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England Premier League: Liverpool - Chelsea

This is the last match at the Anfield in this EPL campaign. Domestic side has recorded one more disappointed season and for sure Jurgen Klopp and his team want to impress their supporters against last season champs. Expectations are huge from Reds like in every year and this match have to show their ambitions and capabilities for next season. In the same time, Liverpool could overcome Saints at seventh table position if they win today, so Klopp’s side will step on the field with huge desire and passion tonight.

On the other side Blues are just one place but ten points behind today’s opponents. As the biggest disappointment of the season they will perform without pressure. At the ninth table position they don’t have any chances to perform in European competitions in the next season. But, in the same time Chelsea still have a great players and they can shine in any moment. The atmosphere at Anfield could have a positive impact on their motivation and we should expect big match tonight.

Since, teams are without pressure it could be a lot of goals tonight, so our tip is Liverpool to score and Over 2.5.

[paul8209]

Premier League: Bournemouth - West Bromwich Albion

Like in almost all of Bournemouth's home games I favour goals.

In the last home game Bournemouth lost 4-1 to Chelsea, followed by another defeat, 2-1 at Everton, but had enough chances there to have won. Adam Smith will miss the rest of this season , but the influential Harry Arter is back now and the hosts will be desperate to end their home campiagn on a high, but their issues here remain and 33 home goals conceded tells the full story, it is not a sorry tale, as the Cherries have survived with a degree of comfort and today will be one of celebration, but they could have posted a top ten finish with a little more luck, but more than that, they are going to have to have a rethink about how they approach home games, but that is for next season not this and we can expect more of the same from the hosts. Albion will be looking to experiment and Tony Pulis has added several youngsters to his squad and teenager Jonathan Leko will be hoping to retain his starting place, after impressing last week.

I suspect that Pulis will be quite looking forward to this, he is a former Bournemouth player (two spells) and manager ( he was Eddie Howe's first boss) and is popular here on the South Coast and I doubt he will come and look to shut up shop in a "meaningless" fixture. Despite his reputation, Pulis has a habit of throwing off the shackles come the end of the season once survival is assured and his final two starts in each of the last four campaigns have produced 6-4-3-5-4-10 (!)- 4-5 goals, so all "over", seven with four or more and a wild average of 5.125 per game.

over 2.75 goals 2.21 asian line/Sportmarket

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France Ligue 2: Clermont - Brest

We can normally expect more goals in all leagues at the end of the season, especially in games where there is nothing at stake and Ligue 2 is no different, this penultinate round has produced 50% of "overs" in the last three seasons , with 30% having at least four goals. Games last week produced 2.7 goals on average, which is almost half a goal up on the seasonal mean and we can expect more of the same today in general terms.

Brest would not usually be the first team on your list when looking for goals, but now is time to throw the shackles off and relax a little.

Brest have scored in their last five road games and four of those have produced at least three goals. Their recent home fixtures have been the usual low scoring encounters that Brest favour, but they have been hosting teams battling for survival or promotion, it is perhaps too easy for them to revert to type in familiar surroundings, on the road they can play with more freedom and enjoy themselves.

Clermont averaged 2.92 goals per game, and only the top two have scored more. They have been in touch with the top three all season and broke into it several times, but lost their way when January was turning into February and never quite got back on track. They have conceded in their last nine home starts, seven of which went "over", the two "failures" were when they themselves failed to score (twice in last three) , but that seems unlikely a third time for such a potent attack, in what is a friendly fixture. Clermont will have to do without top scorer Famara Diedhiou, but fellow strikers Dugimont and Laborde have 13 goals between them , 11 of which have come since the turn of the year, along with five from midfielder Adrien Hunou and they look to be preparing for life after Diedhiou.

Clermont: Jeannin, Caillard, Agounon, Avinel, Bockhorni, Laporte, Rivieyran, Salze,Ekobo, Genest, Hunou, Jobello, Pereira-Lage, Reale, Dugimont, Laborde.

Brest: Hartock, Léon, Sané, Falette, Belaud, Lorenzi, Le Normand, Sankoh, Grougi, Battocchio, Jacob, Perez, Sissoko, Alphonse, Henry, N'Kololo.

