The Tractor Boys have drawn too many games here this season, but only Burnley have won and a point in this fixture is almost always seen as one earned and not two lost by Championship clubs. Boro are well aware of how tough this will be and doubly so as they played a Capital One Cup game with Everton in midweek, they rotated quite heavily for that, but eight players featured in both the cup tie and the win at Huddersfield last weekend and a third really taxing game inside seven days is going to be a big ask for some and I really do not see why Boro should be favourites to win this. I have already seen Ipswich at Griffin Park this season, they were big, strong, well organised, exactly how they and any team managed by Mick McCarthy always are and despite that being the opening day of the season, it was already fairly clear that they would again be in and around the playoffs. However, as I mentioned earlier this week, it is going to be tough for any of the teams outside the top five to break into that elite group and if clubs do not simply want to be playing for one remaining post season place, they can afford few slip ups and have to make the most of home games against teams above them in the table and that makes this game hugely important for Town. Boro are a bit physical on the road, but those tactics will not work against Ipswich and I have to side with the hosts, with the draw no bet safeguard.

    Ipswich Town level ball 2.02 asian line/Sportmarket.

    There is one major concern and that is David Nugent is now a Boro player following his move from Leicester City in the summer and he simply loves to play against Town, with a whopping 14 goals in his last 13 matches against them for City, Preston and Portsmouth (remember them ?) , if that was not impressive enough, he has scored in a perfect 7/7 visits tp Portman Road, nine goals in total and no prizes for guessing that he nominates it as his favourite away ground. He was one of those rested in midweek and if Boro are to score this evening, the goal(s) seems as likely to come via him as anyone else

    Daryl Murphy has six goals in his last three league games for Ipswich, after failing to score in his first 13 and you know that I love a striker in form, he was top Championship scorer last season with 27 goals, six more than anyone else, including the opener in this fixture last season and his earlier drought was simply a blip and recent Town opponents are paying the price.

    Nugent and Murphy are both circa 2.80-3.10 general quote in the anytime goalscorer markets and both are probably a little on the big side at the upper end given those stats, especially Murphy, who is the focus of so much of what Town do offensively and he has averaged far better than a goal every two games for the last 16 months, despite a 13 match fry spell, which is incredible (0.67 goals per game otherwise).

    Taking either would be fine, but Town will be looking for Murphy at every opportunity and if you can find 2.875-3.10 I would suggest 1 unit....there is 3.30 on Betfair sportsbook btw.

    from Sports betting Advice Service Clubgowi

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  • paul8209
    replied
    France Ligue2 Bourg en Bresse Peronnas 01- Chamois Niortais

    BEBP played out an incredibly open game at Metz on Friday, which I discussed in today's first preview, they could/perhaps should have scored 2-3 goals themselves , they had put four past Paris in their previous start and only leaders Dijon have scored more goals and the hosts clearly pose a big offensive threat. However, at the other end of the pitch ............oh dear ! They have conceded a league high 29 goals and it is so easy to see why, five could so easily have been 7-8 versus Metz and some of their defensive play there was shambolic and if poor defending was a crime the entire backline would have been in court this week !

    It will have been difficult to sort all those issues out with the quick turnaround, but I doubt they want to change too much in any case and seen happy with their open, free and easy ways and they are certainly fun to watch ! I have mentioned many times that Niort play a more open style themselves than they are usually given credit for and if teams open up and are prepared to go toe to toe with them, they will usually follow suit, we have not seen too much of that approach from them on the road this season, but they have scored in five of their last six away starts and all of those came against teams set up more defensively than BEBP and the visitors can play their part in an open encounter. Both to score seems almost a given, odds of 1.83 + for that are pretty good, but below my personal "minimum" and I much prefer goals

    Bourg-en-Bresse : Callamand, Fabri - Alphonse, Perradin, Berthomier, Boujedra, Boussaha, N'Simba, Sane, Nirlo, Traore, Dimitriou, Ogier, Dembele, Damour, Ba.

