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Ligue1 Toulouse - Nice
I will take a little on the "over" in the Ligue 1 match between Toulouse and Nice, these two have played out a few really high scoring encounters in recent campaigns, the reverse fixture this season saw five goals and the meeting here two years ago, produced seven, with Nice edging home 4-3. The last three Toulouse starts have gone "over", with both teams scoring in six of their last eight and only Reims have conceded more goals, Nice's last ten have seen eight "overs".
Both teams are now safe from any relegation issues, can relax and play pressure free football and that should result in goals. I am (again) not really concerned with team news, but each has defensive issues and both appear to be coming into this with a very offensive approach and line up and this should be fun to watch.
Toulouse-Nice... "over" 3 goals 2.39 Pinnacle/ Sportmarket Pro .......alternatively "over" 2.75 goals 2.04 asian line/Sportmarket.
Toulouse: Ahamada, Vidal – Akpa Akpro, Kana-Biyik, Matheus, Ninkov, Spajic, Tisserand, Yago – Blin, Bodiger, E.Didot, Regattin, Makach, Trejo – Ben Yedder, Roman, Pesic.
Nice: Delle, Hassen – Bodmer, Boscagli, Palun, G.Puel – Albert, Bauthéac, Digard, Carlos Eduardo, Eysseric, Koziello, Vercauteren – Honorat, Bosetti, Maupay, Pléa, P.Puel.
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Niort- Laval
Huge credit to Niort for how they have played over the second half of the season, through which they have already collected 29 points and won 7 of 11, before stepping off the gas a little over their last two starts, through early season they looked shambolic defensively and that will need to be further addressed in the summer. Three of their last six starts have produced five or more goals and I can see this following suit. 15 goal striker Seydou Kone is one of few who has any hope of catching Le Bihan ( see Le Havre preview) in the top L2 goalscorer race, he has ended the season on fire, with three goals in his last four starts and 13 plus four assists in 24. I think his contract was only for one season, so expires next month, at 32 yo , he will be looking to get one last decent contract here or somewhere else and will be looking to continue to impress. Hosts are missing right back Kevin Malcuit and have conceded ten goals in the last five games he has sat out.
Laval are better than 10th place suggests, at least if you listen to them, but they have paid the price for being too timid and 21 draws is too many, an extra 11 points by gambling in half of those and winning just 50% would have seen them top 3 this morning and they have to learn from that, gone are the days when a road point was good enough match after match in this division. They have opened now, last two starts have produced four goals and they have scored five and hopefully they are using the run in to experiment offensively for next season, it certainly looks that way. However, they are without Said, Diallo and Alla, who have 15 goals betweem them and first choice goalkeeper Lionel Cappone , replacement Maxime Hautbois has conceded a goal every 43 minutes in his two road starts.They are far from a lost cause offensively as the midfielders have found a few goals, but the two named strikers are only a combined 40yo and Duckens Nazon will be making his debut if he plays.
Definitely advantage Niort, but odds of 1.83 do not overly appeal and the "over" still makes more appeal.
"over" 2.5 goals 2.02 asian line/Sportmarket.
I will also take -0.5 ball Niort in running, if the line hits 2.10, as long as they are not already leading and we are playing 11 v 11.
Niort : Delecroix, Roche - Lahaye, Sans, Barbet, Bernard, Batisse - Martin, Koukou, Diaw, Roye, Sambia - Dona Ndoh, Ba, Koné, Rocheteau.
Laval : Hautbois, Lesec - Ben Djemia, D.Konaté, Chafik, Monfray, Couturier, Polomat, Mukiélé - Robic, Zeoula, Gonçalves, Boumous, Etinof - Guirassy, Nazon.
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MLS: Sporting Kansas City -New England Revolution
Back to back draws for New England and they might be concerned about dropping two points both at home to Toronto and on the road to Orlando , but that has extended their unbeaten run to nine and they will want to take that to double figures ahead of a top of the Eastern Conference clash with DC United on Saturday. They have traditionally struggled in Kansas, but got that monkey of their back last year with a 3-2 win here last September, a first road win in ten in this series. They actually won all three meetings with SKC last season , have not lost to them inside 90 minutes in five and could hardly be meeting the hosts at a better time. Unless Sporting can get a couple of fringe players back in time from loan (at lower level clubs), they will not be able to name a full bench and will be picking from just 14 available
outfield players. This is almost never quite as bad as it sounds, but they will most likely only have four available defenders and will not have key winger Graham Zusi ( won just 7 of 24 in his absence last three seasons) and midfielders Roger Espinoza and Marcel de Jong are also doubts , if both play it will be tough, if either misses out more so and if both are sidelined , it is very hard to see them getting anything from this. Home bloggers are predicting both will sit this one out and that looks about right with SKC having vital Western games against Seattle (twice) and Dallas in their next three starts.