Clermont - Brest over 2.5 goals 2.12 asian line/Sportmarket

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Scotland League 1 Playoff: Peterhead - Ayr United

It is not everyday you see a team come into the playoffs with as poor a recent record as Peterhead, they have lost their last six starts with a 17-1 goal difference (!) and failed to score in 6 of their last 8. One of those defeats was a 4-0 home loss to Ayr just ten days ago (there was a red card early for the home side) , where they were three down inside 55 minutes, to make matters worse for the hosts, top scorer Rory McAllister (31 goals in 40 appearances this season) is suspended. United were very quick on the break there and Peterhead guilty of some truly terrible defending and I understand they have injury concerns at the back again this evening, their goalkeeper was flapping at everything and couldn't catch a cold ! Ayr will make the long trip North in good heart and shape and won the playoffs in both 2009 and 2011 having finished second in the regular season (like this time round) and did all the damage on the road in those years, they are at full strength apart from Jamie Adams and have scored eight without reply in their last two road starts. They appear in much better shape both mentally ( a few odd comments from the home coaching staff) and physically, and to have all the momentum coming in, they did lose 3-0 at home over the weekend, but were experimenting and had only this game in mind.

Ayr United level ball (draw no bet) 2.10 general quote ........ or to win (-0.5 ball) 2.75-2.90 general quote

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England Championship: Bristol City - Huddersfield Town

Last home game of the campaign for City and I expect them to really be going for this and to put on a big offensive show for their supporters. Their last two home games have both produced five goals and if they can score six against top six teams in Sheffield Wednesday and Derby County they can certainly run in at least 2-3 against Town in what is basically a friendly. The hosts are now safe and new head coach Lee Johnson has won the fans over (there was a lot of opposition to his appointment) and taken them comfortably away from the drop zone and, at times in the last couple of months, they have looked unplayable, but rarely for the full 90 minutes ! Johnson is an offensive minded coach and I am 100% sure he will be looking to win the final home game in entertaining style, City home starts have produced 64 goals (2.91 pg) and only Fulham watchers have seen more this season.

Town are certainly a team who like to play on the front foot too and that is where all their talent lies, they have scored 58 goals this season and only two teams outside the top six (one is Brentford ....of course !) have scored more. They have scored a Championship high 21 goals in the final 15 minutes of games and conceded 19 ( only basement club Bolton have allowed more) through the same period.

Early or late, goals will surely come today, but if you are following "in running" you could definitely look at goal lines in the final quarter, "officially" I will stick with ..........

over 2.75 goals 2.17 asian line/Sportmarket

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MLS: New England Revolution - Portland Timbers

This is the one Wednesday game where one of the teams is not only clocking up the air miles, but are travelling coast to coast, West to East, for just a single midweek fixture. Portland have played six of their seven matches on the West Coast this season, either at home in Oregon, or in California, the other was a quick hop out East to face Orlando City where they lost 4-1. They had a 15 days break prior to that game, so I doubt that it makes too much difference that tonight's fixture comes after they have enjoyed a ten day hiatus, especially as they are back home again on Sunday and have another five straight games in the West. The large number of West Coast games to start their campaign as MLS Cup champions has been a blessing, after their season was extended into December, to put that into some context, Revolution, who did themselves make the post season, were done and dusted by late October, some 39 days earlier. Timbers would have had media commitments after that and their off season was some 4-7 weeks shorter than almost anyone else. Therefore, we can argue that the drain on playing staff is even greater than normal for a 3,000 trip East ,across several time zones, to play a single game.

Since opening their campiagn in Houston, New England have stuck to the East like a limpet, they will be looking to build on this kindness of schedule and after two road games, will be hoping to get into top of the table contention by making the most of back to back home games this week. Portland will be without suspended Diego Valeri, who has 60 goals/assists in 109 appearances, Timbers have scored just three road goals this season and the Argentine playmaker has assisted with two of those , he had a lengthy absence last season and it took six games for Portland to win without him and remember, we are talking about the "best" team in MLS in 2015, so, a big loss.

Portland were very slow starters last season (they have an identical record after seven games this year) and did not hit their stride until mid/late May and given their shortened off season, we can expect more of the same, maybe even a few weeks later before we see them at their very best. Revolution have to start turning draws (5/8) into wins and this looks a good opportunity.

New England Revolution -0.5 ball 2.11 asian line/Sportmarket

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England Championship: Charlton- Brighton

Briefly, hosts are now booked for League 1 and that has looked on the cards for months. Brighton are pressing hard for an automatic promotion spot and could hardly be in better form, with four straight wins, with a 13-2 goal difference and it is very noteworthy that the goals have increased along with the pressure on them to keep winning, which indicates great mental strength. Burnley went top with their three points last night, but Brighton can move level with the win today and they will have the three points and only that in mind this afternoon. Bonus is that if they win today and again at home next weekend, it means they will travel to Middlesbrough on the final day of the season with their fate in their own hands. Supporters have already bought up their full ticket allocation for that game, the final home match is a sell out and they ticket allocation for today sold out weeks ago, but many others will be in the home ends I assume and they will have huge support at the Valley today, when most home fans will only be going to protest against the board/owner.