    Niort : Delecroix, Allagbe - Lahaye, Sans, Choplin, Kiki, Bong - Koukou, Roye, Djigla, Rocheteau, Tigroudja, Sambia - Dona Ndoh, Bassock, Koné.

    over 2.5 goals 2.21 asian line/Sportmarket

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

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  • paul8209
    replied
    Premier League Bournemouth - Everton

    I am a little surprised that Bournemouth have struggled so much, also that they did not get more involved in the transfer and then loan market once the injuries started to pile up. They are still missing a whole host of players and have only posted a single victory since August and now find tehmselves in the bottom three. Perhaps, more importantly, they have lost their way and are not playing with the same freedom we saw from them in L1 and the Championship and whilst that might be down to the crowded treatment room and quality of opposition, they really ought to get back to what they do best, which is all out attacking football and although we saw glimpses of it at Swansea last week, the Cherries seem a little timid , immediately go into their shell and more defensive once they concede and that is not really them and hardly plays to their strengths. Two were quickly conceded at the Liberty, one became four before the break and then five at Manchester City and it was three inside 30 mins and once again then five when Tottenham visited recently, they are nine without a clean sheet and it is difficult to see them keeping out the Toffees for too long today. Everton will have very positive memories of their most recent trip to the South Coast and their 3-0 win at Southampton and we spoke ahead of their last away start, of the huge threat that Romelu Lukaku and the Toffees pose and you can read those notes in full, below the "good luck" sign off.

    Everton had to settle for a point in a 1-1 draw, Lukaku for a single goal, it should have been two for him and a win for the visitors, but they have since beaten Villa 4-0 with a brace of goals from the Belgian striker and he is going to be very tough to stop today, all Everton's goals this season have come from open play, which augurs well with the Cherries natural instinct to attack and struggles once they concede. The visitors might also have more threat from set pieces with the return to the squad of Leighton Baines for the first time this season. easy to see goals in this game too, but the goal line quotes look about right, Lukaku is still underrated and odds for him in the anytime goalscorer market still look too big at circa 2.30-2.50 (1.25 units), but for my main bet it has to be the visitors , who could move up into Champions League place contention with all three points. Five of their remaining 2015 league starts are against teams between 10th-19th place and they have a real opportunity to enter the new year on a high.

    Everton -0.25 ball 2.26 asian line/Sportmarket

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

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  • paul8209
    replied
    France Ligue2 Creteil - Nancy

    We have discussed Creteil's style of play many times in recent seasons and much of that is covered in my preview of their game with Nimes at the end of last month which is reproduced below the "good luck" sign off. That finished in a 2-1 win for Nimes, Creteil have had 8 "overs" in 11 starts, conceded in ten, with all matches in that sequence averaging 2.91 goals and have either scored or conceded twice in nine .They come into this match on the back of two defeats and are looking to get back into the promotion race, but do not look strong enough a group for that and I suspect long term ambition remain mid table safety and getting to the required 42-45 points, that will guarantee survival, as soon as possible. They are missing 4-5 starters tonight and are short on the flanks, especially the left, with Augusto, Diedhiou, Konogo, Dabo, Clemence and Sangaré all absent and protection for the full backs will be an issue.

    Nancy have won five of their last six starts in all competitions and having a much stronger start to this season than in recent campaigns, will be very pleased with the way things have gone and probably consider themselves title favourites. They have very few injury problems and are close to full strength, but head coach Pablo Correa said that if any player came to him and said he did not feel ready to play, he would be happy with that and view it as the player showing "strength and not weakness" and it should be remembered that this is being played in the suburbs of Paris, anyway, at present it looks like no one has stepped forward to opt out. Correa did say his team had prepared as normal and his coaching staff had done the same level of analysis (more, as there was a break) as usual.

    Also, and I think this is key, Nancy have actually played since the attacks last Friday,playing a friendly in Alsace on Saturday (strong starting 11, with maybe 8 from that game set to start this evening), so unlike almost every other French team, they have got over the psychological hurdle of getting back to business, which could hand them a massive edge this evening. I do feel they will win and have decided to include them giving up the bigger handicap, in a split stake bet.

    Créteil : Kerboriou, Merville, Di Bartolomeo Esor, Hérelle, Ilunga, Mahon de Monaghan, Dias, Lafon, Loriot, Lesage, Mollet, Montaroup, Andriatsima, Bourgeois, Sackho.

    Nancy : Ndy Assembe, Samba, Cétout, Cuffaut, Chrétien, Muratori, Lenglet, Badila, Walter, Guidileye, Aït Bennasser, Iglesias, Puyo, Dalé, Lusamba, Hadji, Robic, Busin.


    Nancy -0.75 ball 2.36 asian line/Sportmarket.

    over 2.5 goals 2.33 asian line/sportmarket.

    from Sports Betting Advice Service Clubgowi

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