We have discussed Revolution many times this season and most of you know that I rate them highly as see them as a team with massive potential, given the team news, this is a game they should be taking at least a point from and the handicap start looks a real bonus.....
New England Revolution +0.25 ball 2.07 asian line/Sportmarket.
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The 33 Spieltag of the Bundesliga will start this weekend
My picks:
Mainz to beat Köln @ 2.1
Borussia to beat Bremen @ 1.8Leave a comment:
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Auxerre - Creteil
This is a "friendly" and these matches normally provide entertainment at this stage of the season. Auxerre have a cup final with PSG to look forward to in two weeks time and no one secure of a starting place for that, will be taking too many chances over the final two league games and run the risk of missing out on what might be the biggest match of their career for many. So much for the hosts to look forward to, not just the final, but a 2015-16 season full of promise after ending this campaign strongly. Creteil will be equally pleased taht they are free of relegation worries with games still remaining after looking in trouble mid season, their decision to change coach and ditch their free and easy ways, where they were happy to go toe to toe and try to outscore anyone, has been vindicated, but is a little sad in terms of what they brought to Ligue 2 which was a real sense of adventure. However, I am hopeful that we might see a return to that over the final weeks and Auxerre look the ideal opponent. "over" 2.5 goals 2.06 asian line/Sportmarket Pro.
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France : Ligue 2: Angers- Sochaux
Visitors are out of promotion contention now and have not won in four starts, failing to score in three ,goals have been a problem all season and they have scored the fewest of any top ten team. There is a chance that they will up their game a little for the televised fixture, but you do get the feeling that this is a team in end of season mode.
Angers are third with a two point advantage and also tonight's game in hand over Nancy with just two rounds left to play after this fixture, any two wins will secure promotion and that is a wonderful position to be in, but there is a catch ! Next weekend they travel across country to play Nancy who have a superior goal difference, so, failure to win this evening will hand the advantage, or at least a chance, to ASNL who would take the automatic spot with two wins.
A draw tonight will not overly change things, they would still need to avoid defeat next week to leave matters in their own hands and we have to expect them to go for it.
Sochaux are almost as strong on the road as they are at home and I did consider holding out for a bigger quote on Angers "in running", however, the hosts are 8-0-0 when leading at the half and have only won 3 of the other nine, the visitors have taken something from 9 of 14 road games when not trailing at the break, so are very tough to beat once they get a toehold in a match, Angers do not want that (obviously) and they will get increasingly nervous the longer this goes without a lead.
Hosts remain without 15 goal top scorer Jonathan Kodija , but he has had limited game time since early March and scored just once since the end of January, through which Angers are 7-3-3, which is 0.25 points per game more than they collected previously, so they have clearly been competitive in his absence. Coach Stéphane Moulin described his players as very intense and focused in training yesterday, there were a lot of supporters at the last two training sessions and their "fervour" hada noticeable impact apparently, lifting the squad and sessions.
Sochaux have added a couple of 19 year olds to the squad, the pair have just 76 minutes of first team experience between them, but coach Florian Tardieu said "they are going to bring the passion" which indicates both might well play this evening and they could have a very youthful midfield and they will line up against a talented and experienced group of midfielders on the other side of the pitch.
We should see a home win and given those stats, I suspect it is most likely, and would be better for nerves of all concerned, if it came along with an early goal,Angers-Angers 2.75-2.90 HT/FT double result general quote, alternative would be the half time home win on asian lines.
Angers : Butelle, Letellier - Angoula, Bouka-Moutou, Guillon, Pierre, Thomas - Ben Othman, Camara, Diers, Gomez, Mangani, Manceau, Ngando, N'Gosso, Pessalli - Ayari, Clémence.
Sochaux : Pelé, Camara - Gibaud, Faussurier, Vivian, Senzemba - Guerbert, Kharja, Tardieu, Habran, Ilaimaharitra, Daham - Butin, Toko Ekambi, Sao, Caceres.