Brighton are on a good run and can add another London scalp this afternoon. Actually a five goal win would take them above the Clarets and that is probably not as far fetched as it sounds. Anyway, I have seen Charlton three times this season and they started all three games quite strongly and that is borne out by them having a -1 goal difference in the opening 30 mins, this quickly falls to -9 (3-12) in the 15 minutes before the break, which is when they almost always lose control of games at the Valley and there is a good chance we will see more of the same today. Brighton's first goal in their last four games (all wins) have come in the 29-27-29-45th minutes and that mirrors the period when the Addicks are most vulnerable.

Brighton -1 ball as soon as the "in running" line hits 2.05 (currently 1.80) as long as they are not already leading and we are playing 11v 11

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France Ligue2: Clermont - Tours

Tours haven't improved after the winter break, but are top ten, have won as many games as they have lost in the interim and have a solid base on which to build upon for next season and you suspect plans for that are well under way. They will not want their season to completely fizzle out and i expect them to be more motivated today that they have appeared on the road recently, following a 2-1 home loss to Nimes last Friday, only their second on home soil since October. Their road games following those last two defeats went comfortably "over" and Tours do play a more open style than is sometimes appreciated .

Clermont are only three places above Tours, but are ten points better off and not yet out of the promotion picture, they might have six teams above them, but they are only two points shy of Metz in third and with none of the other four teams really imposing themselves in the race for the final promotion spot, everything is still up for grabs. Clermont are fun to watch and a little too gung-ho for their own good at times and they have conceded more goals than any team apart from Creteil in Ligue 2 and only the top two have scored more. They have conceded in each of their last eight home starts at an average of 1.5 goals per game through that sequence and they have won five of those (obviously with both teams scoring) and odds for that this evening are circa 4.0-4.20 and they look to offer good value and you could try something small if you can find those

Clermont : Jeannin, Caillard - Agounon, Avinel, Bockhorni, Djellabi, Laporte, Rivieyran - Boulaya, Dugimont, Genest, Hunou, Jobello, Pereira-Lage, Reale - Diedhiou, Dugimont, Laborde.

Tours : Kamara, Westberg – Gradit, Cissé, Cillard, Bouhours, Belkebla, Agouazi, Khaoui, Bergougnoux, Santamaria, Bedia, Do Couto, Louvion, Maouche, Miracoli.

I feel the best value has to be over 2.5 goals 2.11 asian line/Sportmarket

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Portugal: Benfica - Vitoria Setubal

Benfica are the best team in Portugal and lost little in defeat to Bayern Munich in the Champions League quarter finals last week, they will now be looking to tie up the domestic title and can open up a two point advanatge over Sporting with the win tonight. The result should not really be in doubt, Setubal have won just six times this season and have failed to score in 5 of their last 6 starts. Obviously we are not going to get fat on odds about the hosts, who are asked to give up a 2.5 goal handicap. However, there might me a little meat on the bones of the first half handicap line as I feel the Eagles will want to come out firing given the extended break (having to wait until Monday) since they lost to Bayern, they have averaged 3.21 goals per game on home soil and have led at the break in 65% of home starts in the last two seasons and have been two up at half time in the last four h2h meetings with Setubal (two home/two on the road).

Benfica -1.25 goals 2.31 asian line/Sportmarket in First Half betting

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England League 1: Gillingham - Port Vale

This is a massive game for the Gills who really need to steady their playoff challenge with all three points this afternoon, after a midweek home loss to Walsall left them in sixth place. The hosts missed a penalty there with the match scoreless, with former Brentford player Luke Norris the "culprit". The hosts now have Barnsley breathing down their neck in the hunt for top six and you suspect that the team from Kent are going to need eight points from somewhere to hold on to their current three point advantage. In situations like this, it is always easier to get wins sooner rather than later and Gills can have few complaints about facing Port Vale today. Meeting a mid table team with nothing much to play for is the dream case scenario at this stage of the campiagn and that goes double when that team is in (relatively) poor form and conceding freely. The Valiants were winless in four (conceded 10) before last weeks derby win over Crewe Alexandra, a result which confirmed that Alex would be playing League 2 football next season, that was one for the supporters, at least Vale followers, but the team will be facing more steely opposition this afternoon.

Hosts' star player Bradley Dack has just recently returned from injury and he should be closing in on full fitness now and be ready for 90 minutes today and that will be a boost, but he needs some help from the forwards who all seem to have "issues" at the same time. Having said that, Cody MacDonald looked quite sharp in midweek and should perhaps have taken the penalty, Vale are easier to score against than recent opposition and have less to play for and odds look really good about a 14th home win (league high ?) of the campaign for Gillingham, especially as only Colchester United have lost more road games than Vale.

Gillingham -0.5 ball 2.10-2.15 general quote

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Championship: Nottingham Forest - Brighton

Nottingham Forest are in freefall and were absolutely dire in their last home start, a 3-0 loss to Brentford, both teams were nervous there early, but the home crowd was offering almost no support and both fans and players were pretty much waiting to concede ! Once the mighty, mighty Bees took the lead, already brittle Forest confidence crumbled and they were never going to launch a come back, or but up much resistance.They have taken just 4 points from a possible 30 since early February when they were in 10th spot and now sit in 20th, just nine points ahead of the drop zone, without a permanent head coach and giving thanks to the footballing gods that the bottom three in the Championship are so poor !

Brighton won 2-1 last round and stayed very focused after conceding early, they are now 12 clear of 7th placed Cardiff City, with this game in hand, that is pretty much guaranteed top 6 now , as the Bluebirds only have five left to play ( and one is at Griffin Park !), so it will be all about three points for Brighton with nothing to lose and everything to gain by gambling. They are five points adrift of leaders Burnley with a GIH and four behind Middlesbrough, whom they have still to play, so a huge chance of automatic promotion if they win this evening, but things will be very difficult if they come up short. Brighton entertain Fulham on Friday night and by winning both, they will really be cranking up the pressure, especially on Burnley, who do not play again until Saturday.

Chris Hughton's team were very professional at St Andrews and were worthy of a bigger margin of victory and the signing of Jiri Skalak in the transfer window looks very good business indeed and might be what gets them over the line, he delivers a peach of a dead ball and now that he is getting up to speed with the Championship (which is never easy) he is producing and has three assists in his last two outings and four in just 293 minutes of second tier football. If Forest play like they did against the Bees and in losing 2-1 to Reading subsequently ( it should have been 4-1) this can only end one way and the hosts need to seriously up their game to get anything out of tonight, but runs like this are incredibly hard to address and are self-perpetuating .

Brighton -0.5 ball 2.13 asian line/Sportmarket

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Premier League: West Ham United - Arsenal

It is very hard for me to understand quite how the Gunners are not EPL champions elect, instead it looks like Leicester City and I never thought that I would be typing those words in my lifetime. Arsenal again faltered when the pressure was on and now, that it is off , we have seen a return to some of their better form and they have looked decent once more in back to back wins and cleansheets over Everton and Watford, scoring six in the process. They might not have beaten much (both teams are out of sorts), but confidence will have been boosted and Alexis Sanchez (Gunners are 10-1-0 when he scores and the last ten of those have all gone "over") is returning to form, Laurent Koscielny is back and they look far more composed with him in the line up and the performances of Mohamed Elneny and Alex Iwobi offer huge promise. They looked booked for top 3, so will surely not make their final trip to the Boleyn Ground with eyes on anything but maximum points and to try and put some pressure on the top two, if the Foxes are out of reach, Arsenal will still be motivated to finish above Tottenham, their deadliest rival.

United have had a final season to remember at Upton Park , look sure to finish top 6 and are still not out of the running for a Champions League spot, although back to back 2-2 draws have made that difficult. They are still in the FA Cup and have a big quarter final replay with Manchester United here in midweek. That could distract them, with a Wembley appearance up for grabs, but they are at full strength today and will surely look to keep the CL dream alive a little longer. When everything clicks, they have looked as good as anyone in the Premier league this season and are unbetaen on home soil in 15 starts (9-6-0) in all competitions.

Arsenal are unbeaten here in eight visits and have scored two or more goals in the last seven. United have conceded seven in their last four starts and with a point having very limited value to either side, it is easy to see both teams on the scoresheet today and the Hammers seven London derby games this season have averaged 3.29 goals and they have scored in each, two or more in five, Arsenal's eight starts against fellow top six teams have produced 3.625 goals per game and we will surely see more of the same this lunchtime.

over 3 goals 2.23 asian line/Sportmarket

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France Ligue2: Paris FC - Bourg

Paris FC will be hugely buyoed by not only the win over a highflying team, but the four goals scored and surely we will continue to see them really go for it and all guns blazing for maximum points. That is now 5/6 of their games which have gone "over" and three not only produced four goals, but saw both teams score twice and with BEBP being "safe", the 4th highest scorers in L2 and having conceded more than any team apart from Creteil, this match now just screams goals, which is not something we would have said about any PFC fixture through the first seven months of the campaign ! The reverse fixture produced five goals and with the hosts need so great , I do not feel they will be overly worried about the Monday-Friday turnaround, given the boost the result will have doubtless given them and I also suspect that they will feel "comfortable" meeting, like on Monday, a fellow promoted team, a home win, which could take PFC to within five points of safety, might herald the playing of the "Great Escape" theme tune, but the best value remains .............