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Double chancers great luck YOU got ...
My pick for the day ArsenalLeave a comment:
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Premier League: Newcastle United- West Bromwich Albion
United are in trouble, every team at the foot of the table apart from doomed Burnley and QPR are picking up their game, whilst the Magpies are in freefall both on and off the pitch and have lost eight in a row and now sit just two points above the drop zone. Almost to a man, any neutral who has seen them recently has highlighted them as currently the worst team in the EPL and whilst the balance sheet might say differently, this is a club in a tailspin and it is going to be very hard to address, especially when some players have looked less than bothered, something which even the interim head coach could not stop himself from mentioning to the great pleasure of the media last week. They have since been on a damage limitation exercise with supporters, but they are a club getting everything wrong at present.
Albion arrive in good form , three straight wins, all with clean sheets and on the "magical" points tally of 40, which should be more than enough to secure survival. However, it should be remembered that they themselves looked very suspect, conceding ten goals in three starts, including seven in two at home to clubs in the drop zone, before a recent temper tantrum from boss Tony Pulis awoke them from their lethargy. Maybe the John Carver comments last week will do likewise for United, but they are going to have to find some goals to do so, as defensively they do not look able to stop anyone at present and they have condeded 23 in 10, three in each of their last three starts. On the plus side, they do usually score here at St James' Park, with a goal in 16 of their last 19 home EPL starts. The last nine h2h meetings in the North East have all gone "over" with both teams scoring in eight and that is how I see this playing out, United seem incapable of a clean sheet and I think Albion have massively overperformed defensively and four clean sheets in a row, for all but the best in this toughest of leagues is unusual. They have scored ten goals in their last five visits though and will get chances today.
"over" 2.5 goals 2.23 asian line/Sportmarket.
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The 32 Spieltag of the Bundesliga will start today.
My pick:
HSV to beat Freiburg @ 2.2Leave a comment:
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England Championship Playoffs Brentford - Middlesbrough
I would like to discuss the match at Griffin Park tomorrow, when the Bees entertain Middlesbrough, we have a whole host of historical notes on both, but I am not going to bother with those.
A Friday night game in the North East will not be so easy for many supporters to attend and I feel the party atmosphere will continue and the players are not under the same kind of pressure from supporters that the other three clubs will be. There is also the not so small matter of that rumoured bonus , if any further motivation was needed., but I prefer to skirt over that.
I also feel that Boro have been a little disrespectful to Brentford, they won both league games without conceding and were even hinting that were orchestrating their result at the weekend to play the Bees and sometimes in life, you should be careful what you wish for !
Boro did murder the Bees on Teeside, but that was one of the three worst performances from Brentford all season , maybe the worst. The match at GP was very different, Boro were on the back foot for most of the game, showed very little offensively, were gifted a goal against the run of play and played simply to hold on, they did grind out a result and sometimes you have to do that, but the Bees looked the better team that day. I have also been disappointed that too often on the road (Watford, Bournemouth especially) towards the business end of the season, Boro have underperformed when the pressure was really on and when they did give themselves a last chance with the win at Norwich ( I have my doubts about City on home soil anyway), they immediately blew it next time out with a loss at a very poor Fulham team, conceding four goals.
In my opinion Brentford come into the game with more momentum and have been creating a MASSIVE number of attempts on goal at home all season, expecially over the last eight games, they have scored 21 goals in those matches, two or more in seven, with no exaggeration, it should have been 30 + and only Ipswich on Boxing Day have outplayed the Bees at GP all season. They are 2.50- 2.75 to score two or more goals today, that just cannot be correct, they have done it in 7 of 8 and could have had three+ in all eight and since August was out of the way and they realised that they were on a par with the rest of the Championship , they have scored two or more in 15 of 21 home league games ( 71.43%) and you can bet them at 36% to do so this evening. Yes, Boro are solid defensively, but on another day would have conceded 2-3 here in the previous meeting and have shipped two or more in 5 of 7 away starts........... Brentford to score two or more goals @ 2.50-2.75 , I am happy to even lose on a price like that !
I see value in the match odds too of course and will have to take a little, so..... Brentford -0.25 ball 2.28 asian line/Sportmarket.
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Your ideas about daily picks are just awesome...
I love watching football and I do not mind betting a small amount of money on some games.Leave a comment:
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