Paris FC : Thébaux, Demarconnay - Mohsni, Cantini, Jean-Tahrat, Pierre, T.Keita - Grange, Gamiette, I.Keita, Pereira De Sa, Bahamboula, Traoré - Camara, Fauvergue, Diarra.

BEBP: Callamand, Fabri, Alphonse, Berthomier, Boujedra, Boussaha, N'Simba, Ogier, Bègue, Sane, Nirlo, Traore, Faivre, Dembele, Damour, Ba.


over 2.5 goals 2.11 asian line/Sportmarket

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Scottish Championship: Glasgow Rangers - Dumbarton

Rangers are going to return to the SPL this season , but would surely like to get the job done and dusted this evening, which they can achieve with all three points. They are head and shoulders abover the rest of the Championship, which is to be expected given the size of the club and their fan base and circa 50,000 will be waiting to kick start the celebrations tonight, to put that into some context, Dumbarton have averaged a crowd of 734 for their last three home games . Home boss Mark Warburton believes in an attacking style of football and his teams never sit on a lead, his side have averaged 2.64 goals per game this season and just shy of 3 pg at Ibrox, included in those numbers were two wins ( scoring 4 and 6 goals ) in the last two starts against tonight's opponents and Warburton will want to get the job done in style. His team have actually conceded ten ( !) in their last three starts, but they won the home game in that sequence and two opponents had arguably more to play for and far more offensive threat than The Sons ( just 8 road goals all season) possess and only basement club Alloa Athletic have scored fewer.

Additional bonus for Rangers is that getting this signed and sealed early will allow them to focus fully on their Challenge Cup Final with Peterhead on Sunday and more importantly go into the Scottish Cup semi final with their biggest rivals Celtic, seven days later as an SPL club, albeit one "in waiting". The hosts have scored four goals next time out following dropped road points in 4/4 games at Ibrox and can make it 5/5 today after a 3-3 draw at Raith Rovers on Saturday.

Rangers to score "over" 3.5 goals (four or more) 2.625-2.875 general quote

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La Liga: Real Madrid - Sevilla

Sevilla were easy 3-0 winners in Europa League and could largely switch off after the break, but the game still had to be played/won and a trip to Real is never easy, let alone when you have played just three days previously, the hosts are well rested and you are injury hit ! The visitors arrive in the capital missing a whole host of midfield talent with Banega, Khrohn-Dehli, Carrico, N'Zoni, Vitolo and Konoplyanka all absent, four of those started in the 3-2 win for Sevilla in the reverse fixture, which Real will be looking to avenge and another came off the bench, so we are talking about effectively half a team.

Real have the Champions League as their priority and will be delighted to have drawn Wolfsburg in the quarters, but they can afford to concentrate fully on La Liga for now and Atletico's defeat last night means that Real could move to within a point of them in second and that is incentive enough, but would also set up nicely their next game, which is the El Clasico game with champions elect Barcelona on April 2nd. "Big 3" games aside real are 27-3-3 at home averaging almost four goals per start and under Zinedine Yazid Zidane, their record in those fixtures is 5/5 with a 27-4 goal difference. Sevilla have yet to win on the road domestically and they have lost on their last seven visits to the Bernabeu , conceding 24 goals.

Cristiano Ronaldo has his best scoring record against Sevilla with 21 in 14 starts and he will be "hungry" after coming up short in the reverse fixture, he leads the way currently in the La Liga goalscoring market, one ahead of Luis Suarez and five clear of Lionel Messi and he will definitely want to record a third straight "golden boot", no one has recorded a hat trick of those since Hugo Sanchez in 1988 and that is a real target as big rival Messi is now unlikely to ever claim it . He is 2.75 + to score twice, 6.5 -9.0 to score a hat-trick, he has done that (score 3) five times previously against Sevilla. For some reason, Betfair Sportsbook offer a standout 3.50 and 13.0 respectively and that offers really good value and you could try something small if that appeals..... even 3.0 and 9.0 seem overpriced

Karim Benzema returns and it is easy to see plenty of goals in this (maybe a lot !) for a very strong looking home side , against a team short of midfield options who are coming off a Thursday game.

Real Madrid -1.75 goals 2.26 asian line/Sportmarket

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